Mr Chance (FR)
Mr Chance (FR) is 1 from 5. Hasn't won since Apr 2011.
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 2 (40%)Placed
- +5.30£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 1.73Fair A/E n=5 · 1.48 incl. margin
- 51dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since Jan 2008 (497 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | +9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 735 | 101 | 13.7% | +2.1 | — |
| Good | 1,191 | 147 | 12.3% | +0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 684 | 66 | 9.6% | −2 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 878 | 105 | 12% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 278 | 24 | 8.6% | −3 | 1 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,236 | 135 | 10.9% | −0.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 12 | 3 | 25% | +13.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 352 | 37 | 10.5% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 843 | 88 | 10.4% | −1.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,214 | 294 | 13.3% | +1.7 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,074 | 125 | 11.6% | 0 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 370 | 25 | 6.8% | −4.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 153 | 10 | 6.5% | −5.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | +4.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Calliope (GB) (7 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m6f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Calliope (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calliope (GB) | 75 | 7 | 1m4f–2m6f | Class 4 |
| Costa Percy (GB) | 16 | 3 | 1m4½f–2m½f | Class 4 |
| Good Boy Alfie (GB) | 10 | 2 | 7f–1m1f | Class 4 |
| Soho Theatre (GB) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| My Little Orphan (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Shining Bay (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.30 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longchamp (FR) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.30 |
| Saint-Cloud (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Maisons-Laffitte (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Benoist | 3 | 1 | 33% | +7.30 |
| Olivier Peslier | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Anthony Crastus | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 · 5 runs | |||||||
| 25 Oct 11+27d | Saint-Cloud (FR) | Prix Fourire (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) | 5/6 | 1 | 9-4 | Gregory Benoist | 4/1 |
| 28 Sep 11+61d | Maisons-Laffitte (FR) | Prix Burgos (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) | 2/8 | 1¾ | 9-2 | Olivier Peslier | 16/1 |
| 29 Jul 11+79d | Deauville (FR) | Prix Du Tombray (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) | —/14 | 9-4 | Anthony Crastus | 73/10 | |
| 11 May 11+37d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix De Grenelle (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf) | 7/8 | ½ | 9-0 | Gregory Benoist | 4/1 |
| 04 Apr 11 | Longchamp (FR) | Prix Juigne (Conditions) (Unraced 3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf) | 1/13 | 9-2 | Gregory Benoist | 93/10 | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Mr Chance won?
- Mr Chance (FR) won 1 of 5 archived starts in 2011, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 2 times in total (40% of starts).
- Who trained Mr Chance?
- Mr Chance (FR) was trained by D Smaga on the most recent run on record, at Saint-Cloud (FR) on 25 October 2011.
- Who is Mr Chance's sire?
- Mr Chance (FR) is by Dalakhani (IRE) out of Costa Brava (IRE), whose sire is Sadler's Wells.
- What is Mr Chance's sire's record?
- Dalakhani (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since Jan 2008 (497 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.
- Who are Mr Chance's siblings?
- Out of Costa Brava (IRE), Mr Chance (FR) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Calliope (GB) (7). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Calliope (GB)). The wins came over 7f–2m6f. As at Oct 2026.