Andrew Elliott
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.44).
The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 1.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.35 and −113.12 to a £1 stake over 119 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.00 across 69 rides (0% strike, −69.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ballyogan Stakes at Leopardstown (Jun 2009, £42,250). The standout partner of the record: Mr Strutter (IRE) — 9 wins from 48 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,944 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,944 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 2 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Andrew Elliott's strike rate?
- Andrew Elliott has won 6 of 263 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Andrew Elliott do best at?
- Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 55 rides (1.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Andrew Elliott's Fair A/E?
- 0.44, from 259 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.