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Horse profile

Believe That (IRE)

12yo gelding · Trainer Daniel Joseph O'Brien · Owner Thomas James Forbes
by Frozen Fire (GER) out of Sycamore Lite (IRE) (Bach)
6 runs · 4 courses · from Jul 2021
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
New yard Last run 30 May 2026 Last raced off OR 92
KTB Profile

Believe That is a gelding by Frozen Fire out of a Bach mare who has yet to win from six starts on turf, all since Jul 2021. He has raced at four tracks without placing, including two runs at both Tramore and Cork. His last run, at Tramore in May 2026, was his first for Daniel Joseph O'Brien and came off an official rating of 92, which was not a career high. He has contested races from 1m5f to over 3m, mainly on good ground.

Based on 6 archived runs · run-style from 1 commented run since May 2026 · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 114 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Kilbeggan, 3 Sep 2021

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 5 figures · best 114B · median 81
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good2114B97.5—
Good to Soft278B71.5—
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m281B73—
Over 3m1———
1m5f – 2m1———
2m1f – 2m4f1———

Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 100A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Kilbeggan, 3 Sep 2021 Official rating 92 at the last run, 30 May 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 5 figures · best 102A · median 98
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good2100A92—
Good to Soft2102A93.5—
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m285C84.5—
Over 3m1———
1m5f – 2m1———
2m1f – 2m4f1———

Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 5.7% of 297 runs since Jan 2008 (43 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm300%−5.7—
Good8866.8%+1.10 from 3
Good to Soft5559.1%+3.40 from 2
Soft11154.5%−1.20 from 1
Heavy3512.9%−2.8—
Standard (AW)500%−5.7—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
6f – 7f600%−5.7—
1m – 1m1f400%−5.7—
1m2f – 1m4f400%−5.7—
1m5f – 2m9200%−5.70 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f9466.4%+0.70 from 1
2m5f – 3m80810%+4.30 from 3
Over 3m17317.6%+11.90 from 1

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Sycamore Lite (IRE) (Bach)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 3 0 0% −3.00
Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Mr A T Feeney 4 0 0% −4.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 1 0 0% −1.00
E Walsh 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 1 0 0% −1.00
2021 5 0 0% −5.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 1 run
30 May 26+1715d Tramore Group Packages And Discounts At Tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle 22f · Good · 13 ran Sat close to pace early - slipped backward 5 out - asked for effort and lost touch after following fence - pulled up before 2 out PU/13 — 11-12 92—— Conor Stone-Walsh 66/1
2021 · 5 runs
18 Sep 21+15d Navan Bar One Racing 30 New Account Offer Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1) 22f · Good · 18 ran 13/18 2 11-2 9481B84A Mr A T Feeney 40/1
03 Sep 21+19d Kilbeggan Belvedere House, Gardens & Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) 25f · Good · 16 ran 7/16 2 11-7 95114B100A Mr A T Feeney 40/1
15 Aug 21+13d Tramore Tramore Amusement & Leisure Park Maiden Hurdle 16f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 7/15 1¾ 10-13 —86B98A Mr A T Feeney 66/1
02 Aug 21+24d Cork Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle 19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7/16 2 11-12 —78B102A E Walsh 200/1
09 Jul 21 Cork Follow Us On Twitter Maiden Hurdle 24f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 14/18 11 11-7 —65C85C Mr A T Feeney 200/1

Quick answers

How many races has Believe That won?
Believe That (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2021 and 2026.
Who trains Believe That?
Believe That (IRE) is trained by Daniel Joseph O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 30 May 2026.
Who is Believe That's sire?
Believe That (IRE) is by Frozen Fire (GER) out of Sycamore Lite (IRE), whose sire is Bach.
What is Believe That's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 92, from the run on 30 May 2026. The highest on record is 95.
What is Believe That's sire's record?
Frozen Fire (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 5.7% of 297 runs since Jan 2008 (43 horses), Flat and jumps together.

Record shown from July 2021. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.