Horse profile
Paddy The Squire (GB)
by Golden Horn (GB) out of Provenance (GB) (Galileo)
23 runs · 12 courses · from Jan 2023
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Ran 9 days ago · 6th of 18
Last raced off OR 105
KTB Profile
Paddy The Squire is a gelding who has won four of 23 starts, all over 1m2f – 1m4f. He gained those handicap successes on good to firm at Hamilton and Thirsk in Aug 2025, on good at Chester in May 2025 and on soft at Ayr in Jul 2023. Typically held up, he last ran off a career-high official rating of 105 when sixth of 18 at York in Oct 2026.
Based on 23 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
OR at career high
- 4–23Wins / Runs
- 17.4%Strike rate
- 14 (60.9%)Placed
- −8.59£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 1.33Fair A/E n=23 · 1.12 incl. margin
- 105Highest OR
- 62dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating105At career-high mark
105
79–105
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 107
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 20 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 110B | 93 | 1 · — |
| Good to Firm | 7 | 118A | 99 | 3 · 107 / 103 |
| Good | 4 | 121C | 86 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 135C | 110.5 | 1 · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 20 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 17 | 135C | 96 | 4 · 107 / 89.5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 103C | 86 | 2 · 103 / 94.5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 110B | 95 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 23 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Held up 3 (60%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (20%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (20%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 3,732 runs since Jan 2008 (345 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +13.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 441 | 69 | 15.6% | +1.8 | 2 from 7 |
| Good | 1,023 | 143 | 14% | +0.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 479 | 78 | 16.3% | +2.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 570 | 71 | 12.5% | −1.3 | 1 from 8 |
| Heavy | 161 | 15 | 9.3% | −4.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,047 | 137 | 13.1% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −13.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 232 | 19 | 8.2% | −5.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 612 | 60 | 9.8% | −4 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,416 | 204 | 14.4% | +0.6 | 4 from 17 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 976 | 152 | 15.6% | +1.8 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 405 | 66 | 16.3% | +2.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 85 | 14 | 16.5% | +2.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | +6.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Provenance (GB) (Galileo)
3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Cruyff Turn (GB) (9 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m1f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Archivist (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruyff Turn (GB) | 52 | 9 | 7f–1m½f | Class 2 |
| Archivist (GB) | 11 | 4 | 1m–1m1f | Group 3 |
| New Kingdom (GB) | 9 | 2 | 7f–1m | Class 2 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.67 |
| Good to Firm | 7 | 2 | 29% | −1.92 |
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −9.75 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +5.16 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Hamilton | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Chester | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Pontefract | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.83 |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 17 | 4 | 24% | −2.59 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mullen | 22 | 4 | 18% | −7.59 |
| Lewis Edmunds | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 16 | 4 | 25% | −1.59 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +4.08 |
| 2024 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.67 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26+21d | York | Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) up with the pace wide - urged along 2f out - steadily lost ground to finish 6th | 6/18 | ¾ | 10-0 | 105 | 77C | 110A | Andrew Mullen | 28/1 |
| 19 Sep 26+28d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Raced with strong enthusiasm early - sat close to the pace - pushed along 3f out - slipped back to third with 2f left - edged off a true line entering the final furlong - rallied late to close on the winner but denied by a whisker | 2/11 | nse | 9-12 | 103 | 99A | 107A | Andrew Mullen | 12/1 |
| 22 Aug 26+49d | York | Sky Bet Ebor Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBplus Race) Settled in the middle of the field - checked for room 3f out and lost several places - niggled over 2f out with nothing to offer - well beaten in 14th | 14/22 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 104 | 86C | 86A | Andrew Mullen | 16/1 |
| 04 Jul 26+18d | Newmarket | Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sat close to pace - boxed in over 2f out before finding space - moved into runner-up spot with a furlong left - kept on inside but caught close home | 2/12 | ½ | 9-10 | 101 | 107A | 109A | Andrew Mullen | 8/1 |
| 16 Jun 26+34d | Ascot | Copper Horse Stakes (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Settled off the pace in the pack - dropped away 4f out - moved right and pushed along with 2f out - progress under pressure inside the final furlong - nabbed third close home | 3/16 | 1¾ | 9-12 | 100 | 103C | 96A | Andrew Mullen | 22/1 |
