3:00 York
A 14-runner Flat class 1 contest over 0m7f0y at York (3:00), on Good To Soft going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
Two or more habitual front-runners — the pace looks strong and could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Notable Speech KTB Selection67/100High-class performer with strong recent form including a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts.
- 2Zavateri67/100Smart performer who has won twice over this trip from four attempts and showed useful form when second in a Listed race here over a mile on his penultimate star…
- 3Lake Forest59/100Smart performer who has won at this track and knows his way around 7f.
- 4Ten Bob Tony59/100High-class performer with a solid recent record of 48114 and strong ratings backing.
- 5Marvelman59/100Smart performer who has won twice at this trip from ten attempts and arrives in reasonable form having placed twice from his last three starts.
- 6Satono Reve57/100Smart performer who arrives in solid recent form having finished in the first three on his last three starts.
- 7Flora Of Bermuda57/100Smart performer who has won two of her four starts at York including a Listed success over this trip last season.
- 8Native Warrior56/100Smart performer who has won four times at this trip from eight attempts and showed useful form when landing a Listed event at Newmarket last month.
- 9Powerful Glory56/100Smart performer who showed useful form when winning a 6f Listed event at Doncaster last season.
- 10Puerto Rico53/100Smart performer who has won both starts at this trip and now drops back from a mile.
- 11Paborus52/100Smart performer who has won four of his six starts at this trip and arrives in good form after a recent success.
- 12Rogue Diplomat50/100Smart performer who has won five of eight starts at this trip and handles good to soft ground well with two wins and a third from four runs.
- 13Lifeplan50/100Smart performer who has won both starts this year before a solid third in Listed company last time.
- 14Power Blue44/100Smart performer who has won once and been placed twice from just two starts at this trip.
The contenders
Notable Speech KTB Fit 67/100
High-class performer with strong recent form including a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts. Drops back to an untried 7f trip today having last run over a mile while making his first appearance at York. Trainer has a solid 17% strike rate here from 167 runs and the horse has handled good to soft ground competitively in one previous start.
Zavateri KTB Fit 67/100
Smart performer who has won twice over this trip from four attempts and showed useful form when second in a Listed race here over a mile on his penultimate start. Dropping back to 7f asks a fresh question but he has the ability to cope and his yard have a solid 13% strike rate at York from 75 runs. Recent fifth was a shade disappointing yet the overall record still reads well for a horse with only seven starts.
Lake Forest KTB Fit 59/100
Smart performer who has won at this track and knows his way around 7f. He has solid recent form including a win at this level but was well held last time and has only run once on good to soft ground without placing. Haggas has an 18% strike rate at York while Fallon is aboard.
Ten Bob Tony KTB Fit 59/100
High-class performer with a solid recent record of 48114 and strong ratings backing. Drops back to 7f having won four times at the trip from 12 attempts, though he makes his first appearance at York. Trainer has a 9% strike rate from 175 runs here while the horse is 1 from 3 on good to soft.
Marvelman KTB Fit 59/100
Smart performer who has won twice at this trip from ten attempts and arrives in reasonable form having placed twice from his last three starts. He has never run on good to soft ground so that is an unknown today and this will be his first visit to York. Trainer Andrew Balding has a solid 15 percent strike rate from 513 runs at the track while jockey P J McDonald is unproven here.
The rest of the field
Satono ReveKTB Fit 57/100
Smart performer who arrives in solid recent form having finished in the first three on his last three starts.
Flora Of BermudaKTB Fit 57/100
Smart performer who has won two of her four starts at York including a Listed success over this trip last season.
Native WarriorKTB Fit 56/100
Smart performer who has won four times at this trip from eight attempts and showed useful form when landing a Listed event at Newmarket last month.
Powerful GloryKTB Fit 56/100
Smart performer who showed useful form when winning a 6f Listed event at Doncaster last season.
Puerto RicoKTB Fit 53/100
Smart performer who has won both starts at this trip and now drops back from a mile.
PaborusKTB Fit 52/100
Smart performer who has won four of his six starts at this trip and arrives in good form after a recent success.
Rogue DiplomatKTB Fit 50/100
Smart performer who has won five of eight starts at this trip and handles good to soft ground well with two wins and a third from four runs.
LifeplanKTB Fit 50/100
Smart performer who has won both starts this year before a solid third in Listed company last time.
Power BlueKTB Fit 44/100
Smart performer who has won once and been placed twice from just two starts at this trip.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Notable Speech on a Fit Score of 67/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Zavateri and Lake Forest.
KTB Selection Notable Speech
This is the narrative read of the 3:00 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 3:00 at York?
Notable Speech tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 67/100.
How many runners are in this race?
14 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 3:00 at York?
The going is described as Good To Soft.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 0m7f0y.
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