7:12 Uttoxeter
A competitive Class 5 novices' handicap chase over 3m10y at Uttoxeter on good ground brings together ten runners, several of whom arrive in decent nick or with placed form over similar distances. The KTB Fit scores identify Let's Sail Away as the clear top pick on 68, with a cluster of four others rated in the low-to-mid 50s underlining a race where consistency and track familiarity could prove decisive. Recent form is mixed, but several hold solid course records or trainer/jockey combinations that perform reliably at this venue.
How the race shapes up
With a mix of run-styles in a field of this size, the pace shape looks likely to be on the steady side early, potentially playing into the hands of prominent racers or those who can settle just off the speed. Several principals have shown they can race handily, which may set up a race decided by who travels strongest into the straight and picks up best off a searching gallop from the third-last. The key question is whether the prominent types can dictate matters or if a stronger-staying closer will capitalise late on this good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Let's Sail Away KTB Selection68/100Useful performer who has shown consistent placed form over this sort of trip.
- 2Twp Stori50/100Twp Stori is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at Uttoxeter without winning.
- 3Jo Arengeot Bey AA50/100Fair performer who got back on the scoreboard with a win here over this trip last time.
- 4Brave Move49/100Fair performer who has shown some competitiveness on good ground and at this trip without winning.
- 5Crest Of Valour49/100Crest Of Valour is a fair performer who has shown little spark in five runs since joining this yard, finishing no closer than sixth.
- 6Mr McWhinny47/100Mr McWhinny is a fair performer who showed improved form when winning last time having been off the track.
- 7Lynsey Larue46/100Lynsey Larue is a fair performer who arrives in decent nick after a recent win and has already scored over today's trip.
- 8R Bernard45/100R Bernard is a modest performer who has not won for a long time and looks vulnerable from his recent efforts.
- 9Daring Plan40/100Daring Plan is a fair performer who has been competitive without winning on good ground and at this trip.
- 10Izzy's Grey40/100Izzy's Grey is a fair handicapper who has shown some competitiveness on good ground without winning.
The contenders
Let's Sail Away KTB Fit 68/100
Let's Sail Away is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form over this sort of trip, with recent figures of /2232- underlining his reliability. He has been placed on both previous visits to Uttoxeter and acts on good ground with a win and five places from six starts. Tom Lacey holds a 16% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.07 from 165 runs, while Stan Sheppard operates at 13% with an A/E of 1.05 from 164 rides here. Dropping in class looks a positive move for this 5-year-old, and the combination of trainer and jockey both having solid records at Uttoxeter adds further layers of confidence. His ability to handle the trip and surface makes him a major player from a prominent or handy run-style.
Twp Stori KTB Fit 50/100
Twp Stori is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at Uttoxeter without winning, with five placed efforts from six starts at the track. He drops back from 3m2f to a trip where he is 1-6, which looks suitable on paper, though his sole run on good ground brought no joy. The yard's modest 8% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 40 runs is offset by Benjamin Macey's solid 17% record at the track from 35 rides. Recent form of /B56-3 suggests he remains competitive at this level as an 8-year-old, and his course experience could prove valuable in a race where track knowledge often counts. He is likely to be seen to best effect racing prominently.
Jo Arengeot Bey AA KTB Fit 50/100
Jo Arengeot Bey AA is a fair performer who got back on the scoreboard with a win here over this trip last time, his only success in the last 12 months. He has run to a similar level on several other occasions and handles good ground with one win and one place from three starts. Donald McCain has a 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a huge 717 runs, while Sam Twiston-Davies posts an 18% record from 532 rides at the venue. Course form reads positively with one win from two starts, and the 7-year-old's recent /646-1 figures show he is in form. He should go well again if able to replicate that latest effort.
Brave Move KTB Fit 49/100
Brave Move is a fair performer who has shown some competitiveness on good ground and at this trip without winning, with one place from six runs on good and one from two at this distance. Recent form of 4735-8 is ordinary and first-time headgear is now reached for in an attempt to spark a revival. Fergal O'Brien has a solid 17% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 487 runs, though Liam Harrison operates at 11% from 79 rides here. The 7-year-old has no previous course form on record, which adds an element of the unknown, yet his ability to be competitive suggests he cannot be entirely dismissed if the headgear works as intended.
