5:05 Tramore
This Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race over 2m0f140y at Tramore on good ground brings together a field of twelve with limited overall depth. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by the selection Myluckymaker on 58, closely followed by debutant A Chairde Go Leir on 56 and Village Dream on 52. With no obvious leader in a steadily-run, tactical affair, the race is likely to place a premium on being well placed and timing a run effectively.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy should pay dividends. Most of the principals are held-up types who will be looking to produce their efforts late, though Bluebell Breeze is the one likely to race prominently. The key question is whether the race will develop enough pace for the closers to land their blows or whether those positioned closer to the steady tempo will hold the advantage.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Myluckymaker KTB Selection58/100Myluckymaker showed some promise when second on debut before running poorly next time and then bouncing back with a fair third last time out.
- 2A Chairde Go Leir56/100A Chairde Go Leir is a debutant so assessment rests on limited information.
- 3Village Dream52/100W P Mullins sends this lightly-raced 6-year-old out in first-time headgear after a modest fifth on its only start.
- 4Lockeen Rose50/100Lockeen Rose has a single completed start to her name after a recent schooling run and remains very lightly raced overall.
- 5Anna Quaintance49/100Anna Quaintance is a debutant with no racecourse experience.
- 6The Two Mary's43/100The Two Marys has very little to go on after just one completed start and two pulled-up efforts.
- 7Frau Blucher43/100Frau Blucher is a debutant so the form book offers nothing concrete.
- 8Winnie Mcgoogan43/100Winnie Mcgoogan is a debutant so any judgement rests on limited information.
- 9Super Freak41/100Super Freak has shown very little in two starts so far and finished well beaten on both occasions.
- 10Pamelaisbrass41/100Pamelaisbrass has shown very little in four starts so far with a string of modest efforts including a remote sixth last time.
- 11Moot Hall39/100Moot Hall is a debutant so knowledge is limited to pedigree and sales background.
- 12Bluebell Breeze38/100Bluebell Breeze has shown modest form in three starts with a best of fourth at this track last time.
The contenders
Myluckymaker KTB Fit 58/100
Myluckymaker arrives with the highest KTB Fit Score of 58 and is the selection. He showed some promise when second on debut before running poorly next time and then bouncing back with a fair third last time out. The five-year-old drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of him. John C McConnell has a 12% strike rate at Tramore from 129 runs while Mr Finn Buckley boasts a 50% strike rate from just two rides at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record.
A Chairde Go Leir KTB Fit 56/100
A Chairde Go Leir is a debutant so assessment rests on limited information. The pedigree and sales background offer no standout clues while the four-year-old has no prior racecourse experience to judge. Trainer Patrick Fahy holds a solid 12% strike rate from 223 runs at Tramore. The jockey has no record at the track which is scored neutrally. By Valirann, the yard's overall win rate with such progeny stands at 10% from 1400 runners and there is no course win on record.
Village Dream KTB Fit 52/100
W P Mullins sends Village Dream out in first-time headgear after a modest fifth on its only start. The lightly-raced six-year-old has the yard's strong 30% strike rate at Tramore from 691 runs as a clear positive. Mr P W Mullins has a 44% strike rate at the track from 73 rides. With just one run on this trip and a going sample of one run on good offering no win or place, the horse remains hard to assess with any confidence and has no course form on record.
Lockeen Rose KTB Fit 50/100
Lockeen Rose has a single completed start to her name after a recent schooling run and remains very lightly raced overall. The yard has a solid 11% strike-rate from 19 runs at Tramore. Stepping up in trip poses a fresh question while the small sample makes going and overall ability hard to gauge with any confidence. Usually held up and producing her effort late on the limited evidence available, she has no course form and is unproven on good ground.
Anna Quaintance KTB Fit 49/100
Anna Quaintance is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The pedigree and sales background offer the only pointers, though the low data confidence means any conclusions remain tentative. Trainer Peter Fahey has a solid 13% strike rate from 67 runs at Tramore. The jockey has a 16% strike rate at the track from 19 rides. By Waldgeist, the yard's overall win rate with such progeny stands at 8% from 826 runners and there is no course win on record.
The rest of the field
The Two Mary'sKTB Fit 43/100
The Two Marys has very little to go on after just one completed start and two pulled-up efforts. The lightly-raced profile means any assessment carries low confidence and the small sample prevents firm conclusions on ground or trip. Trainer John Joseph Hanlon operates at a 5% strike rate from 333 runs at Tramore while jockey Mr Finian Maguire has his own separate record at the track.
Frau BlucherKTB Fit 43/100
Frau Blucher is a debutant so the form book offers nothing concrete. Pedigree and sales background are the main pointers here yet the data confidence remains low. Trainer Michael O'Quigley has a modest 4% strike rate from 24 runs at Tramore.
Winnie McgooganKTB Fit 43/100
Winnie Mcgoogan is a debutant so any judgement rests on limited information. The trainer has only two runs at Tramore which is too small a sample to judge. Pedigree and sales background offer the only real pointers but with low data confidence there is little else to go on.
Super FreakKTB Fit 41/100
Super Freak has shown very little in two starts so far and finished well beaten on both occasions. The yard records a modest 8% strike rate at Tramore from 84 runs. With only two runs on his record the trip and ground remain untested questions.
PamelaisbrassKTB Fit 41/100
Pamelaisbrass has shown very little in four starts so far with a string of modest efforts including a remote sixth last time. The drop back from 2m2½f to today's trip poses a fresh question and the lightly-raced profile means the going remains an unknown. Trainer John G Carr operates at a 5% strike rate from 57 runs at Tramore while jockey Mr J Dunne has limited experience here.
Moot HallKTB Fit 39/100
Moot Hall is a debutant so knowledge is limited to pedigree and sales background. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate from 114 runs at Tramore. Connections are giving it a go on good ground but this is very much an unknown quantity at this stage.
Bluebell BreezeKTB Fit 38/100
Bluebell Breeze has shown modest form in three starts with a best of fourth at this track last time. The trip looks on the short side judged on her two runs at it and the small-sample course effort adds little confidence. Trainer and jockey records at Tramore are too limited to read anything into.
KTB verdict
Myluckymaker is the KTB Selection. He showed promise on debut, ran poorly next time then produced a fair third last time out, and the trainer's solid record at Tramore adds to his appeal even though he drops in trip to an untested distance. The race looks tactical with no obvious leader, so his held-up style will need a well-judged ride. Main dangers are the Mullins-trained Village Dream who brings the powerful yard record at the track, and the debutants A Chairde Go Leir and Anna Quaintance who are hard to weigh up but hail from yards with respectable local figures.
KTB Selection Myluckymaker
This is the narrative read of the 5:05 Tramore. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Tramore racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping back in trip today?
Myluckymaker drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried.
Who is wearing first-time headgear?
Village Dream is running in first-time headgear.
Which runner is likely to race prominently?
Bluebell Breeze is the one likely to race handily, on or close to the lead.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Tramore for the yard of the selection?
John C McConnell has a 12% strike rate at Tramore from 129 runs.
How many completed starts does Lockeen Rose have?
Lockeen Rose has a single completed start to her name.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies