5:45 Doncaster
This Class 6 handicap over 6f at Doncaster features a field of 15 three-year-olds on good to soft ground, with the KTB Fit Scores showing a very tightly bunched top half between 55 and 52. The principals are all dropping in class to varying degrees and carry modest official ratings, underlining the limited nature of the race. Solar Cooper tops the KTB Fit ranking at 55 and is the selection, though several others sit just behind on the numbers with placed form or recent wins to their name.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a fairly even race with a mix of run-styles, though several prominent runners could contest the lead early from lower draws. Dontwaste A Moment from stall 1 and Boston Max from stall 2 are likely to be forward, while Solar Cooper in stall 6 and others may track the pace. The key question is whether the wide-drawn horses such as The Tunguska Event in 15 can overcome their positions on a track where the draw can matter, or if the race will be decided by those able to secure a handy spot without using too much gas.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Solar Cooper KTB Selection55/100Modest performer who has won once in eight starts, including at this trip.
- 2Soul Warrior54/100Modest performer who showed little in three runs for his new yard this year after winning a 6f nursery at Redcar last season on good to soft.
- 3Cosmic Clarets53/100Cosmic Clarets has shown modest ability with two placed efforts at this trip on his last two starts after a string of duck eggs.
- 4Power Of Chora53/100Power Of Chora has shown little in five runs to date and remains a limited performer on the balance of what she has produced.
- 5The Tunguska Event52/100Modest performer with a solid recent record including two wins in the last four starts and three wins from eight attempts at this trip.
- 6Dontwaste A Moment50/100Modest performer who showed improved form when winning a 5f handicap here last month before backing it up with a solid second at the same track.
- 7Come On Over49/100Modest performer who has failed to land a blow in three runs this year and looks up against it from stall 13.
- 8Henriette Ronner48/100Modest performer who has won once over this trip from five attempts but has been below that level in four starts since.
- 9That's Random48/100Modest performer who has shown little in three runs to date and was well held in a couple of handicaps after a promising debut.
- 10Full Gas43/100Limited performer who has shown little for some time and was well held when last seen over 7f.
- 11Boston Max43/100Boston Max has improved markedly since joining this yard and arrives off the back of two wins in lesser company.
- 12Head For Freedom42/100Modest performer who has shown little spark in three starts this year and looks up against it from stall 9.
- 13Athenian Spirit38/100Athenian Spirit has been consistent in recent starts with three placed efforts from his last five runs but remains a limited performer on the balance of his for…
- 14Hellcat37/100Hellcat has shown just modest form in six starts and remains limited at this level.
- 15Antique Blue35/100Antique Blue has shown very little in seven runs and sits right at the bottom of the limited class read.
The contenders
Solar Cooper KTB Fit 55/100
Solar Cooper is a modest performer who has won once in eight starts, including at this trip. He is dropping in class here and the booking of Silvestre De Sousa is a positive on his first visit to Doncaster. The yard's 6% strike rate at the track from 140 runs offers no encouragement and he showed little on his one run on good to soft. Silvestre De Sousa has a 13% strike rate at Doncaster from 452 rides. Overall the KTB Fit of 55 makes him the selection in a race full of modest sorts.
Soul Warrior KTB Fit 54/100
Soul Warrior is a modest performer who showed little in three runs for his new yard this year after winning a 6f nursery at Redcar last season on good to soft. He has won on this going from limited tries and stays the trip, but the first-time headgear is now reached for after a poor reappearance effort. Trainer Nigel Tinkler has a 6% strike rate at Doncaster from 748 runs while 3lb claimer Alex Jary is 0-11 here. The KTB Fit of 54 keeps him firmly in the mix among the principals.
Cosmic Clarets KTB Fit 53/100
Cosmic Clarets has shown modest ability with two placed efforts at this trip on his last two starts after a string of duck eggs. He is a first-time runner at Doncaster where the yard have an 8% strike rate from 24 runs and his only run on good to soft brought no win or place. The placed form at today's distance is the main positive for this modest performer. Jack Garritty takes the ride and the KTB Fit of 53 leaves him right in the thick of it.
Power Of Chora KTB Fit 53/100
Power Of Chora has shown little in five runs to date and remains a limited performer on the balance of what she has produced. Dropping back to 6f today asks a fresh question after her latest effort over 7f while first-time headgear is also a significant unknown at this stage. The yard have only had four runners at Doncaster so far which is too small a sample to judge, though the 25% strike rate reads well on the surface. She holds a KTB Fit of 53 and cannot be entirely dismissed.
