7:30 Naas
This 1m apprentice handicap at Naas on good ground features an 18-runner field where the KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Lohengrin heading the ratings on 60 despite a long losing run. The race is contested by largely modest performers, many of whom are reaching for first-time headgear in search of a spark, and the official ratings and recent form figures underline a competitive but low-grade affair. Trainer and jockey course statistics vary markedly across the card, with several yards showing modest strike rates at Naas while a handful of riders bring positive A/E figures.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is tentative with medium confidence, as there is only thin evidence of a clear front-runner. Medieval Night, Akashaa and Morning Approach have all shown a tendency to race prominently or make the running, though on limited evidence, which could see them contest the early lead from their respective stalls. Famous Enough is the clearest hold-up type in the field and will look to produce his effort late from draw one. The key question is whether the tentative pace allows the hold-up performers to close effectively or if those up with the pace can dictate matters on what is often a speed-favouring straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Lohengrin KTB Selection60/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time with six straight defeats and no win in 31 starts.
- 2Perfect Judgement57/100Modest performer who has been on the go for a long time and showed little spark in recent starts.
- 3Famous Enough55/100Famous Enough is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 4Dinamine54/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in four starts this year after a winning return.
- 5Mullacash Buzz52/100Limited performer who has won once at this track from a single visit and also has a win over today's trip.
- 6William F Browne48/100Limited horse who has won once at this track and once at this trip but has struggled this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 7Medieval Night48/100Medieval Night is a limited performer who has failed to win in 14 starts and looks up against it from a wide draw.
- 8Akashaa47/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in two runs this year and now tries headgear for the first time.
- 9Convincing42/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in three runs this year and is now tried in first-time headgear.
- 10Morning Approach40/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time and finished no better than sixth on his last four starts.
- 11Mehmar40/100Limited performer who has won once in five runs at Naas but arrives in ordinary form after a string of modest efforts.
- 12Lorr's Girl40/100Limited performer who has shown only modest form this year and was well beaten on her last two starts.
- 13Slaney Swagger39/100Slaney Swagger is a limited performer with a patchy recent record of 380-00 and has been beaten a long way on his last two starts.
- 14Pick A Window37/100Limited performer who has shown very little in six starts since debut.
- 15Peig Sayers35/100Limited horse who has shown very little in seven runs and was well beaten on her only visit to Naas.
- 16Master Garvey32/100Limited performer who has won once in 23 starts at this trip and once from four runs at Naas.
- 17Quarry Stone28/100Quarry Stone is a limited performer who has shown little in eight starts and was well beaten on his most recent outing.
- 18Duchess Anne28/100Duchess Anne is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in six starts so far with a string of modest efforts.
The contenders
Lohengrin KTB Fit 60/100
Lohengrin is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with six straight defeats and no win in 31 starts. He has placed on good ground and at this trip but lacks a recent spark. First-time headgear is now tried while the trainer holds a modest 7% strike rate at Naas with an A/E of 1.73 from 29 runs. The jockey has an 11% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 2.06 from 18 rides. Drawn in stall five, he is the KTB Selection in a race where many rivals are similarly modest.
Perfect Judgement KTB Fit 57/100
Perfect Judgement is a modest performer who has been on the go for a long time and showed little spark in recent starts with form figures of 047775. He has placed here once from four runs at Naas and has won on good ground as well as at this trip, though the first-time headgear suggests connections are now reaching for something new. The trainer strikes at 11% here from 35 runs with an A/E of 1.35 while the jockey has a 0% strike rate at Naas from six rides with an A/E of 0. Drawn in stall eight, his placed effort at the course remains his best recent highlight.
Famous Enough KTB Fit 55/100
Famous Enough is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts and recent form figures of 020052. He has won over this trip in the past and handles good ground but makes his first start at Naas from stall one. First-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Naas with an A/E of 0.92 from 47 runs while the jockey boasts a 13% strike rate here with an A/E of 3.25 from eight rides. Usually held up, he will look to produce his effort late.
Dinamine KTB Fit 54/100
Dinamine is a limited performer who has shown little spark in four starts this year after a winning return, with form figures of 1-0395. He placed on his only visit to Naas and has a fair record on good ground, with six placed efforts from 15 starts on the surface, but the yard's modest 6% strike-rate here with an A/E of 0.74 from 217 runs offers little encouragement. First-time headgear is now reached for. Drawn in stall three, he is another who arrives with questions to answer.
Mullacash Buzz KTB Fit 52/100
Mullacash Buzz is a limited performer who has won once at this track from a single visit and also has a win over today's trip. Recent form is modest with a best of third on his latest start from figures of -00463 and he now tries headgear for the first time. The trainer records a 10% strike rate at Naas from 10 runs with an A/E of 1.65 while the jockey has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.08 from 11 rides. Drawn in stall 14, his course success makes him of interest.
The rest of the field
William F BrowneKTB Fit 48/100
William F Browne is a limited horse who has won once at this track and once at this trip but has struggled this year with a string of modest efforts from form figures of 7-0378. First-time headgear is now tried while the trainer's modest record at Naas with a 5% strike rate and A/E of 0.62 from 124 runs offers little encouragement. Stall 13 adds another negative.
Medieval NightKTB Fit 48/100
Medieval Night is a limited performer who has failed to win in 14 starts and looks up against it from a wide draw in stall 16. He has shown some competitiveness on good ground with two placed efforts from five starts but remains winless in eight runs at this trip. First-time headgear is now applied while the yard has a modest 5% strike rate at Naas with an A/E of 0.68 from 250 runs. Tends to make the running or race prominently.
