Espoir Avenir (FR)
Espoir Avenir won the Group 3 Prix Gerald de Geoffre at Longchamp in Aug 2025 over 1m5f – 2m on soft ground. The colt is one from 11 on turf with his sole success coming from six starts at 1m5f – 2m. He has raced four times at Longchamp for one win and finished sixth of six in the Radio FG Prix Maurice de Nieuil there in Jul 2026.
- 1–11Wins / Runs
- 9.1%Strike rate
- 1 (9.1%)Placed
- +25.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.16Fair A/E n=11 · 0.98 incl. margin
- 110Highest OR
- 26dBetween runs (median)longest 144 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 2,396 runs since Jul 2013 (304 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 598. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 25 | 5 | 20% | +8.4 | — |
| Good | 512 | 61 | 11.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 371 | 52 | 14% | +2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 888 | 104 | 11.7% | +0.1 | 1 from 6 |
| Heavy | 420 | 48 | 11.4% | −0.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 179 | 8 | 4.5% | −7.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −7.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 138 | 4 | 2.9% | −8.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 300 | 36 | 12% | +0.4 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 598 | 95 | 15.9% | +4.3 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 961 | 110 | 11.4% | −0.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 317 | 28 | 8.8% | −2.8 | — |
| Over 3m | 57 | 5 | 8.8% | −2.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jul 2013 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | +30.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longchamp (FR) | 4 | 1 | 25% | +32.00 |
| Saint-Cloud (FR) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chantilly (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Vichy (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 1 | 17% | +30.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 5 | 1 | 20% | +31.00 |
| Hood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +30.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||
| 14 Jul 26+22d | Longchamp (FR) | Radio FG - Prix Maurice de Nieuil (Group 2) | 6/6 | 5½ | 8-13 | 110 | Enzo Corallo | 33/1 |
| 22 Jun 26+22d | Lyon-Parilly | Gd Px De Lyon Listed Stakes | 3/6 | hd | 9-4 | 110 | Enzo Corallo | 11/1 |
| 31 May 26+35d | Chantilly (FR) | Grand Prix De Chantilly (Turf) In touch with leaders - outpaced over 1f out | 5/6 | 2 | 9-0 | 110 | Enzo Corallo | 33/1 |
| 26 Apr 26+38d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix de Barbeville (Turf) | 3/4 | ¾ | 9-0 | 110 | Enzo Corallo | 9/1 |
| 19 Mar 26+144d | Saint-Cloud (FR) | Prix de la Porte de Madrid () (Turf) | 7/8 | ¾ | 8-13 | — | Enzo Corallo | 11/2 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||
| 26 Oct 25+22d | Saint-Cloud (FR) | Prix Royal-Oak (3yo+) (Turf) | 4/7 | 1¼ | 8-11 | — | Enzo Corallo | 21/1 |
| 04 Oct 25+34d | Longchamp (FR) | Qatar Prix Chaudenay (3yo) (Grande Course) (Turf) | 4/7 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | Enzo Corallo | 3/1 |
| 31 Aug 25+22d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix Gerald de Geoffre (3yo) (Grande Course: 1st Post) (Turf) | 1/7 | 9-0 | — | Enzo Corallo | 35/1 | |
| 09 Aug 25+26d | Deauville (FR) | Prix Michel Houyvet () (3yo) (Round Course) (Turf) | 4/11 | shd | 9-0 | — | Enzo Corallo | 33/1 |
| 14 Jul 25+107d | Vichy (FR) | Prix Frederic de Lagrange () (3yo) (Turf) | 5/9 | 1¼ | 9-1 | — | Enzo Corallo | 24/1 |
| 29 Mar 25 | Saint-Cloud (FR) | Prix Caracalla (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) | 3/6 | 3 | 9-0 | — | Enzo Corallo | 33/10 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Espoir Avenir won?
- Espoir Avenir (FR) won 1 of 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 9.1%. Placed 1 time in total (9.1% of starts).
- Who trains Espoir Avenir?
- Espoir Avenir (FR) is trained by C Ferland, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 July 2026.
- Who is Espoir Avenir's sire?
- Espoir Avenir (FR) is by Montmartre (FR) out of Espoir A Realiser (FR), whose sire is Linngari.
- What going does Espoir Avenir prefer?
- Espoir Avenir (FR) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Espoir Avenir's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 110, from the run on 14 July 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Espoir Avenir's sire's record?
- Montmartre (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 2,396 runs since Jul 2013 (304 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 598. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.
- Who are Espoir Avenir's siblings?
- Out of Espoir A Realiser (FR), Espoir Avenir (FR) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Moro (FR) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Moro (FR)). The wins came over 1m2f–1m7f. As at Nov 2026.