1:07 Navan
This 5f maiden at Navan for two-year-olds has attracted a field of ten on good ground, with the KTB numbers highlighting a competitive but open-looking affair. Cleodolinda tops the Fit ratings on the back of a promising debut second here, while a clutch of debutants and lightly-raced types sit close behind on the figures. The lack of a confirmed leader points to a steadily-run, tactical race in which positioning and a first-time run on this surface will be key.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner in the field the pace shape is expected to be steady and tactical rather than an all-out sprint for the lead. Hanney Boy is the most likely to race prominently from his draw, while several others including Cleodolinda and Desert Alchemist are typically held up and will look to come from off the pace. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the closers will be given too much to do in a race where being handy looks an advantage.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Cleodolinda KTB Selection57/100RPR 86 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Rejoinder54/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 3Hanney Boy53/100RPR 71 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Desert Alchemist52/100RPR 75 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Spirit Of Mann49/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 6Come On Noddy46/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 7Arrowstock45/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 8Away And Gone45/100RPR 61 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Queenofthewild42/100RPR 44 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Howlin Wolf29/100RPR 19 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Cleodolinda KTB Fit 57/100
Cleodolinda showed fair ability when chasing home a useful rival over this trip at Navan on debut. She dwelt at the start yet finished with real purpose to be beaten only half a length, suggesting she will sharpen up for the experience. The small sample means her exact level remains unclear but the placed effort reads well in a race of this type. With an RPR of 86 she sits clear on the figures. Aidan O'Brien's 15% strike rate at Navan from 52 runs adds some encouragement though the jockey's 5% record at the track from 183 rides is more modest. Unproven on good ground having not raced on it before, she has already placed over course and distance.
Rejoinder KTB Fit 54/100
Rejoinder is a Space Blues colt who fetched 82,000 euros as a 2-year-old. He is closely related to Thunder Beauty, a smart winner at 6f and a mile, with half-brothers who scored over middle distances on the all-weather and in Germany. The trainer has a 20 percent strike rate from five runs at Navan. With no racecourse form and low data confidence the colt remains an unknown on good ground. Connections are respected and his market moves will be worth watching. He has no RPR or Topspeed figures to go on.
Hanney Boy KTB Fit 53/100
Hanney Boy has shown promise in both starts to date, finishing second over 5.5f on soft ground at Cork before running into traffic when favourite over 6f back at the same track. The form of his debut has been boosted with the third winning a maiden here since and this stiff 5f looks a good fit after racing keenly last time. A modest performer on the figures he holds leading claims if he settles better. His RPR of 71 places him below the selection. The trainer's 8% strike rate at Navan from 12 runs is fair while the jockey has a 0% record at the track from seven rides. Unproven on good ground having not raced on it before, he is likely to race handily.
Desert Alchemist KTB Fit 52/100
Desert Alchemist showed fair form when finishing third on debut over 6f at Cork last month. He looked as though he did not quite see out the trip that day and now drops back to 5f for the first time which poses a fresh question. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate from 102 runs at Navan. His RPR of 75 is respectable in this company. Unproven on good ground having not raced on it before, he is usually held up and produces his effort late. The combination of the drop in trip and the trainer's record at the venue leaves him with questions to answer.
Spirit Of Mann KTB Fit 49/100
Spirit Of Mann is a Havana Grey colt who cost 160,000gns as a 2yo. His dam won over 7f on AW at two and comes from a strong middle-distance family that includes Group 1 winners Timepiece and Passage Of Time. He showed promise when second in a Naas barrier trial last month. Connections look solid with M D O'Callaghan holding a 16% strike rate at Navan from 110 runs. Colin Keane takes the ride on this debutant. With no racecourse form and low data confidence the picture remains incomplete.
The rest of the field
Come On NoddyKTB Fit 46/100
Come On Noddy is a Profitable colt who cost just €4,000 as a yearling. He is a half-brother to a modest 2yo winner and his dam won over 1m2f as a juvenile in France. The yard has had a recent 2yo winner but the trainer's record at Navan is modest with a 5% strike rate from 327 runs.
ArrowstockKTB Fit 45/100
Arrowstock is a Cotai Glory filly who cost 17,000 euros as a yearling. Her dam won over 6f and 7f at two and her family includes some useful sprint performers at Listed level. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from nine runs at Navan and this newcomer has no RPR or Topspeed figures to go on. Best watched on debut unless the market speaks.
Away And GoneKTB Fit 45/100
Modest filly who was sent off joint favourite on her Cork debut but could only manage seventh of 13. That run leaves her with plenty to find and the Topspeed figure of 42 underlines she failed to impress. Trainer has a solid 15% strike rate at Navan but this remains a lightly-raced newcomer with only one run to go on.
QueenofthewildKTB Fit 42/100
Limited filly who showed very little on her debut at Cork, finishing eighth of nine and 6.5 lengths behind the winner. The RPR of 44 confirms she is operating at a very modest level and needs major improvement. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Navan from a big sample but this one has too little form to judge with any confidence.
Howlin WolfKTB Fit 29/100
Howlin Wolf showed very little on debut here over 6f three weeks ago, finishing seventh and beaten 21 lengths. He is dropping back to 5f today which asks a fresh question of him while the trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Navan from 69 runs offers little encouragement. The limited RPR of 19 and small sample size mean this is very much one to treat with caution.
KTB verdict
Cleodolinda is the KTB Selection. Her debut second over course and distance reads strongly in a race of this nature, with the RPR of 86 giving her a clear edge on the numbers and the promise of sharpening up for the experience. She holds leading claims if she can reproduce that form on good ground. The main dangers are the promising debutants Rejoinder and Spirit Of Mann, both of whom have respected connections, as well as Hanney Boy who has shown consistent promise and looks suited by the trip if he can settle.
KTB Selection Cleodolinda
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 05:43 UTC, 7 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Cleodolinda | 15/8 | Bet365 |
| Rejoinder | 6/1 | Bet Victor |
| Hanney Boy | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Desert Alchemist | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Spirit Of Mann | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Come On Noddy | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Arrowstock | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Away And Gone | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Queenofthewild | 12/1 | Bet Victor |
| Howlin Wolf | 66/1 | Bet Victor |
This is the narrative read of the 1:07 Navan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Navan racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course and distance experience in this maiden?
Cleodolinda has one run here over 5f, finishing second on debut.
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Lacks a leader with medium confidence, likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which runners are unproven on good ground?
Cleodolinda, Hanney Boy, Desert Alchemist, Away And Gone and Queenofthewild have no runs on good.
Who is the most prominent runner on expected run-style?
Hanney Boy usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Navan in this field?
M D O'Callaghan has a 16% strike rate at Navan from 110 runs.
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