7:41 Windsor
The 7:41 Windsor is a Class 3 handicap over 1m2f on good to firm ground, featuring an eight-runner field where the KTB numbers identify a compact group of principals separated by only six points on the Fit scale. Box To Box heads the ratings on 59 with consistent recent form and a return to a distance he knows well, while King's Code, Auld Toon Loon and A Major Payne follow closely behind on 56, 55 and 53 respectively. Several runners sport first-time headgear and the pace shape points to a strong gallop that could play into the hands of those racing off the pace.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace is likely to be strong, as the supplied shape assessment indicates with high confidence. Box To Box tends to make the running or race prominently while Bold Impact is another who likes to go forward, setting up the prospect of an honest early tempo that could cause the leaders to wilt in the closing stages. That scenario would favour the cluster of hold-up performers, with King's Code, Auld Toon Loon, A Major Payne, Law Court, City Of Poets and Parlando all waiting to pounce late. The key question is whether the pace collapses sufficiently for the closers to get there in time or whether the prominent pair can dictate matters.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Box To Box KTB Selection59/100Fair performer who has been consistent on his last two starts and drops back to a trip he has won over five times from 27 attempts.
- 2King's Code56/100King's Code is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form for most of this year with five duck eggs before a recent 5th.
- 3Auld Toon Loon55/100Useful performer who has won over this trip and has a solid record on good to firm ground.
- 4A Major Payne53/100Fair performer who has won over this trip and at Windsor, where his record reads one from two.
- 5Law Court52/100Law Court is a fair 3-year-old with solid placed form at this level and has already shown he handles Windsor.
- 6City Of Poets51/100City Of Poets is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and recent form that includes a win and a placed effort on good to firm ground.
- 7Parlando49/100Fair performer who has won over this trip and has already scored at Windsor from a single run.
- 8Bold Impact49/100Bold Impact is a fair performer who won over 1m here from four runs at the track and has placed three times on good to firm.
The contenders
Box To Box KTB Fit 59/100
Box To Box is a fair performer who has been consistent on his last two starts and drops back to a trip he has won over five times from 27 attempts. He has a solid record on good to firm ground with two wins and four places from nine runs. First-time headgear is now tried while both trainer and jockey have respectable records at Windsor. Hugo Palmer operates at a 15% strike rate at the track from 170 runs with an A/E of 0.87, and Luke Catton (3) is 12% from 26 rides with an A/E of 1.43. The seven-year-old is drawn in stall 7 and his recent form reads 51022-.
King's Code KTB Fit 56/100
King's Code is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form for most of this year with five duck eggs before a recent 5th. He has never won or placed in six runs on good to firm and his two efforts here were modest. First-time headgear is now reached for on a trip he has won at before. David Evans and J F Egan combine with a 10% strike rate from 1733 runs and an A/E of 0.81. The trainer's Windsor record stands at 10% from 924 runs with an A/E of 0.93 while the jockey is 7% from 588 rides with an A/E of 0.82. The six-year-old is drawn in stall 1, steps down in class and his recent form reads 000518.
Auld Toon Loon KTB Fit 55/100
Auld Toon Loon is a useful performer who has won over this trip and has a solid record on good to firm ground with two wins and two places from seven runs. He has already won at Windsor from just two runs here and returns in first-time headgear after a string of ordinary efforts. The yard has a respectable record at the track while the jockey is still seeking his first winner here from ten rides. Tom Dascombe is 10% at Windsor from 192 runs with an A/E of 0.78. Donagh Murphy (7) is 0% from 10 rides with an A/E of 0. The seven-year-old is drawn in stall 4, drops in class and his recent form reads 1-8378.
A Major Payne KTB Fit 53/100
A Major Payne is a fair performer who has won over this trip and at Windsor, where his record reads one from two. He has been in decent form this year with three wins from his last six starts and handles good to firm ground with one win and four places from five runs. First-time headgear is now applied as he steps up in class. Michael Bell and Billy Loughnane are 13% together from 24 runs with an A/E of 0.62. The trainer is 13% at Windsor from 565 runs with an A/E of 0.87 while the jockey is 16% from 110 rides with an A/E of 0.82. The five-year-old is drawn in stall 3 and his recent form reads 322131.
The rest of the field
Law CourtKTB Fit 52/100
Law Court is a fair 3-year-old with solid placed form at this level and has already shown he handles Windsor. He steps up to 1m2f for the first time today which asks a fresh question of his stamina. Richard Hannon has a 15% strike rate at the track from 797 runs with an A/E of 0.83 while the jockey has no recorded rides at Windsor. The colt is drawn in stall 8 and his recent form reads -22129.
City Of PoetsKTB Fit 51/100
City Of Poets is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and recent form that includes a win and a placed effort on good to firm ground. He steps up to 1m2f for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. James Tate has a solid 14% strike rate at Windsor from 72 runs while Rob Hornby is operating at 9% from 446 rides with an A/E of 0.81. The four-year-old is drawn in stall 2, drops in class and his recent form reads -39410.
ParlandoKTB Fit 49/100
Parlando is a fair performer who has won over this trip and has already scored at Windsor from a single run. He drops back from 1m2½f with first-time headgear fitted and his record on good to firm is solid with two wins and three places from six runs. Ian Williams has an 8% strike rate at the track from 249 runs with an A/E of 0.83 while Ryan Kavanagh (3) is 6% from 17 rides with an A/E of 0.57. The seven-year-old is drawn in stall 5, steps up in class and his recent form reads 936881.
Bold ImpactKTB Fit 49/100
Bold Impact is a fair performer who won over 1m here from four runs at the track and has placed three times on good to firm. He arrives in decent nick after a recent win and the yard has a solid 10% strike rate at Windsor from a big sample. The step up to an untried 1m2f is the main unknown today. Rod Millman and Gina Mangan are 14% together from 43 runs with an A/E of 1.21. The four-year-old is drawn in stall 6, steps up in class and his recent form reads 047341.
KTB verdict
Box To Box is the KTB Selection. A fair performer with a strong record at this trip and on good to firm ground, he arrives in consistent form, tries first-time headgear and should be suited by the strong pace likely to unfold given his prominent run-style. The drop back to a distance he has won over five times adds to his appeal, and the trainer-jockey combination holds respectable figures at Windsor. His main dangers are headed by A Major Payne, who has been in decent nick with three wins from his last six starts and has already scored at the track, along with Auld Toon Loon who has a prior course success and useful form on good to firm, while King's Code cannot be entirely dismissed on his best day now fitted with headgear.
KTB Selection Box To Box
This is the narrative read of the 7:41 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its first appearance in headgear?
Box To Box, King's Code, Auld Toon Loon, A Major Payne and Parlando are all wearing first-time headgear.
How many wins has Box To Box recorded over this trip?
Box To Box has won over this trip five times from 27 attempts.
Which runners are stepping up in class?
A Major Payne, Parlando and Bold Impact are all stepping up in class.
Which horses have previous winning form at Windsor?
Auld Toon Loon has won here from two runs, A Major Payne has won here from two runs, Parlando has won here from one run and Bold Impact has won here from four runs.
What is the going record of the KTB Selection?
Box To Box has two wins from nine runs on good to firm with four places.
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