2:07 Cork
This 6f Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden at Cork on good ground features a 16-runner field of mostly unexposed two-year-olds, with the KTB numbers highlighting a clear top selection from a yard that has struck at a 35% rate at the track. New Bond Street heads the Fit ratings on 58, ahead of Madam Secretary on 55 and Dropping Dimes on 53, while the remainder sit between 52 and 39. Connections, pedigree and limited racecourse evidence dominate the story in a race where the principals hold the stronger trainer and jockey reads.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a contested early gallop with several prominent runners likely to press forward from low draws. Dropping Dimes and Carafinn can take up positions from stalls 1 and 2, while New Bond Street and Madam Secretary are expected to track or race prominently from their respective draws of 12 and 11. The key question is whether the race will fragment early or settle into a rhythm that allows the better-bred newcomers to show their hand without over-racing in the first half of the contest.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1New Bond Street KTB Selection58/100New Bond Street is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 35% strike rate at Cork from 97 runs.
- 2Madam Secretary55/100Madam Secretary showed promise when third on debut over 6½f.
- 3Dropping Dimes53/100Dropping Dimes has one run on the board over this trip and showed nothing of note.
- 4Carafinn52/100Carafinn is a newcomer from the Henry De Bromhead yard which has a solid 14% strike rate at Cork from a big sample.
- 5Back To The Lodge50/100Back To The Lodge is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on.
- 6Argentarius49/100Argentarius is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the assessment rests entirely on his pedigree and sales background.
- 7Ocean Surge49/100Ocean Surge is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 13 percent strike rate at Cork from a big sample of runners.
- 8Ballinea Star47/100Ballinea Star has shown moderate form in two starts over the minimum trip finishing fifth then fourth.
- 9Woodlawn Lily47/100Woodlawn Lily has shown only modest form in two starts at five furlongs and now steps up to six furlongs for the first time.
- 10Sapphire Petal46/100Sapphire Petal is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on.
- 11Shafters Legacy45/100Shafters Legacy was well beaten on debut over 5f here and now steps up to 6f for the first time.
- 12Thatsanotherstory44/100Thatsanotherstory showed little at Cork on debut and needs to improve sharply to figure.
- 13Saoirse Silk44/100Saoirse Silk is a newcomer from the Aidan O'Brien yard.
- 14Scandi Noir44/100Scandi Noir makes his debut for a yard that has a 10 percent strike rate from 871 runs at Cork.
- 15Siege Of Tyre43/100Siege Of Tyre is a first-time runner whose assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
- 16Fine Line39/100Fine Line is a newcomer with no racecourse experience.
The contenders
New Bond Street KTB Fit 58/100
New Bond Street is the KTB Selection. This newcomer from the Patrick Twomey yard carries significant interest given the trainer's 35% strike rate at Cork from 97 runs and a strong A/E of 1.25. The booking of W J Lee, who has a 15% strike rate at the track from 619 rides, further bolsters the profile. By Havana Grey, whose progeny have a 13% overall win rate from 4031 runners, the colt has no course wins on record but the yard's local record carries plenty of weight. With no racecourse form available the chance rests entirely on pedigree, sales background and the strength of these connections. Overall the KTB Fit of 58 marks this one out as the one to beat.
Madam Secretary KTB Fit 55/100
Madam Secretary showed promise when third on debut over 6½f. She now drops back to 6f where she has already been placed once on good ground, though the small sample means her trip requirements remain unconfirmed. Aidan O'Brien's 22% strike rate at Cork from 652 runs gives the yard a solid record here while the 5lb claimer Jack Cleary, who has a 21% strike rate at the track from 29 rides, takes the mount. The trainer and jockey combination shows an A/E of 1.03. With a KTB Fit of 55 she is the most obvious danger to the selection having already shown competitive form.
Dropping Dimes KTB Fit 53/100
Dropping Dimes has one run on the board over this trip and showed nothing of note. The yard of Jarlath P Fahey records a solid 9% strike rate from 112 runs at Cork with an A/E of 1.21, while the 7lb claimer Neve Bennett operates at a similar level from limited rides here. Unproven on good ground, the filly must be treated with caution on what she has shown so far. The KTB Fit of 53 reflects limited confidence but the local trainer figures are respectable. From the inside draw she may try to make the running or race prominently.
Carafinn KTB Fit 52/100
Carafinn is a newcomer from the Henry De Bromhead yard which has a solid 14% strike rate at Cork from 513 runs. The booking of Ronan Whelan, who operates at a 9% strike rate here from 361 rides, is respectable but nothing to get carried away with on debut. By Mehmas, whose progeny have a 12% overall win rate from 7491 runners, the filly has no course wins on record. With low data confidence the pedigree and sales background would need to be very strong to make this a likely player first time up. The KTB Fit of 52 places her in the mix among the principals.
