7:36 Chepstow
A Class 6 classified stakes over 1m0f14y at Chepstow on good to firm ground brings together ten limited performers. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Knightmare heading the numbers on 58, just ahead of Prince Ali and A Rose Adaay on 55. With the pace shape rated unclear owing to insufficient run-style evidence, the race lacks a clear template and places emphasis on consistency, course experience and the various first-time headgear applications.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough information on the run-styles across the field to form a reliable picture. Weston Court is the only horse noted as tending to make the running or race prominently, though that assessment itself carries limited evidence. The key question is whether the race will develop into a truly-run affair or a more tactical affair, and which of these modest performers can capitalise on the uncertainty.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Knightmare KTB Selection58/100Knightmare is a limited performer who has been consistent at this level lately, finishing in the first three in five of his last six starts.
- 2Prince Ali55/100Limited performer who has won once here and three times at this trip overall.
- 3A Rose Adaay55/100Limited performer who has been placed twice from four runs at Chepstow without winning.
- 4Judge Frank50/100Limited performer who has won once over this trip and once at this track from four visits.
- 5Star Of Atlantis49/100Limited performer who has shown very little spark in recent starts and now tries first-time headgear off the back of a string of modest efforts.
- 6Lady Margret48/100Limited filly who has shown little in six runs and was well beaten on her latest two starts.
- 7Fighting Queen43/100Limited performer who has failed to place in two starts this season and looks up against it again from a modest career record.
- 8Weston Court41/100Limited horse who has shown ordinary form at this level and has been placed once from six runs at Chepstow without winning.
- 9Fitzmaurice41/100Limited performer who has shown very little in 13 starts and arrives here in poor form.
- 10Strong Man Tom29/100Limited performer who has shown little in three starts this year and finished sixth on both previous runs here.
The contenders
Knightmare KTB Fit 58/100
Knightmare is a limited performer who has been consistent at this level lately, finishing in the first three in five of his last six starts. He has run only once at Chepstow, finishing fifth, while the trainer holds an 11 percent strike rate here from a huge sample. The first-time headgear is an interesting addition given he is unproven on good to firm ground and has never won over today's trip. The four-year-old comes into the race with recent form figures of 325222 and is ridden by Ryan Kavanagh, who has an 18% strike rate at the track. Trainer David Evans and the jockey have a combined record of 2/16 with an A/E of 0.97. Overall the KTB Fit of 58 marks him out as the selection in an open-looking heat.
Prince Ali KTB Fit 55/100
Prince Ali is a limited performer who has won once here and three times at this trip overall. Recent form is patchy yet he did manage a win in this grade three starts back. First-time headgear is now fitted while the trainer's modest record at the track is offset by the jockey's solid 14% strike rate here. The eight-year-old has recent form figures of 787361 and holds a course record of one win from six runs. Trainer Thomas Faulkner and Zoe Lewis show a combined 8/65 record with an A/E of 1.59. He has had two runs on good to firm without placing, yet his Chepstow success and KTB Fit of 55 keep him firmly in the picture.
A Rose Adaay KTB Fit 55/100
A Rose Adaay is a limited performer who has been placed twice from four runs at Chepstow without winning. She steps up in trip today having shown placed form at a mile before, though her sole run on good to firm ground brought no joy. The trainer's modest 9% strike rate here from a large sample is matched by the jockey's similar record from fewer rides. The four-year-old brings recent form of 6-5353 and has placed on two of her four course visits. Trainer Grace Harris and Ben Ffrench Davis combine with a 55 KTB Fit that makes her a solid each-way contender on her local knowledge.
Judge Frank KTB Fit 50/100
Judge Frank is a limited performer who has won once over this trip and once at this track from four visits. Recent form has been poor with no competitive showings in his last four starts and he has failed to place in two runs on good to firm ground. The yard and jockey both hold a 13% strike rate here which offers some hope on a track where he has shown his best. The five-year-old has form figures of -07788 and a course record of one win from four runs. Trainer John & Rhys Flint and Charles Bishop have a combined 0/9 record at this level, yet the 13% trainer course strike rate and KTB Fit of 50 suggest he cannot be entirely ruled out.
