6:10 Worcester
This Class 5 mares' NH Flat race at Worcester over 2m on good ground features a field of 16 with a heavy emphasis on debutants and pointers. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Crack Of Thunder on 63, reflecting limited but positive yard and jockey course stats at Worcester despite the unknowns of no racecourse form. With figures and confidence low across much of the lineup, the race is very much an open learning event for many of these.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence owing to insufficient run-style evidence across the field. Unflappable is noted as prominent and usually races handily while Liberty Leader tends to be held up, yet the majority of runners lack established patterns. This leaves the key question of how the tempo will unfold and which newcomers can adapt quickest to the demands of a bumper on good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Crack Of Thunder KTB Selection63/100Crack Of Thunder is a 23,000gns yearling whose half-sister was a fair sprinter and whose dam won over 6f.
- 2Matilda Maid57/100Matilda Maid is a newcomer with a pedigree that offers some longer-term promise.
- 3Pearl Cove56/100Pearl Cove is a debutant with a middle-of-the-road pedigree.
- 4Queens Glance55/100Mark Rimell has a solid 15% strike-rate at Worcester from 39 runs and sends this first-foal newcomer out in first-time headgear and tongue-tie.
- 5Lady Of Tarsus54/100Lady Of Tarsus is a debutant whose pedigree offers some hope as the third foal from an unraced sister to high-class bumper and hurdle winner Kilcooley.
- 6Unflappable52/100Unflappable shaped with promise when a clear third on debut at Newton Abbot last month and holds a useful RPR of 101 from that run.
- 7Poppieholla51/100Poppieholla is a newcomer whose pedigree offers some appeal as a sister to a 2m3f hurdle winner and half-sister to a 2m hurdle winner out of a bumper-winning da…
- 8Dora's Double48/100Dora's Double is a bumper newcomer by an unknown sire and the first foal of a pointing winner.
- 9Maximore47/100Maximore makes his rules debut for an astute Irish yard after two pulled-up runs in points this year.
- 10Eagles Promise47/100Eagles Promise is a newcomer from a jumps-oriented family.
- 11Honour Me45/100Honour Me is a 5-year-old newcomer from a yard that has a solid 24% strike rate at Worcester from 21 runs.
- 12Pearl Knot44/100This newcomer has a stout pedigree for jumping with a dam who won over hurdles up to 3m and plenty of stamina influences on the dam side.
- 13Tottie's Moon44/100First foal out of an unplaced dam who is a sister to useful jumper Mac Tottie.
- 14Lucy Glitters44/100Lucy Glitters is a newcomer who makes her debut in a hood.
- 15Evenly42/100Evenly is a newcomer with nothing on the clock and no RPR or Topspeed to go on.
- 16Liberty Leader37/100Liberty Leader showed only minor promise when fifth of nine on debut at Bangor last month.
The contenders
Crack Of Thunder KTB Fit 63/100
Crack Of Thunder is a 4-year-old newcomer who fetched 23,000gns as a yearling. Half-sister to a fair sprinter and out of a dam who won over 6f, the pedigree does not immediately shout bumper material. Yet the Jack Jones yard posts a 40% strike rate at Worcester from a small sample of five runs with an A/E of 1.92, while Rian Corcoran has a 43% strike rate at the track from seven rides with an A/E of 1.91. By Cracksman, who has a 12% overall win rate, this remains very much an unknown on debut with no course win on record and low data confidence, but the yard's local record commands respect.
Matilda Maid KTB Fit 57/100
Matilda Maid is a 4-year-old newcomer whose pedigree carries longer-term promise. Half-sister to two pointing winners and from a family that produced the stable's Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Coneygree as well as high-class jumper Carruthers, she is by Planteur who has a 9% overall win rate. The Mrs Sara V Bradstock yard shows a 100% strike rate at Worcester from one run with an A/E of 11, though the jockey has no record at the track. With no racecourse form on record and low data confidence this is very much an unknown on debut.
Pearl Cove KTB Fit 56/100
Pearl Cove is a 4-year-old debutant with a middle-of-the-road pedigree. Half-sister to a low-grade chase winner and out of a dam who was a useful hurdler and chaser, she is by Old Persian who has a 0% overall win rate from eight runners. Shaun Lycett has a 12% strike rate at Worcester from 178 runs with an A/E of 1.13 while Freddie Keighley posts an 18% strike rate at the track from 11 rides with an A/E of 1.77. The stable is not known for bumper runners and this looks like a learning exercise with no course win on record.
Queens Glance KTB Fit 55/100
Queens Glance is a 4-year-old first-foal newcomer who runs in first-time headgear. By Passing Glance who has a 12% overall win rate, the dam was a low-grade 2m Flat winner and half-sister to the yard's fair hurdler I'm A Starman, yet the rest of the pedigree leaves this one looking less interesting than several of the other debutants. Mark Rimell has a 15% strike rate at Worcester from 39 runs with an A/E of 1.3. With no RPR or Topspeed to go on and low data confidence the overall profile remains very much unknown.
Lady Of Tarsus KTB Fit 54/100
Lady Of Tarsus is a 5-year-old whose pedigree offers some hope as the third foal from an unraced sister to high-class bumper and hurdle winner Kilcooley. She was beaten before unseating at the penultimate fence in a heavy-ground Irish point in February. By Blue Bresil who has a 12% overall win rate, the yard has limited data available while the jockey has an 11% strike rate at Worcester from nine rides with an A/E of 1.23. With no course win on record and recent form figures of U/ this remains a debutant profile with scope.
