4:15 Gowran Park
This 7f Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden at Gowran Park on soft ground features a field of ten juveniles with limited racecourse experience between them. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched from 55 down to 42, reflecting a race where many runners arrive unproven on the surface and without course form. With several having shown little or nothing so far, the contest looks open on paper despite the presence of some powerful yards.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a race that should be run at an even gallop with no obvious front-runner dominating. Several horses, including those drawn low like Tina Tereshkova from stall 1 and Wo Wo Never from stall 2, are likely to track or race prominently, while others such as Golden Arizona from stall 10 may come from further back. The key question is whether any horse can find the necessary improvement on soft ground that remains untested for most of the field.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Tina Tereshkova KTB Selection55/100
- 2Golden Arizona50/100
- 3Give Me Liberty49/100
- 4Anthony Of Lisbon49/100
- 5Premier View49/100
- 6King's Fury48/100
- 7Folsom Blues47/100
- 8Wo Wo Never47/100
- 9Lunar Empress44/100
- 10Chico Guapo42/100
The contenders
Tina Tereshkova KTB Fit 55/100
Tina Tereshkova is the KTB Selection despite her modest recent form figures of 09 and a KTB Fit Score of 55. The two-year-old is drawn in stall 1 which could suit a prominent run-style on this turning track. Trainer Andrew Kinirons has an 11% strike rate at Gowran Park with an A/E of 1.24 from 35 runs while Seamie Heffernan also records an 11% strike rate at the venue with an A/E of 0.95 from 907 rides. She has no experience on soft ground and no course form on record, yet is still rated the one to beat on the supplied figures.
Golden Arizona KTB Fit 50/100
Golden Arizona holds a KTB Fit Score of 50 and is trained by Jack W Davison who has an 8% strike rate at Gowran Park with an A/E of 0.93 from 50 runs. The jockey Jack Kearney rides with a 10% strike rate at the track and an A/E of 1.04 from 71 rides, though the trainer and jockey combination shows 0/10 with an A/E of 0.00. This two-year-old is drawn in stall 10, has no runs on soft ground and no course form, making him an interesting but unproven contender in the race.
Give Me Liberty KTB Fit 49/100
Give Me Liberty has a recent effort of 7 and a KTB Fit Score of 49. Trained by W McCreery with an 11% strike rate at Gowran Park and an A/E of 1.01 from 344 runs, he is ridden by Donagh O'Connor who has a 5% strike rate at the venue with an A/E of 0.77 from 141 rides. Their trainer-jockey partnership stands at 0/9. The colt is drawn in stall 5, has no experience on soft ground and no course form on record.
Anthony Of Lisbon KTB Fit 49/100
Anthony Of Lisbon represents Aidan O'Brien and carries a KTB Fit Score of 49. The trainer has a strong 22% strike rate at Gowran Park with an A/E of 0.98 from 1048 runs while Wayne Lordan has a 10% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.83 from 680 rides. Their overall trainer-jockey record is 209/1408 with an A/E of 0.84. By Blackbeard out of a dam with a 10% overall win rate from 21 runners, this two-year-old is drawn in stall 6, has no course win on record and is unproven on soft ground.
Premier View KTB Fit 49/100
Premier View comes from the Henry De Bromhead yard which has a 13% strike rate at Gowran Park with an A/E of 0.93 from 514 runs. Ronan Whelan rides with a 6% strike rate at the venue and an A/E of 0.75 from 454 rides, though their trainer-jockey partnership shows 7/44 with an A/E of 2.15 and positive LSP of +£131.50. This two-year-old sports first-time headgear, is by Invincible Army whose progeny have an 11% overall win rate from 1387 runners, is drawn in stall 8 and has no course win on record.