Star Of Atlantis KTB Fit 49/100
Star Of Atlantis is a limited performer who has shown very little spark in recent starts and now tries first-time headgear off the back of a string of modest efforts. Has won over today's trip but has never tackled good to firm ground and makes his first visit to Chepstow. Trainer holds a 10% strike rate here from 207 runs while jockey has a stronger 16% record from 56 rides. The five-year-old arrives with form figures of 985846. Adrian Wintle and Joe Leavy combine with a KTB Fit of 49 that leaves him needing to find considerable improvement on recent evidence.
The rest of the field
Lady MargretKTB Fit 48/100
Lady Margret is a limited filly who has shown little in six runs and was well beaten on her latest two starts. She has a previous run at this track but could manage only fifth, and she drops back in trip today having failed to make the frame in three tries at this distance. Trainer Tony Carroll has a modest 9% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey is operating at 16%. KTB Fit 48.
Fighting QueenKTB Fit 43/100
Fighting Queen is a limited performer who has failed to place in two starts this season and looks up against it again from a modest career record. Has won over today's trip but showed little on her only previous run here and is equally modest on good to firm ground. Trainer holds a solid 13% strike rate at Chepstow while the jockey operates at 8%. KTB Fit 43.
Weston CourtKTB Fit 41/100
Weston Court is a limited horse who has shown ordinary form at this level and has been placed once from six runs at Chepstow without winning. He steps up in trip today having won twice over this distance in the past yet his recent efforts over shorter have been modest. First-time headgear is now applied while both trainer and jockey remain winless at the track from small samples. The front-runner has a KTB Fit of 41.
FitzmauriceKTB Fit 41/100
Fitzmaurice is a limited performer who has shown very little in 13 starts and arrives here in poor form. First-time headgear is tried in a bid to spark some improvement but he has failed to place in four runs on good to firm and remains winless at this trip. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 9% strike rate here. KTB Fit 41.
Strong Man TomKTB Fit 29/100
Strong Man Tom is a limited performer who has shown little in three starts this year and finished sixth on both previous runs here. Drops back in trip with first-time headgear and from stall 1, though the small sample on good to firm ground leaves that side of things unknown. Trainer has a solid 13% strike rate at Chepstow while the jockey sits on 10% from ten rides at the track. KTB Fit 29.
KTB verdict
Knightmare is the KTB Selection. A limited performer, he has nevertheless been consistent at this level with five top-three finishes from his last six starts and now tries first-time headgear. The combination of recent placings, the Chepstow trainer and jockey stats and a KTB Fit of 58 make him the one to beat. Prince Ali, with a Chepstow win on his record and first-time headgear of his own, is the most obvious danger, while A Rose Adaay's course placings and Judge Frank's local success add further depth to what looks a competitive Class 6.
KTB Selection Knightmare
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Knightmare | 11/8 | Bet365 |
| Prince Ali | 3/1 | 7Bet |
| A Rose Adaay | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Judge Frank | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Star Of Atlantis | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Lady Margret | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Fighting Queen | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Weston Court | 15/2 | CopyBet |
| Fitzmaurice | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Strong Man Tom | 50/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 7:36 Chepstow. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Chepstow racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on good to firm and trying first-time headgear while stepping up in trip?
Knightmare is unproven on good to firm, has never won over today's trip and is fitted with first-time headgear.
How many wins has Prince Ali recorded at this trip and at Chepstow?
Prince Ali has won once here and three times at this trip overall.
Which runner has been placed twice at Chepstow without winning and is stepping up in trip?
A Rose Adaay has been placed twice from four runs at Chepstow without winning and steps up in trip today.
Who is the only horse noted as tending to make the running?
Weston Court tends to make the running or race on the pace, though the evidence is limited.
Which horse is dropping in class and has course form of two sixth-place finishes?
Strong Man Tom is dropping in class, has finished sixth on both previous runs here and tries first-time headgear.
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