Absolutely Certain (IRE)
Absolutely Certain is a gelding by Fracas out of Absolutus who is yet to win from three starts on turf. All three runs came over 2m1f – 2m4f, with two at Hereford and one at Warwick. He finished 4 of 6 in a Class 4 maiden hurdle at Hereford in Apr 2025, which remains his best effort. Aged 5 at his last run in Apr 2025.
- 0–3Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −3.00£1 level staken=3 at SP
- 24dAvg between runs
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed —
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 13 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 62C | 57.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 13 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 62C | 53 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 3 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 793 runs since Jan 2008 (56 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 13% from 100. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 105.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +40.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | −1 | — |
| Good | 258 | 26 | 10.1% | +0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 100 | 13 | 13% | +3.3 | — |
| Soft | 226 | 17 | 7.5% | −2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 154 | 17 | 11% | +1.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 30 | 1 | 3.3% | −6.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −2.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 74 | 8 | 10.8% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 76 | 7 | 9.2% | −0.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 105 | 6 | 5.7% | −4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 195 | 12 | 6.2% | −3.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 193 | 24 | 12.4% | +2.7 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 119 | 17 | 14.3% | +4.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | +2.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 13 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Set The Tone (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 3m.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set The Tone (IRE) | 21 | 1 | 3m | — |
| Slan Tamall (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Best | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Charlie Hammond | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 25+33d | Hereford | Kidwells Group Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Tracked front group early - urged on and slipped towards the back 4 out - soon far off the pace | 4/6 | 66 | 11-6 | 62C | 91C | James Best | 200/1 |
| 08 Mar 25+15d | Hereford | Pricing By Real Bookmakers At DragonBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Held up at the back of the field - dropped away with 3 furlongs left - well beaten in 8th | 8/11 | 2¼ | 11-7 | 53C | 96C | James Best | 300/1 |
| 21 Feb 25 | Warwick | EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Struggled to keep tabs from the off - dropped away without threatening - finished well adrift in 7th | 7/8 | 25 | 11-2 | 38C | 99C | Charlie Hammond | 250/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Absolutely Certain (IRE) won?
- Absolutely Certain (IRE) has yet to win, from 3 archived starts in 2025.
- Who trained Absolutely Certain (IRE)?
- Absolutely Certain (IRE) was trained by Rob Summers on the most recent run on record, at Hereford on 10 April 2025.
- Who is Absolutely Certain (IRE)'s sire?
- Absolutely Certain (IRE) is by Fracas (IRE) out of Absolutus (USA), whose sire is Perfect Soul.
- What is Absolutely Certain (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Fracas (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 793 runs since Jan 2008 (56 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 13% from 100. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 105.
- Who are Absolutely Certain (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Absolutus (USA), Absolutely Certain (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Set The Tone (IRE) (1). The wins came over 3m. As at Oct 2026.