5:17 Redcar
A modest Class 6 handicap over 1m1f at Redcar on good to firm ground brings together eight limited performers, several of whom arrive with recent placed form or last-time-out victories. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Finally Escaped just ahead on 58 and Pisanello a close second on 57, while the remainder sit between 48 and 41. First-time headgear features on four runners and the pace shape is unclear with insufficient run-style data to form a confident view.
How the race shapes up
With the pace shape rated unclear and low confidence in the run-style evidence, it is difficult to predict how the race will unfold. Several runners have been ridden prominently or from midfield in recent starts, yet the lack of a clear leader leaves the race open to different tactical setups. The key question is whether the first-time headgear on the top two in the market will sharpen them sufficiently to take advantage of any steady gallop, or whether a closer will be able to pick up the pieces late on.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Finally Escaped KTB Selection58/100Limited horse who showed the first real sign of ability when winning a similar race at this track last time.
- 2Pisanello57/100Pisanello is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 3Anificas Beauty48/100Limited performer who has been in and out this year but showed her best when winning twice in the summer.
- 4Off Spin45/100Limited performer who has been placed a few times this year but remains winless after 17 runs.
- 5Volenti44/100Limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent Class 6 company without winning.
- 6Pebble Dash43/100Pebble Dash is a limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent Class 6 races without looking like winning.
- 7Shifter42/100Limited performer who has won twice from four runs at Redcar.
- 8Bitacora41/100Bitacora is a limited performer on the balance of his form and has been well beaten on both starts this year.
The contenders
Finally Escaped KTB Fit 58/100
Finally Escaped is a limited performer who showed the first real sign of ability when winning a similar race at this track last time. He drops back in trip to an untried 1m1f while wearing headgear for the first time, which adds an unknown element. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate from 209 runs at Redcar and the jockey is 15% at the track from 261 rides. He has recorded 1 win from 2 starts on good to firm ground. Recent form reads 656641 and he is drawn in stall 4. The yard’s trainer-jockey combination shows 5 wins from 46 rides with an A/E of 0.85.
Pisanello KTB Fit 57/100
Pisanello is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He has placed three times from five runs at Redcar and is competitive on good to firm, while dropping back to a trip he has won at before. First-time headgear is now applied and the yard has a solid 15 percent strike rate here. The jockey boasts an 18% strike rate at Redcar from 62 rides. Recent form is 845756 and he is drawn in stall 3. The trainer-jockey partnership reads 54 wins from 489 rides with an A/E of 0.91.
Anificas Beauty KTB Fit 48/100
Anificas Beauty is a limited performer who has been in and out this year but showed her best when winning twice in the summer. She steps up in trip today having already won all three starts at this distance which is a positive and she has won on good to firm ground. This is first time at Redcar for both horse and trainer who between them have only four previous runs here. The trainer-jockey record stands at 2 wins from 6 rides. Recent form reads 857117 and she is drawn in stall 6.
Off Spin KTB Fit 45/100
Off Spin is a limited performer who has been placed a few times this year but remains winless after 17 runs. He has not shown much at this track in two starts and is 0-3 on good to firm ground. First-time headgear is now applied as he drops back in trip. The yard’s record at Redcar is 8% from 2315 runs. Recent form is 535332 and he is drawn in stall 8. The trainer-jockey combination shows 12 wins from 89 rides with an A/E of 0.94.
The rest of the field
VolentiKTB Fit 44/100
Volenti is a limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent Class 6 company without winning. He showed some promise when third on his only previous run here and handles good to firm ground. Stepping up to 1m1f for the first time asks a fresh question of a horse whose trainer has an 8 percent strike rate at the track. Recent form reads 974434 and he is drawn in stall 1.
Pebble DashKTB Fit 43/100
Pebble Dash is a limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent Class 6 races without looking like winning. He steps up in trip today having failed to make an impact in two previous attempts at this distance and has never raced on good to firm ground. The yard has only four runs at Redcar so far which is too small a sample to judge. Recent form is 404446 and he is drawn in stall 2.
ShifterKTB Fit 42/100
Shifter is a limited performer who has won twice from four runs at Redcar. Recent form is ordinary and he is 0-6 on good to firm ground, while the trainer’s 4% strike rate from 277 runs at the track adds little confidence. He drops back in trip today having been out of the frame on his only previous try at this distance. Recent form reads 854235 and he is drawn in stall 5.
BitacoraKTB Fit 41/100
Bitacora is a limited performer on the balance of his form and has been well beaten on both starts this year. He steps up in trip having won once from two runs at this distance and tries headgear for the first time. The yard has only three runs at Redcar which is too small a sample to judge while the horse remains unproven on good to firm ground. Recent form is 818-79 and he is drawn in stall 7.
KTB verdict
Finally Escaped is taken to follow up his recent course success in what looks an open race. He showed the first real sign of ability last time and the yard’s record at Redcar adds confidence despite the unknown of first-time headgear and a drop in trip. Pisanello is the obvious danger having placed three times from five starts here and now fitted with headgear, while Anificas Beauty’s three-from-three record at the trip cannot be ignored. Off Spin and the remainder make up a modest field where the headgear and trip queries will be key.
KTB Selection Finally Escaped
This is the narrative read of the 5:17 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip having won all three previous starts at this distance?
Anificas Beauty
How many times has Shifter won at Redcar?
Twice from four runs
Which two principals are wearing first-time headgear alongside Finally Escaped?
Pisanello and Off Spin
What is the trainer’s strike rate at Redcar for the yard of the KTB Selection?
13% from 209 runs
Which horse is unproven on good to firm ground and stepping up in trip?
Pebble Dash and Bitacora
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