Crest Of Valour KTB Fit 49/100
Crest Of Valour is a fair performer who has shown little spark in five runs since joining this yard, finishing no closer than sixth. The first-time headgear is an obvious attempt to spark improvement while Anthony Honeyball’s 18% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 145 runs offers some encouragement. Trip and ground both remain unproven on this evidence, with no runs on good to date. Ben Godfrey has a 15% strike rate at the track from 33 rides, which is a positive, but the 5-year-old's recent 6P86-6 figures paint a picture of modest form. He will need to improve markedly to play a major part.
The rest of the field
Mr McWhinnyKTB Fit 47/100
Mr McWhinny is a fair performer who showed improved form when winning last time having been off the track. He steps up in trip today which looks a sensible move given he has placed once at this distance from limited attempts. The yard has a solid recent record at Uttoxeter but the jockey’s strike rate here is modest.
Lynsey LarueKTB Fit 46/100
Lynsey Larue is a fair performer who arrives in decent nick after a recent win and has already scored over today's trip. She has never placed on good ground from six attempts which tempers enthusiasm. The yard's small Uttoxeter sample makes their record hard to weigh up while the jockey's 9 percent strike rate here is respectable.
R BernardKTB Fit 45/100
R Bernard is a modest performer who has not won for a long time and looks vulnerable from his recent efforts. He has run five times at Uttoxeter without winning or placing and steps up in trip today having only placed once in ten attempts at this distance. The trainer holds a solid 15% strike rate here while the jockey is operating below par with an 8% record.
Daring PlanKTB Fit 40/100
Daring Plan is a fair performer who has been competitive without winning on good ground and at this trip. He was placed over 3m on his penultimate start before unseating last time over 3m2f and now drops back in distance. The yard and jockey both have modest records at Uttoxeter on their respective first appearances here.
Izzy's GreyKTB Fit 40/100
Izzy's Grey is a fair handicapper who has shown some competitiveness on good ground without winning. He has been placed twice at this trip and three times on good going from modest career stats, but his two runs here have produced a pulled-up effort and a remote fourth. The trainer remains winless from 15 runs at Uttoxeter while the jockey's modest 7% strike rate from a large sample offers little encouragement.
KTB verdict
Let's Sail Away stands out as the KTB Selection on the strength of his consistent placed form over this trip and proven course record at Uttoxeter. He acts well on good ground, drops in class, and benefits from a trainer-jockey combination with solid figures at the venue, suggesting he can take advantage of a race that may not be overloaded with depth. The main dangers are Jo Arengeot Bey AA, who won over the course and distance last time and has strong local stats, and Twp Stori, whose multiple placed efforts at Uttoxeter make him a dangerous each-way alternative if the ground does not prove against him.
KTB Selection Let's Sail Away
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Let's Sail Away | 3/1 | 7Bet |
| Twp Stori | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Jo Arengeot Bey AA | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Brave Move | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Crest Of Valour | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Mr McWhinny | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Lynsey Larue | 7/1 | William Hill |
| R Bernard | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Daring Plan | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Izzy's Grey | 18/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:12 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Uttoxeter?
Let's Sail Away has been placed on both previous visits to Uttoxeter, while Jo Arengeot Bey AA has won once from two starts here.
How does the good ground affect the leading contenders?
Let's Sail Away acts on good ground with a win and five places from six starts, Jo Arengeot Bey AA has one win from three runs on it, but Twp Stori's sole run on good brought no joy and Crest Of Valour is unproven on the surface.
What is the significance of the first-time headgear on Brave Move and Crest Of Valour?
First-time headgear is now reached for on both Brave Move and Crest Of Valour in an attempt to spark improvement from ordinary recent form.
Which trainers have the best strike rates at Uttoxeter in this field?
Anthony Honeyball has an 18% strike rate, Fergal O'Brien 17%, Tom Lacey 16%, and Mel Rowley 15% at the track.
Who holds the highest jockey strike rate at Uttoxeter among the runners?
Sam Twiston-Davies has an 18% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 532 rides, with Benjamin Macey on 17% from 35 rides.
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