Can You Believe It (IRE)
Can You Believe It (IRE) is 1 from 13, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Aug 2019.
- 1–13Wins / Runs
- 7.7%Strike rate
- 4 (30.8%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 0.90Fair A/E n=13 · 0.74 incl. margin
- 105Highest OR
- 35dBetween runs (median)longest 305 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 123
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 123B | 102 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 123B | 105 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 105B | 102 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since Jan 2008 (1,456 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 18.1% from 105.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 58 | 5 | 8.6% | −2.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 760 | 64 | 8.4% | −2.5 | — |
| Good | 4,658 | 479 | 10.3% | −0.6 | 1 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 2,804 | 358 | 12.8% | +1.9 | — |
| Soft | 5,006 | 540 | 10.8% | −0.1 | — |
| Heavy | 3,152 | 345 | 10.9% | 0 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 105 | 19 | 18.1% | +7.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | +5.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | +17.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 90 | 8 | 8.9% | −2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4,439 | 514 | 11.6% | +0.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5,912 | 630 | 10.7% | −0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4,996 | 537 | 10.7% | −0.2 | 1 from 8 |
| Over 3m | 1,093 | 118 | 10.8% | −0.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them The Last Stand (GB) (8 wins).
The wins came over 1m1f–3m; the highest grade won is Grade 3 (The Last Stand (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Last Stand (GB) | 61 | 8 | 1m1f–2m | Grade 3 |
| Gold Guest (GB) | 30 | 4 | 1m1½f–2m1f | Class 3 |
| According To Harry (IRE) | 19 | 3 | 2m3½f–3m | Class 3 |
| Lynott (IRE) | 44 | 3 | 1m2f–1m5f | — |
| Golden Flight (IRE) | 22 | 0 | — | — |
| Kicker King (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Calimesa (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Oscar Tennessee (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Abbot | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Worcester | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Griffiths | 11 | 1 | 9% | −5.00 |
| Daryl Jacob | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.00 |
| Hood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2019 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Jul 21+29d | Newton Abbot | Emily Davies 21st Birthday Race Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) | 3/10 | nk | 12-2 | 102 | 101A | 123A | Matt Griffiths | 3/1 |
| 03 Jun 21+248d | Uttoxeter | Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle | 6/15 | 6 | 11-11 | 104 | 123B | 112A | Matt Griffiths | 14/1 |
| 2020 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Sep 20+71d | Newton Abbot | Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Handicap Hurdle | 9/13 | 3¼ | 11-2 | 105 | 100B | 94A | Matt Griffiths | 7/1 |
| 19 Jul 20+18d | Southwell | Thank You Southwell Annual Members Handicap Hurdle | 4/12 | 12 | 11-12 | 105 | 109A | 103B | Matt Griffiths | 10/3F |
| 01 Jul 20+305d | Southwell | Sponsorship Branding At signsolutions.org Handicap Hurdle | 2/12 | 5 | 11-3 | 104 | 102A | 117A | Matt Griffiths | 8/1 |
| 2019 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Aug 19+10d | Newton Abbot | Happy Birthday Bill O'dwyer Handicap Hurdle | 1/16 | 11-6 | 93 | 118B | 122A | Matt Griffiths | 5/1 | |
| 21 Aug 19+35d | Worcester | Youthcomm Radio Handicap Hurdle | 4/15 | 2¼ | 11-10 | 96 | 103B | 104A | Matt Griffiths | 18/1 |
| 17 Jul 19+88d | Uttoxeter | Browns Zero To Landfill Novices' Handicap Hurdle | 5/14 | 7 | 11-9 | 96 | 90B | 93A | Matt Griffiths | 10/1 |
| 20 Apr 19+21d | Newton Abbot | South West Racing Club Handicap Hurdle | 2/14 | 3½ | 11-5 | 93 | 105B | 114A | Matt Griffiths | 20/1 |
| 30 Mar 19+200d | Stratford | Happy Birthday Sarah Kelly Handicap Hurdle | 13/14 | 1 | 11-7 | 96 | 55C | 89C | Daryl Jacob | 9/1 |
| 2018 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Sep 18+27d | Worcester | Charles Stanley Investment Management Novices' Hurdle | 8/9 | shd | 10-12 | — | 84C | 87C | Matt Griffiths | 25/1 |
| 15 Aug 18+53d | Worcester | R&A Mason, Heating & Electrical Services Novices' Hurdle | 4/5 | 18 | 11-0 | — | 112C | 97C | Matt Griffiths | 50/1 |
| 23 Jun 18 | Gowran Park | Gain (C & G) Maiden Hurdle | 8/11 | 2½ | 11-12 | — | 63A | 90A | Mark Walsh | 16/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Can You Believe It won?
- Can You Believe It (IRE) won 1 of 13 archived starts between 2018 and 2021, a strike rate of 7.7%. Placed 4 times in total (30.8% of starts).
- Who trained Can You Believe It?
- Can You Believe It (IRE) was trained by Nicky Martin on the most recent run on record, at Newton Abbot on 2 July 2021.
- Who is Can You Believe It's sire?
- Can You Believe It (IRE) is by Oscar (IRE) out of Cassilis (IRE), whose sire is Persian Bold.
- What is Can You Believe It's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 2 July 2021. The highest on record is 105.
- What is Can You Believe It's sire's record?
- Oscar (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since Jan 2008 (1,456 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 18.1% from 105.
- Who are Can You Believe It's siblings?
- Out of Cassilis (IRE), Can You Believe It (IRE) has 8 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: The Last Stand (GB) (8). Highest grade won: Grade 3 (The Last Stand (GB)). The wins came over 1m1f–3m. As at Nov 2026.