AkashaaKTB Fit 47/100
Akashaa is a limited performer who has shown little spark in two runs this year from form figures of 526-66 and now tries headgear for the first time. She has placed once over today's trip but is 0-3 on good ground and makes her first start at Naas. The trainer records a solid 14% strike rate here from 78 runs with an A/E of 1.51. Tends to make the running or race prominently.
ConvincingKTB Fit 42/100
Convincing is a limited performer who has shown little spark in three runs this year from form figures of 90-950 and is now tried in first-time headgear. He has placed once over this trip and finished third on his only visit to Naas, but he is 0-4 on good ground and the yard’s modest 4% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.66 from 69 runs offers little encouragement.
Morning ApproachKTB Fit 40/100
Morning Approach is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time and finished no better than sixth on his last four starts from figures of -00506. He has placed over course and distance and is proven at this trip having won three times at 1m but drops back from 1m1f today while carrying his share of miles on the clock. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.65 from 386 runs. Tends to make the running or race prominently.
MehmarKTB Fit 40/100
Mehmar is a limited performer who has won once in five runs at Naas but arrives in ordinary form after a string of modest efforts from figures of 608574. The step up to a mile poses a fresh question and the first-time headgear is an unknown factor. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 40 runs at the track with an A/E of 0.
Lorr's GirlKTB Fit 40/100
Lorr's Girl is a limited performer who has shown only modest form this year and was well beaten on her last two starts from figures of 408-00. She steps up to 1m for the first time today having been placed without winning at the distance before, while she has also been competitive on good ground without scoring. The trainer holds a 5% strike rate from 39 runs at Naas with an A/E of 1.2.
Slaney SwaggerKTB Fit 39/100
Slaney Swagger is a limited performer with a patchy recent record of 380-00 and has been beaten a long way on his last two starts. He drops back to 1m where he has placed without winning and is tried in first-time headgear, while his placed efforts on good ground suggest the surface will be fine. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from two runs at Naas.
Pick A WindowKTB Fit 37/100
Pick A Window is a limited performer who has shown very little in six starts since debut from figures of 0-0058. He steps up markedly in trip today having been campaigned over sprint distances and that asks a fresh question of him. The trainer operates at a 4% strike rate from 27 runs at Naas with an A/E of 0.73.
Peig SayersKTB Fit 35/100
Peig Sayers is a limited horse who has shown very little in seven runs from figures of 00-008 and was well beaten on her only visit to Naas. The yard has failed to land a winner from 25 attempts at this track with an A/E of 0 while the jockey has a modest record here with an 8% strike rate and A/E of 0.88 from 13 rides. Stepping up to 1m looks a fresh question.
Master GarveyKTB Fit 32/100
Master Garvey is a limited performer who has won once in 23 starts at this trip and once from four runs at Naas. Recent form is modest from figures of 387575 and he drops back in trip having been well held over 1m1f last time while the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer has a 3% strike rate from 30 runs at the track with an A/E of 0.38.
Quarry StoneKTB Fit 28/100
Quarry Stone is a limited performer who has shown little in eight starts from figures of 8/00-0 and was well beaten on his most recent outing. He drops back to 1m having failed to make the frame at the trip before and his record on good ground is equally modest. The trainer has a 2% strike rate from 97 runs at Naas with an A/E of 0.34. Usually held up.
Duchess AnneKTB Fit 28/100
Duchess Anne is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in six starts so far with a string of modest efforts from figures of 68006-. She drops back to an untried 1m today which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer has a 5% strike rate from 88 runs at Naas with an A/E of 0.58.
KTB verdict
Lohengrin is the KTB Selection. He is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with six straight defeats and no win in 31 starts yet he has placed on good ground and at this trip, and the first-time headgear is now applied while the jockey brings a positive course A/E. The selection can capitalise on a tentative pace shape if the hold-up types are given too much to do. His main dangers are Perfect Judgement, who has placed at the course and tries first-time headgear, and Famous Enough, who is drawn in stall one and also sports headgear for the first time. Mullacash Buzz cannot be dismissed given his course win on his only visit here.
KTB Selection Lohengrin
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 22 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Lohengrin | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Perfect Judgement | 7/2 | BetTom |
| Famous Enough | 11/2 | BetTom |
| Dinamine | 15/2 | BetTom |
| Mullacash Buzz | 11/1 | BetTom |
| William F Browne | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Medieval Night | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Akashaa | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Convincing | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Morning Approach | 11/1 | BetTom |
| Mehmar | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Lorr's Girl | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Slaney Swagger | 25/1 | BetTom |
| Pick A Window | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Peig Sayers | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Master Garvey | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Quarry Stone | 60/1 | BresBet |
| Duchess Anne | 25/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 7:30 Naas. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Naas racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its first start at Naas from stall one?
Famous Enough, a limited performer with recent form of 020052 who has won over this trip in the past and handles good ground.
How many horses in the field are wearing first-time headgear?
Fourteen horses are trying first-time headgear: Lohengrin, Perfect Judgement, Famous Enough, Dinamine, Mullacash Buzz, William F Browne, Medieval Night, Akashaa, Convincing, Mehmar, Slaney Swagger, Master Garvey, and two others not among the principals.
Which runner has won at Naas from a single previous visit?
Mullacash Buzz, a limited performer with recent form of -00463 who also has a win over today's trip.
Who has the strongest jockey course record among the principals?
The jockey on Famous Enough, with a 13% strike rate at Naas and an A/E of 3.25 from eight rides.
Which horse tends to race prominently and has shown competitiveness on good ground?
Medieval Night, a limited performer who has placed twice from five starts on good but remains winless in 14 starts overall.
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