3:52 Perth
The Perth Silver Cup Handicap Chase is a competitive Class 3 GBB race over two miles on good ground. A field of six includes several high-class performers on their day, headed by horses with RPRs between 130 and 138. The KTB Fit Scores point to a tight contest at the top of the handicap, with the selection holding a narrow edge on the numbers.
How the race shapes up
With four habitual front-runners in the line-up the pace shape is expected to be strong. Hypotenus, Classic Maestro, Newtown Rambler, Itwasfate and Captain Cool are all likely to contest the lead or race prominently from the outset. That early speed could cause the race to collapse late, handing an advantage to the one horse who races held up.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Hypotenus KTB Selection73/100RPR 138 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Classic Maestro70/100RPR 135 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Newtown Rambler64/100RPR 133 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Garde Des Champs61/100RPR 135 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Itwasfate57/100RPR 132 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Captain Cool54/100RPR 130 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Hypotenus KTB Fit 73/100
Hypotenus is a high-class performer on his best days with an RPR of 138 and Topspeed of 135 to call upon. He has shown consistent placed form of late, including a third here on his only visit to Perth, though he is only 2-24 over today's trip. The Mulholland yard posts a solid 20% strike rate at the track while Jack Tudor knows the place well with a 26% strike rate and A/E 1.54 from 23 rides. He tends to make the running or race prominently and steps up in class here. His record on good ground reads one win from eight starts with three places.
Classic Maestro KTB Fit 70/100
Classic Maestro is a high-class performer on his day with a recent win and strong RPR of 135. He has already won on this track from a single run and handles good ground, though he drops back in trip from 2m4f to a distance where he has won seven of his twelve starts. The yard posts a 12% strike rate from 100 runs at Perth, but the combination of trainer and jockey shows 16 wins from 53 rides with an A/E of 1.30 and positive LSP. He tends to make the running or race prominently and is dropping in class.
Newtown Rambler KTB Fit 64/100
Newtown Rambler is a high-class performer who won over this trip on his only previous visit to Perth and arrives in form after a recent success. He has solid figures on good ground though remains winless in three attempts, while the yard’s respectable record here adds some confidence. Lightly raced for his age with strong RPR and Topspeed ratings to back him up, he steps up in class. The combination of trainer and jockey shows three wins from seven rides. He tends to make the running or race prominently.
Garde Des Champs KTB Fit 61/100
Garde Des Champs remains a high-class performer on his day with RPR and Topspeed figures of 135 and 134 to call upon. He has won twice at Perth and twice at today's trip though his recent form of 3448-4 suggests he is vulnerable to sharper types at this level. The yard's modest 8% strike rate at the track is another negative to weigh up, as is the trainer-jockey combination which reads six wins from 65 rides with an A/E of 0.72. He is usually held up and produces his effort late, which could be an advantage given the expected strong pace. His record on good ground reads two wins from 24 starts with seven places.
The rest of the field
ItwasfateKTB Fit 57/100
Itwasfate is a high-class performer with an RPR of 132 and has shown strong form this year through a win and two places from his last four completed starts. He has won on good ground and at today's trip though his record over 2m reads just 1-17 overall. The yard's record here is too small a sample to judge while this is the horse's first run at Perth. He tends to make the running or race prominently.
Captain CoolKTB Fit 54/100
Captain Cool arrives in strong form with three wins from his last five starts and holds a high-class rating that puts him right in the mix. He has placed both times at Perth without winning and his record on good ground is solid rather than sparkling. The yard's modest strike rate here adds a note of caution. He tends to make the running or race prominently and steps up in class.
KTB verdict
Hypotenus is the KTB Selection. He brings an RPR of 138, consistent placed form and a third on his only previous run at Perth, while the Mulholland yard and Jack Tudor both have above-average records at the track. The strong pace likely to be set by several front-runners should play to his prominent style without leaving him with too much to do. His main dangers are Classic Maestro, who won here on his only start and drops in trip, and in-form Newtown Rambler who also has a course win over the distance to his name. Garde Des Champs is respected on his Perth record but recent form raises questions at this level.
KTB Selection Hypotenus
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 05:52 UTC, 7 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Hypotenus | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| Newtown Rambler | 5/2 | BetTom |
| Garde Des Champs | 11/1 | Midnite |
| Itwasfate | 9/1 | 7Bet |
| Captain Cool | 9/4 | Midnite |
This is the narrative read of the 3:52 Perth. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Perth racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to benefit most from the strong pace?
Garde Des Champs, the only hold-up performer in the field, is suited by the expected strong pace that could cause the race to collapse late.
How many of these runners have previous winning form at Perth?
Three runners have won at Perth: Classic Maestro (1 from 1), Newtown Rambler (1 from 1) and Garde Des Champs (2 from 17).
What is the trainer-jockey strike rate for the selection Hypotenus?
The trainer and jockey combination for Hypotenus shows 2 wins from 6 rides (33%).
Which horse has the best recent form figures in the race?
Captain Cool has the strongest recent form with figures of 22-112, including three wins from his last five starts.
How does the class profile differ among the leading contenders?
Hypotenus, Newtown Rambler and Garde Des Champs are all stepping up in class, while Classic Maestro is dropping in class.
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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
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