| 13 May 26+249d | York | Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack early - slipped towards the back 3f out and asked for effort - found some late gears past faltering others inside the final furlong - unable to threaten and finished sixth | 6/10 | nk | 9-10 | 101 | 80A | 92A | Lewis Edmunds | 9/1 |
| 06 Sep 25+15d | Haydock | Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Held up towards the back of the pack - improved with effort near the stands rail approaching 2f out then lost momentum - finished strongly in the closing stages to take fifth | 5/15 | 1 | 9-8 | 101 | 68C | 95A | Andrew Mullen | 7/1 |
| 22 Aug 25+14d | Hamilton | Ecosave Installations Lanark Silver Bell Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Up with the front group - roused 3f out and moved right - hit the front over 2f out - drew clear under pressure final furlong keeping on strongly to win | 1/8 | 9-9 | 96 | 118A | 96A | Andrew Mullen | 9/4 | |
| 08 Aug 25+34d | Thirsk | Join Racing TV Today Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled close up early - went up to challenge and hit the front over 2f out - pushed along and pulled away inside the final furlong - kept finding more to the line | 1/6 | 9-1 | 87 | 87B | 99B | Andrew Mullen | 5/6F | |
| 05 Jul 25+22d | Haydock | bet365 Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled towards the back of the pack early - improved to move into second approaching the final furlong - held that spot to the line without troubling the winner - finished second beaten 4 lengths | 2/14 | 4 | 8-7 | 85 | 121C | 92A | Andrew Mullen | 9/2 |
| 13 Jun 25+36d | York | Seat Unique Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Held up wide in the pack early - eased forward wide on the turn - kept battling wide inside the final furlong - closed to finish third beaten 2¾ lengths | 3/12 | 1 | 8-7 | 85 | 96A | 89A | Andrew Mullen | 8/1 |
| 08 May 25+199d | Chester | Halliwell Jones Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Pulling hard early - settled in the pack - bumped a touch after 2f - moved right and surged through from 2f out - pushed to the front inside the last furlong and stayed on strongly to win | 1/14 | 9-0 | 81 | 92C | 92A | Andrew Mullen | 4/1 | |
| 21 Oct 24+9d | Pontefract | Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Sat close to pace early - asked for effort over 2f out - dropped from second soon after - form fell away inside final furlong - trailed in fourth over the closing stages | 4/7 | 2¾ | 10-0 | 84 | 101A | 89A | Andrew Mullen | 10/3 |
| 12 Oct 24+14d | York | Coral 'Daily Rewards Shaker' Handicap Settled towards the back - pushed along with 3f left - unable to close - eventually finished seventh | 7/13 | ½ | 8-9 | 86 | 106C | 84A | Andrew Mullen | 9/1 |
| 28 Sep 24+14d | Newmarket | bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Held a central spot in the pack racing towards the far rail - pushed along with three furlongs left - failed to threaten - eventually well held in 20th | 20/31 | shd | 8-8 | 87 | 83C | 76A | Andrew Mullen | 16/1 |
| 14 Sep 24+32d | Chester | Virgin Bet Handicap Held up at the back early - progress from wide position inside final two furlongs - squeezed for space late on - closed into third but lacked the speed to get on terms | 3/9 | nk | 9-6 | 87 | 88A | 86A | Andrew Mullen | 9/2 |
| 13 Aug 24+354d | Hamilton | McEwan Grant Construction Scottish Trophy Handicap Settled towards the rear early - moved smoothly into contention on the inner approaching 2f out - hit the front briefly inside the final furlong before edged out close home | 2/9 | shd | 9-11 | 85 | 110B | 103A | Andrew Mullen | 17/2 |
| 25 Aug 23+25d | Hamilton | Phoenix Utilities Ltd Lanark Silver Bell Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 2/14 | 3½ | 8-3 | 85 | 135C | 87A | Andrew Mullen | 7/2J |
| 31 Jul 23+36d | Ayr | Ayr & District Flower Show Handicap | 1/5 | 9-1 | 80 | 98C | 92B | Andrew Mullen | 10/3 | |
| 25 Jun 23+46d | Pontefract | Sky Bet Sunday Series Handicap | 2/10 | shd | 8-8 | 79 | 80A | 73A | Andrew Mullen | 10/3F |
| 10 May 23+39d | Chester | Deepbridge Syndicate Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 3½ | 9-7 | — | 75A | 89A | Andrew Mullen | 80/1 |
| 01 Apr 23+71d | Doncaster | Pertemps Network Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 12/12 | 18 | 9-7 | — | 38C | 62C | Andrew Mullen | 18/1 |
| 20 Jan 23 | Southwell (AW) | talkSPORT Powered By Fans Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/12 | 2¾ | 9-7 | — | 95A | 77A | Andrew Mullen | 3/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Paddy The Squire (GB) won?
- Paddy The Squire (GB) won 4 of 23 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 17.4%. Placed 14 times in total (60.9% of starts).
- Who trains Paddy The Squire (GB)?
- Paddy The Squire (GB) is trained by Iain Jardine, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 October 2026.
- Who is Paddy The Squire (GB)'s sire?
- Paddy The Squire (GB) is by Golden Horn (GB) out of Provenance (GB), whose sire is Galileo.
- What going does Paddy The Squire (GB) prefer?
- Paddy The Squire (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 7 starts (28.6%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Paddy The Squire (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 105, from the run on 10 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Paddy The Squire (GB)'s sire's record?
- Golden Horn (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.8% of 3,732 runs since Jan 2008 (345 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.
- Who are Paddy The Squire (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Provenance (GB), Paddy The Squire (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Cruyff Turn (GB) (9). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Archivist (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m1f. As at Oct 2026.