2:07 Perth
This Class 4 GBB novices' hurdle at Perth over 2m4f35y on good ground features a compact field of seven. The KTB Fit Scores highlight a tight contest at the top, with Kibris and Trigg separated by just a single point on 67 and 66 respectively, while Flying Ace sits on 61. The race lacks an obvious front-runner and the official figures suggest the principals bring the strongest form into the contest.
How the race shapes up
With no confirmed front-runner the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical. Those ridden close to the pace or in midfield look best placed to take advantage as the race is unlikely to be run at a strong gallop. The key question is whether the prominent racers can dictate matters or if the hold-up performers will be given the chance to deliver their efforts late off what should be a steady tempo.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Kibris KTB Selection67/100RPR 117 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Trigg66/100RPR 118 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Flying Ace61/100RPR 106 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Dolly Dior50/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 5Busted Springs43/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 6Saint Cunning41/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 7Brewdog39/100RPR 69 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Kibris KTB Fit 67/100
Kibris is a smart performer who showed his class when winning over 2m here on his most recent start. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question and his only previous effort on good ground saw him finish placed rather than win. The RPR of 117 gives him a solid benchmark in this field. Trainer S R B Crawford has an 11% strike rate at Perth from 382 runs while jockey J J Slevin boasts a 20% strike rate at the track from 30 rides. He typically settles in midfield and has course-winning form to his name from one visit.
Trigg KTB Fit 66/100
Trigg is a smart prospect who looked the part when landing a Uttoxeter novice hurdle last time to go 2-4 in his completed starts. He steps up in trip today which looks sure to suit on pedigree and the way he travels, arriving in top form. The RPR of 118 is the highest in the field. Trainer Dan Skelton has a strong 34% strike rate at Perth from 44 runs and jockey Harry Skelton posts a 29% strike rate at the track from 51 rides. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and has one win from one run on good ground.
Flying Ace KTB Fit 61/100
Flying Ace is a smart performer who showed his ability when winning an odds-on Cartmel maiden over 2m1f on good ground 11 days ago. He steps up in trip today having run once before at this distance without success and remains lightly raced overall. The RPR of 106 places him below the top two on figures. Gordon Elliott has a 28% strike rate at Perth from 808 runs while the yard has won three of the last four renewals of this race. Sean Bowen takes the ride with a 32% strike rate at the track from 328 rides. He usually races handily on or close to the lead and boasts one win from two runs on good ground.
Dolly Dior KTB Fit 50/100
Dolly Dior showed little in two bumpers last year and now switches to hurdling. The step up to 2m4f is an unknown and the Perth run on debut reads poorly. She has no RPR available and has recorded two runs on good ground without a win or place. Trainer Patrick Neville has a solid 16% strike-rate here from 73 runs while Alan Doyle, claiming 3lb, has an 8% strike rate at Perth from 84 rides. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, she has course form that reads seventh on her only visit.
The rest of the field
Busted SpringsKTB Fit 43/100
Busted Springs has shown little in two bumper runs, finishing tailed off at huge odds both times. He steps up markedly in trip today and has already been well beaten on this track. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate from 357 runs at Perth adds little encouragement and he remains unproven on good ground.
Saint CunningKTB Fit 41/100
Saint Cunning showed ordinary form when fifth in a bumper here on debut and raced freely before weakening. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question. The yard’s 11% strike rate from 382 runs at Perth offers some encouragement but with only one run on the board overall this remains very early days and he is unproven on good ground.
BrewdogKTB Fit 39/100
Brewdog has shown very little in three runs and was well beaten both starts here at Perth. The modest RPR of 69 and Topspeed of 21 reflect a limited level of ability at this stage. Stepping up markedly in trip poses a fresh question while the trainer's modest 6% strike rate at the track from 357 runs offers no encouragement.
KTB verdict
Kibris is the KTB Selection. He showed his class when winning over 2m here last time and possesses solid RPR figures along with course-winning form. The step up in trip is the main question mark but his overall profile and the yard's record at the track make him the one to beat. Trigg is the obvious danger given his strong recent form, high RPR and the excellent Perth record of the Skelton team, while Flying Ace cannot be dismissed after his recent Cartmel success and the yard's recent dominance in this race.
KTB Selection Kibris
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 04:31 UTC, 7 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Trigg | 8/11 | BresBet |
| Dolly Dior | 50/1 | Bet Victor |
| Busted Springs | 125/1 | Bet Victor |
| Saint Cunning | 14/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 2:07 Perth. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Perth racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest RPR in the field?
Trigg on 118.
How many of the last four renewals of this race has Gordon Elliott won?
Three.
What is Dan Skelton's strike rate at Perth?
34% from 44 runs.
Which runners are unproven on good ground?
Busted Springs and Saint Cunning.
Which horse has course-winning form at Perth?
Kibris from one visit.
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