6:40 Navan
The 6:40 at Navan is the second division of a 20-runner handicap over 1m20y on good ground. A field of largely modest and limited performers lines up, with the KTB Fit scores reflecting a lack of standout quality and recent form that is generally uninspiring across the board. The race lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being well placed to pounce will be important.
How the race shapes up
With no one obviously wanting the lead, the pace shape suggests a steadily-run affair where those racing handy can turn the race into a sprint for home in the straight. Most of the field, including the top five in the KTB Fit rankings, are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late. The key question is whether the race will develop into a test of positioning and timing on a track where being on the right part of the track in a big field can prove decisive.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Genuine Jim KTB Selection57/100
Genuine Jim is a limited horse who has been out of form for some time, with four straight zeros following a poor reappearance. He drops back to a trip he has won at before and has shown some competitiveness on good ground, having been placed once from three starts. The trainer holds a solid 10% strike rate at Navan from 48 runs with an A/E of 1.51, though the jockey remains winless from 19 rides at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the steadily-run race to unfold in his favour from draw 17. Recent form figures read 7-0000 and he carries a KTB Fit of 57.
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2Moyassr54/100
Moyassr is a modest performer who has dropped in the weights after a string of modest efforts this season. He drops back to a trip he has won at four times from 12 starts, though his recent form suggests he is struggling to produce his best. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate at Navan from 312 runs, while the jockey fares better with an 11% record from 35 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 7, he has one win and two places from 13 starts on good ground. Recent form figures read 156008 and he carries a KTB Fit of 54.
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3Tariff51/100
Tariff is a limited performer who has shown very little in six starts to date. He steps up to 1m for the first time today having failed to make an impact over shorter trips, with recent form figures reading 609-08. The trainer has a solid 17% strike rate at Navan from 12 runs with an A/E of 2.19, but the jockey operates at a modest 8% from 106 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late from a wide draw of 18, he has had two runs on good ground without winning or placing. He carries a KTB Fit of 51.
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4Concert Party47/100
Concert Party is a modest performer who has struggled this year and arrives on the back of a string of poor efforts with recent form figures reading 0-9509. He drops back in trip having been well held over longer distances recently and shows no win or place from three runs on good ground. Both trainer and jockey sit on a 6% strike rate at Navan from sizeable samples. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 9, he will be hoping the tactical nature of the race plays to his strengths. He carries a KTB Fit of 47.
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5Distillate46/100
Distillate is a limited performer who has shown the odd bit of ability but lacks real consistency. He has run five times at Navan without winning or placing, with figures of 14th, 6th, 17th, 4th and 12th, and the yard's modest 5% strike-rate here from 312 runs adds little encouragement. He goes well enough on good ground with one win and four places from 13 starts and has placed twice at this trip, though his overall strike-rate remains poor. Typically settling in midfield from draw 11, recent form reads -2700B and he carries a KTB Fit of 46.
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6Pinball Wizard45/100
Pinball Wizard is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with five poor runs since his last win. He has won over today's trip but only once from 18 attempts and his record on good ground is modest with just one success from 16 starts. First-time headgear is now fitted while both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates at Navan. Recent form reads 070-70 and he carries a KTB Fit of 45.
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7Chant d'Or45/100
Chant d'Or is a limited performer who has been beaten a long way in three starts to date. He drops back in trip from 1m4f to 1m today while wearing first-time headgear. The trainer has a solid 14% strike rate at Navan from 14 runs. Recent form reads 000- and he carries a KTB Fit of 45.
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8Make The Tide45/100
Make The Tide is a limited sort who has failed to progress in five starts and looks up against it from a wide draw. He steps up to 1m for the first time having shown little at 7f last time. Trainer and jockey both have solid Navan records but this one has limited ability. Recent form reads 86690 and he carries a KTB Fit of 45.
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9Winston's Promise45/100
Winston's Promise is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date, finishing no closer than eighth. He has failed to make an impact in two runs at this trip and the small sample makes the going an unknown. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Navan. Recent form reads 0880 and he carries a KTB Fit of 45.
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10Usuario Amigo44/100
Usuario Amigo is a limited performer who has struggled for the most part this year with a string of poor efforts. He steps up in trip today having been placed once in eight starts at this distance without winning, while he has won once and placed four times from 14 starts on good ground. The trainer has a 2% strike rate from 50 runs at Navan and the jockey is 5% from 58 rides here. Recent form reads 000970 and he carries a KTB Fit of 44.
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11Borora Aura44/100
Borora Aura is a limited performer who has been well beaten on all three starts this season. He has run here once before without showing much and is 0-5 at this trip. The trainer's modest record at Navan adds little confidence. Recent form reads 429660 and he carries a KTB Fit of 44.