The rest of the field
UnflappableKTB Fit 52/100
Unflappable shaped with promise when a clear third on debut at Newton Abbot last month and holds a useful RPR of 101 and TS of 64 from that run. The half-sister to fairly useful chaser Pure Carbon now drops back in trip to 2m which asks a fresh question while dropping in class; trainer and jockey records at Worcester are too small to judge and the going remains an unknown on just one placed run on good.
PoppiehollaKTB Fit 51/100
Poppieholla is a newcomer whose pedigree offers some appeal as a sister to a 2m3f hurdle winner and half-sister to a 2m hurdle winner out of a bumper-winning dam. By Passing Glance who has a 12% overall win rate, the yard has a solid 16% strike rate at Worcester from 19 runs with an A/E of 1.4 though the jockey has a 0% strike rate from 13 rides. With no racecourse form and low data confidence this is very much an unknown on debut.
Dora's DoubleKTB Fit 48/100
Dora's Double is a bumper newcomer by an unknown sire and the first foal of a pointing winner whose dam is an unraced half-sister to Midlands Grand National winner Russian Trigger. The stable holds a solid 12% strike-rate in these events; Neil Mulholland has a 14% record from 505 Worcester runners with an A/E of 1.03 while Bradley Harris claims 3lb and has a 10% strike rate at the track.
MaximoreKTB Fit 47/100
Maximore makes his rules debut for an astute Irish yard after two pulled-up runs in points this year and runs in first-time headgear. By Maxios who has an 11% overall win rate, the 5-year-old brings no RPR or Topspeed figures and carries low data confidence overall; the jockey has a 14% strike rate from 14 rides at Worcester.
Eagles PromiseKTB Fit 47/100
Eagles Promise is a newcomer from a jumps-oriented family with a dam who won over 2m hurdles and is closely related to smart bumper and jumps winners Super Duty and Grandads Cottage. By Wings Of Eagles who has a 10% overall win rate, Tom George has a 12% strike rate at Worcester from 243 runs and is 4-22 in bumpers in the last five seasons while the jockey has limited track experience.
Honour MeKTB Fit 45/100
Honour Me is a 5-year-old newcomer from a yard that has a solid 24% strike rate at Worcester from 21 runs with an A/E of 0.99. Half-sister to several jumps winners including the useful Persian Time, she was bought for just £1,000 as a 3yo yet joins a good stable; with no racecourse form and low data confidence the picture remains tentative.
Pearl KnotKTB Fit 44/100
This newcomer has a stout pedigree for jumping with a dam who won over hurdles up to 3m and plenty of stamina influences on the dam side. By Gentlewave who has a 13% overall win rate, the yard have a solid record in bumpers yet their overall strike-rate at Worcester is just 7% from 72 runs; with no racecourse form to go on and low data confidence this is very much an unknown on debut.
Tottie's MoonKTB Fit 44/100
First foal out of an unplaced dam who is a sister to useful jumper Mac Tottie, Tottie's Moon runs in first-time headgear and tongue-tie. By Pether's Moon who has a 13% overall win rate, the stable does well in bumpers yet the trainer is operating at only 8% strike rate from 26 runs at Worcester with an A/E of 0.35; this is a very speculative profile.
Lucy GlittersKTB Fit 44/100
Lucy Glitters is a newcomer who makes her debut in first-time headgear. Half-sister to a point winner out of a bumper and 2m5f hurdle winner who is herself related to Smart Mover, there is some stamina in the pedigree by Jack Hobbs who has a 10% overall win rate. Tom George has a 12% strike rate from 243 runs at Worcester while this is Beau Morgan's first ride at the track.
EvenlyKTB Fit 42/100
Evenly is a newcomer with nothing on the clock and no RPR or Topspeed to go on. Half-brother to useful jumper Bobs Law out of a dam who showed a bit in points and bumpers, the pedigree offers some encouragement while the stable has a solid 12 percent strike-rate in these races; Donald McCain posts a 13 percent strike-rate at Worcester from 307 runs with an A/E of 0.8.
Liberty LeaderKTB Fit 37/100
Liberty Leader showed only minor promise when fifth of nine on debut at Bangor last month and holds an RPR of 95 and TS of 55. Dropping in class and back slightly in trip having already tried this distance without success, he needs to improve sharply on that initial effort; the trainer has a 0% strike rate from 20 runs at Worcester and both going suitability on good and overall ability remain unproven.
KTB verdict
Crack Of Thunder is named the KTB Selection. The 4-year-old brings no racecourse form but the yard's 40% strike rate at Worcester from a small sample, allied to the jockey's strong 43% record at the track, gives the debutant a solid local angle in a race full of unknowns. The case rests on that Worcester prowess outweighing the pedigree question marks for a horse whose half-sister was a fair sprinter. Main dangers include the promising Unflappable who showed clear promise on debut with a strong RPR, the well-related Matilda Maid from a yard with a perfect Worcester record in limited attempts, and the 9/2 shot Lady Of Tarsus who brings pointing experience and a link to high-class performer Kilcooley.
KTB Selection Crack Of Thunder
This is the narrative read of the 6:10 Worcester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Worcester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score and what is it?
Crack Of Thunder has the highest KTB Fit Score of 63/100.
What is the recent form and RPR for Unflappable?
Unflappable has recent form figures of 3 and an RPR of 101.
Which runners are making their debut in first-time headgear?
Queens Glance, Maximore, Tottie's Moon and Lucy Glitters are making their debut in first-time headgear.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Worcester for the yard of the selection Crack Of Thunder?
Jack Jones has a 40% strike rate at Worcester with an A/E of 1.92 from five runs.
How many runners have previous racecourse form in this field?
Only Unflappable, Lady Of Tarsus, Maximore and Liberty Leader have previous racecourse form.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies