3:37 Ffos Las
This Class 6 classified stakes over six furlongs at Ffos Las brings together a field of nine limited performers on good ground. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 42 and 50, underlining the modest nature of the contest and the likelihood that course form and tactical speed will prove decisive. With no obvious front-runner in a steadily-run, tactical affair, being handy from a good draw could pay dividends.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run race in which those positioned handily are likely to hold an advantage. Macarone is the one who can race prominently from a favourable draw of two, while several others including Diamondsinthesand, Outer Edge and most of the remainder are typically held up and will be looking to come from off the pace. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the closers will be able to pick their way through in the final furlong.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Diamondsinthesand50/100Diamondsinthesand is a limited performer who has been below form for some time and is now on his 50th career start.
- 2Macarone KTB Selection50/100Macarone is a limited horse who has been running consistently at this level without winning for some time.
- 3Outer Edge49/100Limited performer who has been a regular at this track without winning.
- 4Demetris Mouflon49/100Limited horse who has shown only modest form in seven starts.
- 5Mayflower Rock49/100Limited performer who has failed to place in six starts and looks no better than modest at this level.
- 6Sundiata Keita45/100Limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last two starts and looks vulnerable from stall 3 today.
- 7Ridger44/100Limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date.
- 8Coast43/100Coast is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year and rarely threatens to win.
- 9Rogue Rebellion42/100Limited performer who has shown enough to be competitive at this level without winning in nine runs at the trip.
The contenders
Diamondsinthesand KTB Fit 50/100
Diamondsinthesand is a limited performer who has been below form for some time and is now on his 50th career start. He retains solid course connections having won three times from nine runs at Ffos Las, including a previous success at this trip, and he acts on good ground with one win and three places from seven attempts. The nine-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, which may not be ideal in a steadily-run affair. Trainer Adrian Wintle has a modest 9% strike rate at the track from 114 runs, though this is offset by the jockey's strong 29% record from 14 rides here.
Macarone KTB Fit 50/100
Macarone is a limited horse who has been running consistently at this level without winning for some time. He showed his best effort here when second over course and distance on his only visit to Ffos Las and has won twice at today's trip. The five-year-old usually races handily on or close to the lead, a run-style that looks well suited to the anticipated steadily-run race from his draw of two. Trainer Grace Harris has a modest 8% strike rate at the track from 163 runs, but this is offset by Rossa Ryan's strong 27% strike-rate from 98 rides at Ffos Las.
Outer Edge KTB Fit 49/100
Outer Edge is a limited performer who has been a regular at this track without winning. He has shown some consistency here with a second and three fourths from five runs but looks vulnerable again on balance. The five-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, a style that could be disadvantaged if the race is not strongly run. He has won at this trip but is 0-8 on good ground, and while trainer Christopher Mason has a 14% strike rate at Ffos Las the yard is dropping him in class today.
Demetris Mouflon KTB Fit 49/100
Demetris Mouflon is a limited horse who has shown only modest form in seven starts. Dropping back to 6f today after a fair second over 7f last time, though he has failed to win or place in three previous runs at this trip. The three-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, with a medium level of confidence in that assessment. Trainer Rod Millman and jockey Lewis Edmunds both hold solid records at Ffos Las, while the horse himself ran respectably when fourth here on his only previous visit.
The rest of the field
Mayflower RockKTB Fit 49/100
Mayflower Rock is a limited performer who has failed to place in six starts and looks no better than modest at this level. He has been tried four times over today's trip without success, the small sample on good ground adds further uncertainty, and he has no course form on record.
Sundiata KeitaKTB Fit 45/100
Sundiata Keita is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last two starts and looks vulnerable from stall 3 today. He has shown some ability at this trip and has placed over course and distance before, but his record on good ground is modest and the yard's poor strike-rate at Ffos Las adds little confidence.
RidgerKTB Fit 44/100
Ridger is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date. First-time headgear is now reached for after a string of modest efforts, and while the yard has a solid record at the track this one has plenty to prove from a modest base.
CoastKTB Fit 43/100
Coast is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year and rarely threatens to win. He has shown some ability on good ground and at this trip in the past yet his recent efforts have been modest at best, with both yard and jockey holding a 10% strike rate at the track.
Rogue RebellionKTB Fit 42/100
Rogue Rebellion is a limited performer who has shown enough to be competitive at this level without winning in nine runs at the trip. He has placed once from four starts on good ground and comes from a yard with no established record at Ffos Las.
KTB verdict
Macarone is the KTB Selection. He has been running consistently at this modest level and showed his best effort here when second over course and distance on his only visit to Ffos Las. His prominent run-style from draw two looks ideally suited to the steadily-run shape of the race, and the combination with Rossa Ryan adds further appeal. The main dangers are Diamondsinthesand, who has a strong course record including three wins from nine runs here, and Outer Edge, who has shown consistency at the track without winning.
KTB Selection Macarone
This is the narrative read of the 3:37 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Ffos Las?
Diamondsinthesand has three wins from nine runs at the track.
How many horses are typically held up in their run-style?
Six of the nine runners are described as usually held up and producing their effort late.
Which horse has won twice at today's trip of 6f?
Macarone has won twice at today's trip.
Who has the best jockey strike rate at Ffos Las among the principals?
Taryn Langley has a 29% strike rate at Ffos Las from 14 rides.
Which runner is wearing first-time headgear?
Ridger is wearing first-time headgear.
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