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12Suerte42/100
Suerte is a limited performer who has shown very little in 13 starts and arrives here on the back of three poor efforts. The yard and jockey both have modest records at Navan and this four-year-old has failed to win or place in six runs on good ground. He is trying the trip again today having been beaten on both previous attempts at it. Recent form reads -70060 and he carries a KTB Fit of 42.
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13Onyeisi42/100
Onyeisi is a limited horse who has failed to place in any of his last six starts and looks exposed after 16 runs. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 50 runs at Navan while this drop back to 1m asks a fresh question having shown little at the trip before. Jockey Jack Cleary holds a solid 9% strike rate here from 53 rides but that is the main positive in an otherwise modest profile. Recent form reads 074070 and he carries a KTB Fit of 42.
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14Darwin's Angel40/100
Darwin's Angel is a limited performer who has shown little in 13 starts and arrives on the back of six poor runs. The yard has a modest 4% strike-rate at Navan while the jockey's 8% record from a large sample is respectable but not strong. Stepping up to 1m poses a fresh question and the horse remains winless on good ground from six attempts. Recent form reads -00600 and he carries a KTB Fit of 40.
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15Pettus Bridge40/100
Pettus Bridge is a limited performer who has shown very little in three completed starts and was pulled up on the latest. The trainer has a solid 9% strike rate from 145 runs at Navan while the jockey is operating at a modest 4% from 28 rides here. The trip looks a fresh question having failed to make an impact in one previous attempt at it. Recent form reads 099S and he carries a KTB Fit of 40.
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16Aghadrum Boy39/100
Aghadrum Boy has shown only limited ability in three starts, finishing no better than midfield on each occasion. He steps back to a trip he has already tried twice without success and remains open to improvement as a 3-year-old but the yard has a poor record at Navan. The jockey has a modest strike rate here as well. Recent form reads 480 and he carries a KTB Fit of 39.
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17Micasso37/100
Micasso is a limited performer who has struggled since a pair of placed efforts early last year. He has shown little spark in three starts this season and was only sixth of seven when he tried this track last time. He steps up in trip today having won once over this distance in the past. Recent form reads 20-100 and he carries a KTB Fit of 37.
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18Thompson Gunner36/100
Thompson Gunner is a limited performer who has shown little spark since his sole win last year. He has been beaten a long way on his only visit to Navan and has failed to place in six runs on good ground. Colin Keane is a positive booking but the yard has no wins from six attempts at the track. Recent form reads -15035 and he carries a KTB Fit of 36.
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19Hastily33/100
Hastily is a limited horse who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. He steps up markedly in trip today from 6f to 1m having been placed twice at this distance without winning and holds a respectable record on good ground. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from seven runs at Navan while this is the horse's first run at the track. Recent form reads 9-0009 and he carries a KTB Fit of 33.
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20Bang Po32/100
Bang Po is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and finished no better than sixth in two runs at this track. He has won over today's trip but is 0-5 on good ground and the trainer's modest 2% strike-rate at Navan adds little encouragement. Stall one might help but overall profile remains weak. Recent form reads 900600 and he carries a KTB Fit of 32.
KTB verdict
Genuine Jim is the KTB Selection. Though a limited horse who has been out of form for some time, he drops back to a trip he has won at before and has shown some competitiveness on good ground. The trainer's solid record at Navan offers some encouragement in a race where the majority of the field are modest types with patchy recent form. The main dangers are likely to come from Moyassr, who returns to a distance he has won at four times, and Tariff, who steps up to 1m for the first time with the yard in solid form at the track. The tactical nature of the race should suit those who can time their run from off the pace.
KTB Selection Genuine Jim
This is the narrative read of the 6:40 Navan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Navan racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Navan results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Genuine Jim the KTB Selection despite recent poor form?
Genuine Jim drops back to a trip he has won at before and has shown some competitiveness on good ground, while the trainer holds a solid 10% strike rate at Navan from 48 runs.
How is the race likely to be run given the pace shape?
The race lacks a leader and is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which horses are stepping up or down in trip for this race?
Tariff steps up to 1m for the first time, Chant d'Or drops back from 1m4f to 1m, Make The Tide steps up to 1m for the first time, Usuario Amigo steps up in trip, Darwin's Angel steps up to 1m, Pettus Bridge has the trip as a fresh question, Micasso steps up in trip, and Hastily steps up markedly from 6f to 1m.
Which trainers have the strongest strike rates at Navan in this field?
Conor David Maxwell has a 17% strike rate at Navan, Daniel McLoughlin has 14%, and R P Burns has 10%.
Which jockeys have the best records at Navan according to the supplied data?
Sam Coen has an 11% strike rate at Navan from 35 rides, W J Lee has 11%, and Colin Keane has 14%.
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