7:55 Chepstow
This Class 6 handicap division forms part of the Chepstow Mile Series qualifier over 1m14y on good to soft ground. A field of nine runners lines up where the KTB Fit scores point to a competitive but not especially high-class affair, with the top four separated by less than 20 points. Official ratings are tightly bunched between 63 and 72, and several hold course-and-distance winning form, suggesting the race will be decided by who handles the pace and track best on the night.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape looks fairly even with no obvious front-running bias, though several runners prefer to track the pace. Rival from stall one is likely to be ridden positively to secure a good early position, while King Of The Dance and Charencey can sit just off the speed. The key question is whether the race develops into a sprint for the line up the straight or if the prominent runners can dictate terms and hold on, with draw one potentially an advantage if Rival can secure the rail.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Rival62/100RPR 66 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2King Of The Dance55/100RPR 69 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Uncle Albert51/100RPR 72 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Marisitta43/100RPR 63 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Charencey42/100RPR 67 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Nutcracker42/100RPR 64 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Prince Ali40/100RPR 64 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Homeland40/100RPR 69 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Whiskey Sunrise40/100RPR 67 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Rival KTB Fit 62/100
Rival arrives with a KTB Fit score of 62 and official figures of RPR 66 and Topspeed 55. An eight-year-old with recent form figures of 82424-, he brings solid ability for this level and is proven at this track and trip having won over course and distance. The John & Rhys Flint yard has a 15% strike rate at Chepstow with an A/E of 1.51, which is a positive, though the trainer-jockey combination shows 2/27 (7%) with an A/E of 0.62. Taylor Fisher takes the ride and the horse is proven on good to soft ground at this course, making him well suited to conditions from a low draw.
King Of The Dance KTB Fit 55/100
King Of The Dance holds a KTB Fit of 55 with figures of RPR 69 and Topspeed 44. A seven-year-old showing recent form of 524344, he possesses slightly higher ability on paper than some rivals and is another course-and-distance winner who has proven effective on this going at Chepstow. Bernard Llewellyn’s record at the track stands at 9% with an A/E of 0.9, while the trainer-jockey partnership with David Probert reads 10/127 (8%) with an A/E of 0.80. Drawn in stall three, he should be able to track the early pace comfortably in a race that may suit his run-style.
Uncle Albert KTB Fit 51/100
Uncle Albert is rated with a KTB Fit of 51 and carries figures of RPR 72 and Topspeed 39. The five-year-old has recent form of 50-867 and represents the highest ability rating in the field on RPR, though his recent efforts have been modest. Adrian Wintle’s Chepstow record is 10% with an A/E of 0.91 and the trainer-jockey line with Finley Marsh shows 56/484 (12%) with an A/E of 0.98. There is no going data available and he holds no course wins, yet from draw nine he may be asked to come from off the pace in a race where his class could count if the leaders go hard early.
Marisitta KTB Fit 43/100
Marisitta has a KTB Fit score of 43 alongside figures of RPR 63 and Topspeed 59. A six-year-old with form figures of 79-475, she is modest on recent evidence but brings a respectable Topspeed number that hints at some ability on her day. John O’Shea’s Chepstow strike rate is 8% with an A/E of 0.88, though the trainer-jockey combination with Taryn Langley shows 0/5 (0%). No going data is available and there are no course wins to her name, leaving her with a bit to find from stall five, though she could track the pace in a race that may not be run to suit her fully.
The rest of the field
CharenceyKTB Fit 42/100
Charencey has a KTB Fit of 42 with figures of RPR 67 and Topspeed 56. Recent form reads 4456-5 and while he is a modest performer he holds an ability rating close to some of the principals; the Ian Williams yard shows 9% at Chepstow with an A/E of 0.77 and there is no course win on record.
NutcrackerKTB Fit 42/100
Nutcracker is rated with a KTB Fit of 42 alongside figures of RPR 64 and Topspeed 41. The four-year-old has recent form of -97733 and represents a modest profile; Tony Carroll’s Chepstow record stands at 9% with an A/E of 0.86 and there are no course wins.
Prince AliKTB Fit 40/100
Prince Ali carries a KTB Fit of 40 with an RPR of 64. An eight-year-old showing form of -78736, he is modest and the Thomas Faulkner yard has a 3% strike rate at Chepstow with an A/E of 0.3; no course wins on record.
HomelandKTB Fit 40/100
Homeland has a KTB Fit of 40 and figures of RPR 69 and Topspeed 57. Recent form is 59765- for the Thomas Faulkner yard which has a 3% Chepstow strike rate with an A/E of 0.3; no course wins to his name.
Whiskey SunriseKTB Fit 40/100
Whiskey Sunrise is rated with a KTB Fit of 40 and an RPR of 67. The four-year-old has recent form of 456-25 and runs in first-time headgear; the Max Comley yard has a 0% strike rate at Chepstow with an A/E of 0 and there are no course wins.
KTB verdict
Rival is the KTB Selection and makes plenty of appeal. He is a course-and-distance winner who is proven on this going, represents a yard with a strong record at Chepstow, and is drawn to get a good position early from stall one. His recent form is competitive for the level and the KTB Fit score of 62 tops the field. The main dangers are King Of The Dance, who is another C&D winner with solid recent form, and Uncle Albert, who brings the highest RPR in the race and could be suited if the pace is strong. Marisitta is next best of the principals but has more to prove than the selection.
KTB Selection Rival
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 06:17 UTC, 6 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Rival | 7/1 | 7Bet |
| King Of The Dance | 9/2 | 7Bet |
| Uncle Albert | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Marisitta | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Charencey | 9/2 | William Hill |
| Nutcracker | 8/1 | 7Bet |
| Prince Ali | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Homeland | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Whiskey Sunrise | 7/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 7:55 Chepstow. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Chepstow racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course and distance winning form in this race?
Rival and King Of The Dance are both course-and-distance winners.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Chepstow for the yard of the KTB Selection?
John & Rhys Flint have a 15% strike rate at Chepstow with an A/E of 1.51.
Which runner is equipped with first-time headgear?
Whiskey Sunrise runs in first-time headgear.
Who has the highest RPR in the field?
Uncle Albert has the highest RPR at 72.
Which stable has the best A/E at the track among those represented?
John & Rhys Flint have the best A/E at Chepstow with a figure of 1.51.
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