The rest of the field
King's FuryKTB Fit 48/100
King's Fury is rated with a KTB Fit Score of 48. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien with a 14% strike rate at Gowran Park and an A/E of 0.79 from 666 runs, he is partnered by J M Sheridan who has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.96 from 195 rides. Their trainer-jockey record is 23/133 with an A/E of 1.05. By Kingman whose progeny have a 14% overall win rate from 7569 runners, this two-year-old is drawn in stall 3 and has no course win on record.
Folsom BluesKTB Fit 47/100
Folsom Blues has a recent placing of 3 and a KTB Fit Score of 47. From the Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard with a 14% strike rate at Gowran Park and an A/E of 0.79 from 666 runs, he is ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle who has a 16% strike rate at the venue with an A/E of 0.78 from 199 rides. Their trainer-jockey partnership stands at 275/1519 with an A/E of 0.88. This two-year-old has no runs on soft ground and no course form on record.
Wo Wo NeverKTB Fit 47/100
Wo Wo Never holds a KTB Fit Score of 47. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien with a 14% strike rate at Gowran Park and an A/E of 0.79 from 666 runs, he is ridden by Scott McCullagh who has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.04 from 70 rides. Their trainer-jockey record is 4/48 with an A/E of 0.95. By Wootton Bassett whose progeny have a 13% overall win rate from 5300 runners, this two-year-old is drawn in stall 2 and has no course win on record.
Lunar EmpressKTB Fit 44/100
Lunar Empress is rated with a KTB Fit Score of 44 for Mrs John Harrington who has an 11% strike rate at Gowran Park with an A/E of 0.84 from 1022 runs. Nathan Crosse rides with a 5% strike rate at the venue and an A/E of 0.73 from 166 rides. Their trainer-jockey partnership shows 20/236 with an A/E of 0.95. By Zoustar whose progeny have an 11% overall win rate from 4286 runners, this two-year-old has no course win on record.
Chico GuapoKTB Fit 42/100
Chico Guapo has a KTB Fit Score of 42. Trained by Mark Fahey with an 8% strike rate at Gowran Park and an A/E of 0.87 from 66 runs, he is ridden by Joseph Harnett who has a 0% strike rate at the track from 3 rides. Their trainer-jockey record is 2/37 with an A/E of 0.57. This two-year-old has no runs on soft ground and no course form on record.
KTB verdict
Tina Tereshkova is the KTB Selection in a race where many participants are unproven on soft ground and lack course experience. Her low draw and prominent run-style could prove advantageous around Gowran, and the supplied figures rate her the most likely winner despite limited form to date. The main dangers are headed by Anthony Of Lisbon from the powerful Aidan O'Brien yard, along with Folsom Blues who has already shown a placed effort, while King's Fury and Premier View in first-time headgear cannot be entirely ruled out.
KTB Selection Tina Tereshkova
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 12 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Tina Tereshkova | 200/1 | Bet Victor |
| Golden Arizona | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Give Me Liberty | 150/1 | BetTom |
| Anthony Of Lisbon | 11/4 | Bet365 |
| Premier View | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| King's Fury | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Folsom Blues | 8/11 | BetTom |
| Wo Wo Never | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Lunar Empress | 14/1 | BetTom |
| Chico Guapo | 125/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:15 Gowran Park. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Gowran Park racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on soft ground but still tops the KTB Fit Scores?
Tina Tereshkova has a KTB Fit Score of 55 and no runs on soft ground.
What is the trainer-jockey strike rate for Joseph Patrick O'Brien and Dylan Browne McMonagle in this race?
Their record is 275/1519 (18%) with an A/E of 0.88.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Premier View is the only runner with the first-time headgear flag.
How does the draw potentially influence the pace in this 7f maiden?
Low-drawn runners such as Tina Tereshkova from stall 1 and Wo Wo Never from stall 2 are likely to be prominent, while Golden Arizona is drawn widest in stall 10.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Gowran Park among those represented?
A P O'Brien has a 22% strike rate at Gowran Park with an A/E of 0.98 from 1048 runs.
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