How many races has That's For Sure (IRE) won?

That's For Sure (IRE) won 1 of 13 archived starts between 2023 and 2025, a strike rate of 7.7%. Placed 3 times in total (23.1% of starts).

Who trained That's For Sure (IRE)?

That's For Sure (IRE) was trained by Michael Keady on the most recent run on record, at Brighton on 30 April 2025.

Who is That's For Sure (IRE)'s sire?

That's For Sure (IRE) is by Unfortunately (IRE) out of Vulnicura (IRE), whose sire is Frozen Power.

What going does That's For Sure (IRE) prefer?

That's For Sure (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.

What is That's For Sure (IRE)'s official rating?

The most recent official rating on record is 60, from the run on 30 April 2025. The highest on record is 84.

What is That's For Sure (IRE)'s sire's record?

Unfortunately (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 660 runs since Jan 2008 (46 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 13.6% from 236.

Who are That's For Sure (IRE)'s siblings?

Out of Vulnicura (IRE), That's For Sure (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Dig Two (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Dig Two (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.

Horse profile

That's For Sure (IRE)

4yo gelding (at last run, Apr 2025) · Last trainer Michael Keady · Last owner Pompey Ventures 15

by Unfortunately (IRE) out of Vulnicura (IRE) (Frozen Power)

13 runs · 11 courses · from Jun 2023

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily

No run recorded since 30 Apr 2025 — 539 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.

Last run Apr 2025 · 3rd of 6 Won at Carlisle Last raced off OR 60

KTB Profile

That's For Sure won one of 13 starts, the success coming in a Class 2 novice at Carlisle over 6f – 7f on good to firm in Jul 2023. All three places also came on turf. The gelding, aged 4 at his last run in Apr 2025, finished third of six in a Class 6 handicap at Brighton off an official rating of 60, 24lb below his highest ever mark.

Based on 13 archived runs · run-style from 8 commented runs since Nov 2024 · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Typically prominent Won on turf, 0 on AW Win at Class 2 OR ↓ 24lb off peak

1–13Wins / Runs
7.7%Strike rate
3 (23.1%)Placed
−5.00£1 level staken=13 at SP
0.98Fair A/E n=13 · 0.83 incl. margin
84Highest OR
57dAvg between runs

Official rating60↓ 24lb off peak

60 60–84

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 98 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Brighton, 30 Apr 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 13 figures · best 109^A · median 81

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 22 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)	6	109^A	80	—
Good to Firm	4	98^A	83.5	—
Soft	2	66^C	61.5	—
Good	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 22 Oct 2025
6f – 7f	9	103^A	79	—
1m – 1m1f	4	109^A	91.5	—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 74^A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Bath, 4 Apr 2025 Official rating 60 at the last run, 30 Apr 2025

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 13 figures · best 89^A · median 69

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 22 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)	6	80^A	66.5	—
Good to Firm	4	89^A	77.5	—
Soft	2	65^A	61.5	—
Good	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 22 Oct 2025
6f – 7f	9	89^A	65	—
1m – 1m1f	4	80^A	72.5	—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 8 analysed runs since Nov 2024

Prominent 5 (63%) · 0 wins
Mid-division 2 (25%) · 0 wins
Held up 1 (13%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Unfortunately (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 660 runs since Jan 2008 (46 horses).

Strongest on standard (aw) going: 13.6% from 236.

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Firm	4	0	0%	−9.4	—
Good to Firm	98	8	8.2%	−1.2	1 from 4
Good	150	14	9.3%	−0.1	0 from 1
Good to Soft	60	2	3.3%	−6.1	—
Soft	80	5	6.3%	−3.1	0 from 2
Heavy	32	1	3.1%	−6.3	—
Standard (AW)	236	32	13.6%	+4.2	0 from 6

Distance (all codes)	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Under 6f	258	31	12%	+2.6	—
6f – 7f	302	29	9.6%	+0.2	1 from 9
1m – 1m1f	62	2	3.2%	−6.2	0 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f	27	0	0%	−9.4	—
1m5f – 2m	10	0	0%	−9.4	—
2m1f – 2m4f	1	0	0%	−9.4	—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

Vulnicura (IRE) (Frozen Power)

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Dig Two (IRE) (3 wins).

The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Dig Two (IRE)).

Produce	Runs	Wins	Win trips	Best grade
Dig Two (IRE)	21	3	5f–7f	Class 3
Parr Fire (IRE)	22	1	5f	Class 4
Alfredo Delgado (IRE)	2	0	—	—

Record by conditions

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Standard (AW)	6	0	0%	−6.00
Good to Firm	4	1	25%	+4.00
Soft	2	0	0%	−2.00
Good	1	0	0%	−1.00

Class	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Class 4	5	0	0%	−5.00
Class 6	3	0	0%	−3.00
Class 5	2	0	0%	−2.00
Class 2	2	1	50%	+6.00

Course	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Wolverhampton (AW)	2	0	0%	−2.00
Newcastle (AW)	2	0	0%	−2.00
Brighton	1	0	0%	−1.00
Bath	1	0	0%	−1.00
Southwell (AW)	1	0	0%	−1.00
Kempton (AW)	1	0	0%	−1.00
Doncaster	1	0	0%	−1.00
York	1	0	0%	−1.00
Naas	1	0	0%	−1.00
Carlisle	1	1	100%	+7.00
Hamilton	1	0	0%	−1.00