The Tunguska Event KTB Fit 52/100
The Tunguska Event is a modest performer with a solid recent record including two wins in the last four starts and three wins from eight attempts at this trip. Placed on his only run on good to soft ground and the yard's 12 percent strike rate at Doncaster comes with a positive A/E. Drawn in stall 15 for his first run here which adds an unknown element. Jason Hart is in the saddle and the KTB Fit of 52 keeps him among the main players.
The rest of the field
Dontwaste A MomentKTB Fit 50/100
Dontwaste A Moment is a modest performer who showed improved form when winning a 5f handicap here last month before backing it up with a solid second at the same track. Steps up to 6f for the first time today having failed to land a blow in three previous tries at the distance. Trainer Ivan Furtado has a 7% strike rate from 183 runs at Doncaster.
Come On OverKTB Fit 49/100
Come On Over is a modest performer who has failed to land a blow in three runs this year and looks up against it from stall 13. Has shown a bit of ability on good to soft but remains winless after nine starts and has never scored at this trip. O'Meara has a 9% strike rate at the track from a large sample while Tudhope is 12% from 217 rides here.
Henriette RonnerKTB Fit 48/100
Henriette Ronner is a modest performer who has won once over this trip from five attempts but has been below that level in four starts since. Trainer is 0-20 at Doncaster and the filly has no experience of good to soft ground. First run here from stall 12 adds to the unknowns.
That's RandomKTB Fit 48/100
That's Random is a modest performer who has shown little in three runs to date and was well held in a couple of handicaps after a promising debut. Drawn wide today which is no help on his handicap mark and the yard's modest record here adds little confidence. Trip looks about right but there is not enough evidence to judge whether the ground will suit.
Full GasKTB Fit 43/100
Full Gas is a limited performer who has shown little for some time and was well held when last seen over 7f. Drops back to a trip he has placed at before but his only run on good to soft ground brought no joy and first-time headgear is now reached for. Kevin Ryan has a modest 7% strike rate at Doncaster from nearly 900 runs.
Boston MaxKTB Fit 43/100
Boston Max has improved markedly since joining this yard and arrives off the back of two wins in lesser company. The step up to 6f poses a fresh question having been beaten twice at the trip earlier in his career and his limited level of ability means he will find this tougher. The yard’s modest record here adds a note of caution.
Head For FreedomKTB Fit 42/100
Head For Freedom is a modest performer who has shown little spark in three starts this year and looks up against it from stall 9. Has placed twice at today's trip but is 0-3 on good to soft ground and the Easterby yard is struggling at Doncaster with a 4% strike rate from 117 runs. First run here so the track is an unknown.
Athenian SpiritKTB Fit 38/100
Athenian Spirit has been consistent in recent starts with three placed efforts from his last five runs but remains a limited performer on the balance of his form and ratings. He was well held on his only previous visit to Doncaster and the yard's poor 3% strike rate here adds little encouragement. Dropping back to 6f is an unknown while he is also unproven on good to soft ground.
HellcatKTB Fit 37/100
Hellcat has shown just modest form in six starts and remains limited at this level. He has failed to place in three runs at this trip and his latest third at a lesser track suggests he is still short of winning standard. The yard has too few runners at Doncaster to read anything into their record here.
Antique BlueKTB Fit 35/100
Antique Blue has shown very little in seven runs and sits right at the bottom of the limited class read. Dropping back from a mile to 6f asks a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 11 is no help on this track. The yard's modest 5% strike rate from 341 runs at Doncaster adds to the negatives.
KTB verdict
Solar Cooper tops the KTB Fit at 55 and is the selection in a race where the principals are closely matched on the numbers. His drop in class and the booking of Silvestre De Sousa offer hope despite the yard's modest record at the track and his lack of joy on good to soft. The main dangers are Soul Warrior, who has won on the surface and now tries first-time headgear, and Cosmic Clarets, whose recent placed efforts at the trip are the best recent form on offer. The Tunguska Event and Power Of Chora complete the main players in a contest where the draw and how the pace unfolds could prove decisive.
KTB Selection Solar Cooper
This is the narrative read of the 5:45 Doncaster. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Doncaster racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best recent placed form at the trip?
Cosmic Clarets, with two placed efforts at this trip on his last two starts.
Who has won most recently at Doncaster over a sprint trip?
Dontwaste A Moment, who won a 5f handicap here last month.
Which runner has the strongest trainer strike rate at Doncaster?
Power Of Chora's yard, with a 25% strike rate from four runs.
How many wins has The Tunguska Event recorded at this trip?
Three wins from eight attempts at this trip.
Which horse is making its first visit to Doncaster from the widest draw?
The Tunguska Event, drawn in stall 15.
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