5:07 Sandown
This Class 4 handicap over 1m6f at Sandown brings together a field of nine where the KTB numbers point to a competitive renewal on good ground. Macari tops the Fit ratings on 70 while a cluster of others sit in the low-to-mid 50s, suggesting little between several on pure ability. The race features a mix of class droppers, hurdlers returning to the Flat and some exposed handicappers, with course form and trip suitability likely to prove key.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape looks fairly even with no obvious front-runner dominating, though several runners have shown a preference for coming from off the pace or racing prominently. Macari and Percy Shelley are likely to be held up off a steady gallop while Double Meaning from a low draw could be handy early. The key question is whether the race develops into a test of stamina late on the straight, in which case proven trip winners and those stepping back from longer distances will hold the advantage.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Macari KTB Selection70/100Macari is a fair sort who has won over this trip and at this track from just two visits.
- 2Double Meaning62/100
- 3Squire Danagher56/100Fair performer who arrives in solid form having won twice over hurdles earlier this year.
- 4Percy Shelley50/100Percy Shelley is a fair performer who arrives in solid nick after four straight seconds last season and a recent fourth.
- 5Personal Best50/100Personal Best is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning for some time.
- 6Marnier50/100
- 7Pyleates49/100
- 8Trojan Storm48/100Trojan Storm is a modest performer who has struggled this year with a string of unplaced efforts.
- 9Free World40/100
The contenders
Macari KTB Fit 70/100
Macari is a fair sort who has won over this trip and at this track from just two visits to Sandown. He has three wins from 14 starts on good ground and arrives in decent nick after a solid second last time out. The trainer has a solid record here with a 12% strike rate and A/E of 1.35 from 51 runs while the 5lb claimer is an unknown quantity with so few rides at the track. Recent form of 17-462 underlines his consistency at this level and the combination of course-winning form and trip effectiveness makes him the one to beat. His ability to handle good ground is another plus in a race where several rivals are less proven in the conditions.
Double Meaning KTB Fit 62/100
Double Meaning is a four-year-old dropping in class and arrives with a recent third that suggests he remains competitive. He has shown placed form on good ground without winning and the jockey Tom Marquand brings a 14% strike rate at Sandown from a large sample. The trainer John Berry holds an 11% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.3 from 47 runs, pointing to a yard that can ready one for a big run. Recent form of 1245-3 shows flashes of ability and the drop in class could see him involved at the finish. Lack of course form is the main negative though his overall profile suggests he should be thereabouts.
Squire Danagher KTB Fit 56/100
Squire Danagher is a fair performer who arrives in solid form having won twice over hurdles earlier this year. He steps up in class while dropping back from 2m4f to 1m6f which asks a fresh question and he is only placed once from six runs on good ground. Ben Pauling has an 11% strike rate at Sandown from 117 runs and Ray Dawson is operating at 19% from 32 rides here. Recent form of 35711/ highlights his hurdling prowess but the transition back to the Flat at this trip remains unproven. The combination of class rise and limited good-ground success means he will need to improve to figure prominently.
Percy Shelley KTB Fit 50/100
Percy Shelley is a fair performer who arrives in solid nick after four straight seconds last season and a recent fourth. He has placed four times from six starts at this trip though he is dropping back from 2m4f while the good ground has produced one win and seven places from his 17 runs. James Owen has a 4% strike rate from 25 runs at Sandown and this is the horse's first visit to the track. The booking of Oisin Murphy is a positive and his consistent placed form at the trip suggests he should run well again. Trainer and jockey combination has yet to fire at the venue but the horse's own ability keeps him firmly in the mix.
The rest of the field
Personal BestKTB Fit 50/100
Personal Best is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning for some time. He has run respectably in both starts at Sandown and is dropping back from 2m to a trip he has won over before while the yard and jockey both have modest records at this track and the horse is 0-3 on good ground.
MarnierKTB Fit 50/100
Marnier is dropping in class and has shown competitive form without winning on good ground from three starts. The powerful yard of John & Thady Gosden holds a 21% strike rate at Sandown though the jockey is operating at only 7% here and there is no course form on record.
PyleatesKTB Fit 49/100
Pyleates is stepping up in class and is unproven on good ground having had no previous runs on it. The trainer has a strong 13% strike rate at Sandown with a positive A/E while the jockey also performs adequately at the track but lack of course experience and ground questions remain.
Trojan StormKTB Fit 48/100
Trojan Storm is a modest performer who has struggled this year with a string of unplaced efforts. He steps up in trip to 1m6f having won at the distance in the past though his only run on good ground yielded no reward and both yard and jockey record 9% strike rates at Sandown from large samples.
Free WorldKTB Fit 40/100
Free World has shown very little in recent starts and is hard to fancy on current form. The yard and jockey combination has failed to strike at Sandown from six attempts between them and with only one unplaced run on good ground he looks up against it.
KTB verdict
Macari looks the strongest candidate on the KTB Fit ratings and his profile ties together several positives. He has already won over this trip and at Sandown, boasts a good record on the ground, and comes into the race in decent nick after a solid recent effort. The trainer's record at the venue adds further confidence while the claimer may prove an asset if the pace falls right. Main dangers are likely to be Double Meaning, who drops in class with a respected jockey, and Percy Shelley, whose consistency at the trip makes him a solid each-way prospect, while Squire Danagher could improve back on the Flat if the trip suits.
KTB Selection Macari
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:03 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Macari | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Double Meaning | 9/4 | 7Bet |
| Squire Danagher | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Percy Shelley | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Personal Best | 4/1 | 7Bet |
| Marnier | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Pyleates | 11/2 | 7Bet |
| Trojan Storm | 14/1 | Bet Victor |
| Free World | 40/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 5:07 Sandown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sandown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has previous winning form over course and distance?
Macari has won here over this trip from just two visits to Sandown.
How many wins has Macari recorded on good ground?
Macari has three wins from 14 starts on good ground.
Which runners are dropping in class for this race?
Double Meaning, Percy Shelley and Marnier are all dropping in class.
Who has the best jockey strike rate at Sandown among the declared riders?
Rose Dawes has a 33% strike rate at Sandown from three rides.
Which horse is completely unproven on good ground?
Pyleates has had no runs on good ground.
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