Distance	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
6f – 7f	9	1	11%	−1.00
1m – 1m1f	4	0	0%	−4.00

Jockey	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Clifford Lee	4	0	0%	−4.00
Andrew Elliott	3	1	33%	+5.00
Sean D Bowen	2	0	0%	−2.00
Sam James	2	0	0%	−2.00
Nicola Currie	1	0	0%	−1.00
Pierre-Louis Jamin	1	0	0%	−1.00

Headgear	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
None	9	1	11%	−1.00
Blinkers	2	0	0%	−2.00
Cheekpieces	1	0	0%	−1.00
Visor	1	0	0%	−1.00

Season	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
2025	6	0	0%	−6.00
2024	2	0	0%	−2.00
2023	5	1	20%	+3.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

Date	Course	Race	Pos	Btn	Wgt	OR	Spd	KTB	Jockey	SP
30 Apr 25+26d	Brighton	starsports.bet Handicap Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran Tracked front group early - urged forward with 2f left and stayed on - lacked the speed to get involved late	3/6	¾	9-4	60	98^A	69^B	Nicola Currie	8/1
04 Apr 25+7d	Bath	On Course Values Online DragonBet Handicap Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran Sluggish start - held up in the pack - improved into contention wide from 2f out and stayed on to finish 5th	5/12	½	9-9	62	85^A	74^A	Pierre-Louis Jamin	9/1
28 Mar 25+30d	Southwell (AW)	BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran Sat just behind the front group in 4th on the rail - asked for effort with 2f left and edged left approaching the furlong pole - lost momentum in the closing stages to finish 5th	5/8	1	9-6	62	57^A	71^A	Sean D Bowen	7/1
26 Feb 25+37d	Kempton (AW)	Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran Tracked front group early - moved up to second with two furlongs left - held that spot until inside the last furlong - unable to find extra and finished third	3/8	2	9-1	62	109^A	80^A	Sean D Bowen	18/1
20 Jan 25+13d	Wolverhampton (AW)	30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran Settled with the pack early - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away soon after - finished eighth	8/9	nk	9-8	67	79^A	52^A	Clifford Lee	12/1
07 Jan 25+10d	Wolverhampton (AW)	30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran Sluggish start - held towards rear throughout - finished seventh	7/9	1	8-11	70	101^A	68^A	Andrew Elliott	40/1
28 Dec 24+42d	Newcastle (AW)	Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran Sat close to the front pack early - lost touch inside final 2f - eventually finished 10th	10/11	nk	9-5	74	81^A	65^A	Clifford Lee	40/1
16 Nov 24+428d	Newcastle (AW)	Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran Sat close to front group early - dropped away with 2f left - trailed home well beaten	12/12	10	9-8	77	73^C	46^C	Clifford Lee	22/1
15 Sep 23+22d	Doncaster	Hippo Clean Edge Masking Tape Confined Nursery Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran	7/9	3	9-6	82	57^A	58^A	Clifford Lee	11/1
24 Aug 23+17d	York	Goffs UK Harry Beeby Premier Yearling Stakes (GBB Race) Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 22 ran	15/22	nk	9-7	84	67^C	81^A	Sam James	66/1
07 Aug 23+30d	Naas	Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Auction Race) 6f · Soft · 20 ran	13/20	dht	9-0	—	66^C	65^A	Sam James	4/1F
08 Jul 23+17d	Carlisle	Diff-Ability 'Ability Over Disability' EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran	1/10		9-4	—	82^A	89^A	Andrew Elliott	7/1
21 Jun 23	Hamilton	Hamilton Park EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 6f · Good · 9 ran	3/9	nk	9-4	—	103^A	80^A	Andrew Elliott	7/2

Quick answers

How many races has That's For Sure (IRE) won?: That's For Sure (IRE) won 1 of 13 archived starts between 2023 and 2025, a strike rate of 7.7%. Placed 3 times in total (23.1% of starts).
Who trained That's For Sure (IRE)?: That's For Sure (IRE) was trained by Michael Keady on the most recent run on record, at Brighton on 30 April 2025.
Who is That's For Sure (IRE)'s sire?: That's For Sure (IRE) is by Unfortunately (IRE) out of Vulnicura (IRE), whose sire is Frozen Power.
What going does That's For Sure (IRE) prefer?: That's For Sure (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is That's For Sure (IRE)'s official rating?: The most recent official rating on record is 60, from the run on 30 April 2025. The highest on record is 84.
What is That's For Sure (IRE)'s sire's record?: Unfortunately (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 660 runs since Jan 2008 (46 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 13.6% from 236.
Who are That's For Sure (IRE)'s siblings?: Out of Vulnicura (IRE), That's For Sure (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Dig Two (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Dig Two (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.

KTB Speed and Rating

Run style from 8 analysed runs since Nov 2024

Pedigree intelligence

Record by conditions

▾Going

▾Class 12 of 13 runs

▾Course

▾Distance

▾Jockey

▾Headgear

▾Season

Form

Quick answers