Island Affair (IRE)
Island Affair (IRE) is 1 from 7. Hasn't won since Jul 2017. The win came on good or faster ground (0 from 3 on softer).
- 1–7Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 1 (14.3%)Placed
- +6.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 2.19Fair A/E n=7 · 1.87 incl. margin
- 69Highest OR
- 13dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 88
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 88A | 66 | — |
| Good | 3 | 76A | 68 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 88A | 67 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 5,561 runs since Jan 2008 (382 horses).
Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 62 | 10 | 16.1% | +7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,039 | 100 | 9.6% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,094 | 87 | 8% | −1.1 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 563 | 47 | 8.3% | −0.8 | — |
| Soft | 722 | 56 | 7.8% | −1.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 242 | 18 | 7.4% | −1.7 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,839 | 186 | 10.1% | +1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,157 | 128 | 11.1% | +2 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,309 | 217 | 9.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 909 | 55 | 6.1% | −3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 528 | 50 | 9.5% | +0.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 406 | 33 | 8.1% | −1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 188 | 20 | 10.6% | +1.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 57 | 1 | 1.8% | −7.3 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
10 siblings in the archive, 7 winners — best of them Imshivalla (IRE) (8 wins).
The wins came over 5f–2m½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Imshivalla (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imshivalla (IRE) | 52 | 8 | 7f–1m2f | Class 2 |
| Fred Bear (IRE) | 37 | 5 | 1m6f–2m½f | Class 2 |
| Cascading Stars (IRE) | 33 | 1 | 7f | Class 2 |
| Dustland Fairytale (IRE) | 21 | 1 | 7f | Class 6 |
| Makinson Lane (IRE) | 15 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Looe P Looe (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 1m1½f | Class 6 |
| Subtle Embrace (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Diamond Affair (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Imshi's Little Bro (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Lil's Affair (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 1 | 50% | +11.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 1 | 17% | +7.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Cleary | 6 | 1 | 17% | +7.00 |
| Ronan Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Oct 17+14d | Naas | Book Hospitality Online Nursery Handicap (Plus 10) | 9/10 | 8½ | 8-4 | 67 | 36C | 27C | Rory Cleary | 16/1 |
| 20 Sep 17+37d | Fairyhouse | Become A Member At Fairyhouse Nursery Handicap (Plus 10) | 5/12 | 2¾ | 8-8 | 68 | 88A | 66A | Rory Cleary | 16/1 |
| 14 Aug 17+9d | Ayr | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 6/10 | ½ | 9-0 | 69 | 68A | 65A | Ronan Whelan | 8/1 |
| 05 Aug 17+9d | Galway (IRE) | Galway Shopping Centre Irish EBF Nursery Handicap (Plus 10 Race) | 4/8 | 4¾ | 8-4 | 69 | 66C | 58A | Rory Cleary | 14/1 |
| 27 Jul 17+22d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Claiming Race (Plus 10) | 1/7 | 8-9 | — | 76A | 65A | Rory Cleary | 12/1 | |
| 05 Jul 17+13d | Fairyhouse | Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Fillies Maiden | 4/6 | 2½ | 8-6 | — | 59A | 58B | Rory Cleary | 6/1 |
| 22 Jun 17 | Leopardstown | Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Race (Plus 10) | 5/8 | 1¾ | 8-6 | — | 66A | 66A | Rory Cleary | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Island Affair won?
- Island Affair (IRE) won 1 of 7 archived starts in 2017, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 1 time in total (14.3% of starts).
- Who trained Island Affair?
- Island Affair (IRE) was trained by Adrian McGuinness on the most recent run on record, at Naas on 4 October 2017.
- Who is Island Affair's sire?
- Island Affair (IRE) is by Tagula (IRE) out of Subtle Affair (IRE), whose sire is Barathea.
- What going does Island Affair prefer?
- Island Affair (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Island Affair's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 67, from the run on 4 October 2017. The highest on record is 69.
- What is Island Affair's sire's record?
- Tagula (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 5,561 runs since Jan 2008 (382 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
- Who are Island Affair's siblings?
- Out of Subtle Affair (IRE), Island Affair (IRE) has 10 other produce in our archive, 7 of them winners. Most wins: Imshivalla (IRE) (8). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Imshivalla (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–2m½f. As at Nov 2026.