Back To The Lodge KTB Fit 50/100
Back To The Lodge is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. The Daniel McLoughlin yard has an 11% strike rate from nine runs at Cork with an A/E of 1.26 and the jockey Ben Coen is solid enough despite a 6% strike rate at the track from 216 rides. By Dandy Man, whose progeny have a 9% overall win rate from 14911 runners, the colt has no course wins on record. Pedigree and sales background will decide how much interest there is at the track. The KTB Fit of 50 keeps this one in the conversation among the leading contenders.
The rest of the field
ArgentariusKTB Fit 49/100
Argentarius is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. The trainer has a modest 7% strike rate at Cork from 27 runners while jockey Declan McDonogh sits on a 9% strike rate from a large sample of rides at the track. With low data confidence this debut looks best approached with caution.
Ocean SurgeKTB Fit 49/100
Ocean Surge is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 13% strike rate at Cork from a big sample of runners. The colt was picked up for 62,000 euros as a yearling and is by Blue Point out of a dam who produced several winners, though none at this trip. With low data confidence and no racecourse evidence yet, his debut chance will hinge on how forward he is for Willie McCreery and Dylan Browne McMonagle.
Ballinea StarKTB Fit 47/100
Ballinea Star has shown moderate form in two starts over the minimum trip finishing fifth then fourth. Stepping up to 6f today asks a fresh question while the small sample makes it impossible to know how the colt will handle the good ground. The yard has a 20% strike rate at Cork from five runs.
Woodlawn LilyKTB Fit 47/100
Woodlawn Lily has shown only modest form in two starts at five furlongs and now steps up to six furlongs for the first time. She was beaten just over three lengths when fourth on her only visit to Cork. The trainer’s modest 9% strike rate from 233 runs at the track offers little encouragement.
Sapphire PetalKTB Fit 46/100
Sapphire Petal is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. The yard's 8% strike rate from 66 runs at Cork suggests modest success on home soil. Pedigree and sales background will need to be strong to overcome the wide draw in stall 13 on debut.
Shafters LegacyKTB Fit 45/100
Shafters Legacy was well beaten on debut over 5f here and now steps up to 6f for the first time. The yard records an 8% strike rate from 372 runs at Cork. With only one run on the board the form is impossible to assess with any confidence.
ThatsanotherstoryKTB Fit 44/100
Thatsanotherstory showed little at Cork on debut and needs to improve sharply to figure. The yard's modest 9% strike rate at the track from a big sample offers no obvious pointers. With just the one run on the board and nothing else to go on this is strictly a watching brief.
Saoirse SilkKTB Fit 44/100
Saoirse Silk is a newcomer from the Aidan O'Brien yard. The trainer has an 11% strike rate from 62 runs at Cork with an A/E of 0.7. With low data confidence this debut assessment rests entirely on pedigree, sales background and the stable's usual ability to ready one for its first run.
Scandi NoirKTB Fit 44/100
Scandi Noir makes his debut for a yard that has a 10% strike rate from 871 runs at Cork. The trainer and jockey pairing brings some local familiarity though the modest A/E of 0.75 suggests they do not dominate here. With low data confidence and no racecourse evidence the assessment rests entirely on his sales and pedigree background.
Siege Of TyreKTB Fit 43/100
Siege Of Tyre is a first-time runner whose assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. The yard's 7% strike rate from 86 runs at Cork offers no particular encouragement for debutants. With low data confidence and a wide draw in stall 16 this looks like one to watch for clues rather than get involved with.
Fine LineKTB Fit 39/100
Fine Line is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The yard has a modest 4% strike rate at Cork from a big sample while the jockey is even quieter at 3% from 158 rides here. With low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on the sales and pedigree background which is not supplied here.
KTB verdict
New Bond Street is the KTB Selection and the most compelling contender on the numbers. The Patrick Twomey yard's 35% strike rate at Cork from 97 runs and the positive A/E of 1.25 carry real weight for this well-connected newcomer by Havana Grey. Madam Secretary brings the best previous form having finished a promising third on debut and she is the clear main danger, while the remainder of the field largely rely on limited or no racecourse evidence. Dropping Dimes, Carafinn and Back To The Lodge make up the principals but look some way behind on what is known so far.
KTB Selection New Bond Street
This is the narrative read of the 2:07 Cork. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Cork racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Cork in this race?
Patrick Twomey with a 35% strike rate at Cork from 97 runs and an A/E of 1.25.
How has Madam Secretary performed on good ground?
She has been placed once from one run on good ground.
What is the widest draw among the principals?
New Bond Street is drawn in stall 12.
Which horse has course form at Cork?
Woodlawn Lily finished fourth on her only visit to Cork.
Which yard has the highest A/E at Cork among the trainers represented?
Henry De Bromhead with an A/E of 2.06 from 46 runs with this jockey.
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