6:50 Tramore
The John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle at Tramore brings together a field of ten at 2m0f80y on good ground. With no obvious leader in a race that lacks pace, the KTB numbers point to a steadily-run, tactical contest where being handy could prove decisive. The top two in the KTB Fit rankings, Sea Of Doubt and Del Boys Diva, stand out with scores of 75 and 72 respectively, while the remainder of the field clusters between 65 and 40.
How the race shapes up
Given the pace shape that lacks a leader, the race is expected to be steadily-run and tactical rather than strongly contested up front. Most principals are held-up types who produce their effort late, which should suit the shape, although Rare Times is the one likely to be prominent and could end up dictating a sensible gallop. The key question is whether the hold-up brigade can weave their way through in a race where positioning and timing will be critical.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Sea Of Doubt KTB Selection75/100Useful performer who has been placed on three of four starts at Tramore and arrives in decent form after a string of consistent efforts.
- 2Del Boys Diva72/100Smart performer who has won both starts on good ground and two of her four runs at this trip.
- 3Tingarran Express65/100Tingarran Express is a useful performer with a solid record here, including a win from five runs at Tramore.
- 4Like An Ocean57/100Useful performer who showed plenty when winning over this trip on good ground at the start of the summer.
- 5Galileo Springs56/100Useful performer who has shown consistent form, finishing in the first three on four of his last five starts.
- 6Golden Wings54/100Useful performer who has shown some ability on the Flat and over hurdles.
- 7Small Bucks52/100Useful performer who has won twice on good ground from 12 starts and has placed at today's trip without winning.
- 8Cinnabar Moth46/100Cinnabar Moth is a fair performer who has been out of the frame on all nine starts this year.
- 9Rare Times42/100Rare Times is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and placed efforts.
- 10Bravewhenineedtobe40/100Fair performer who has shown steady progress and landed a win last time out over 2m6f.
The contenders
Sea Of Doubt KTB Fit 75/100
Sea Of Doubt is a useful performer who has been placed on three of her four starts at Tramore and arrives in decent form after a string of consistent efforts. She drops back to 2m having been placed at the trip before, though she is now tried in first-time headgear. The Ian Patrick Donoghue yard maintains a solid 20% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.79 from 15 runs, while jockey Josh Williamson has a 20% strike rate at Tramore with an A/E of 1.28 from 10 rides. She has one win from ten starts on good ground with six placed efforts and her recent form reads 16232U. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is the KTB selection.
Del Boys Diva KTB Fit 72/100
Del Boys Diva is a smart performer who has won both starts on good ground and two of her four runs at this trip. Course connections look strong and the yard has a solid 14% strike rate here from 14 runs with an A/E of 1.59. First-time headgear is now added after a patchy recent record of 00-911. She has shown strong form on good ground with two wins from two starts and two placed efforts. Keith Donoghue takes the ride and the combination will be dangerous if the steadily-run race plays to her strengths as a usual hold-up performer.
Tingarran Express KTB Fit 65/100
Tingarran Express is a useful performer with a solid record here, including a win from five runs at Tramore. He has two wins from ten starts on good ground with four placed efforts and has won twice at this trip from twenty attempts, though he drops back from 2m3½f today. The trainer holds a 13% strike rate from 32 runs at the track with an A/E of 1.61. Recent form reads 14-629 and he is usually held up, producing his effort late. With Carl Millar in the saddle, he is respected on his course knowledge.
Like An Ocean KTB Fit 57/100
Like An Ocean is a useful performer who showed plenty when winning over this trip on good ground at the start of the summer. Has not been seen since and the yard's modest 5% strike-rate at Tramore with an A/E of 0.73 from 20 runs is another factor to weigh. She has one win from two starts on good ground with one placed effort and her recent form is 17. Lightly-raced overall so there could still be improvement to come. Usually held up with limited evidence, she remains an interesting contender at this level.
Galileo Springs KTB Fit 56/100
Galileo Springs is a useful performer who has shown consistent form, finishing in the first three on four of her last five starts. She steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance before, while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has a modest 12% strike rate at Tramore from 17 runs with an A/E of 0.8. Recent form reads /7213- and she has been placed once from four starts on good ground without winning. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she brings solid placed form into the equation.
The rest of the field
Golden WingsKTB Fit 54/100
Golden Wings is a useful performer who has shown some ability on the Flat and over hurdles. Drops back in trip today having been placed once at this distance without winning, though the first-time headgear is now tried to help him bounce back from a couple of poor runs. Recent form is 93P-07 and the trainer has a solid 15% strike rate from 509 runs at Tramore with an A/E of 0.82.
Small BucksKTB Fit 52/100
Small Bucks is a useful performer who has won twice on good ground from 12 starts and has placed at today's trip without winning. Recent form of -74010 shows a win last time but mixed results before that. The trainer has a 17% strike rate at Tramore from six runs with an A/E of 0.87 while this is the horse's first appearance here.
Cinnabar MothKTB Fit 46/100
Cinnabar Moth is a fair performer who has been out of the frame on all nine starts this year. She has shown little at this track in two runs and remains winless on good ground or over this trip from seven attempts. The yard has a modest 10% strike-rate here from a big sample of 194 runs.
Rare TimesKTB Fit 42/100
Rare Times is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and placed efforts. He has shown fair form when third on his most recent start and now drops back in trip to 2m for the first time, which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 86 runs at Tramore.
BravewhenineedtobeKTB Fit 40/100
Bravewhenineedtobe is a fair performer who has shown steady progress and landed a win last time out over 2m6f. Drops back in trip today having failed to place in three previous attempts at this distance. The trainer records a 7% strike rate from 86 runs at Tramore and she is unproven on good ground.
KTB verdict
Sea Of Doubt is the KTB selection. A useful performer with a strong placed record at Tramore and a string of consistent efforts, she drops back to a trip where she has been placed before and first-time headgear may sharpen her further in a steadily-run race that should suit her late effort. The main dangers are Del Boys Diva, who brings strong good-ground form and course connections, and Tingarran Express, who knows the track well and has winning form here. Like An Ocean and Galileo Springs add depth to what looks a competitive heat.
KTB Selection Sea Of Doubt
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 14 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sea Of Doubt | 4/1 | BetTom |
| Del Boys Diva | 11/4 | BetTom |
| Tingarran Express | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Like An Ocean | 14/1 | BetTom |
| Galileo Springs | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Golden Wings | 10/1 | BetTom |
| Small Bucks | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Cinnabar Moth | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Rare Times | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Bravewhenineedtobe | 12/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:50 Tramore. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Tramore racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most proven at Tramore?
Sea Of Doubt has been placed on three of four starts at Tramore, while Tingarran Express has a win from five runs here.
How many principals are wearing first-time headgear?
Three of the five principals are wearing first-time headgear: Sea Of Doubt, Del Boys Diva and Galileo Springs.
Who is the only prominent runner in the field?
Rare Times is the only prominent runner, usually racing handily on or close to the lead.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Tramore among those represented?
Ian Patrick Donoghue has a 20% strike rate at Tramore with an A/E of 1.79 from 15 runs.
Which horse has the best recent good-ground record?
Del Boys Diva has two wins from two starts on good ground.
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