No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.1%+2.8
n=22 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−6.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−6.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.3%+0.0
n=32 · A/E 0.70 · £1 +6.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−6.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)2727.4%+11.00
Good to Soft200%−2.00
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Good100%−1.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW)19210.5%+19.00
Lingfield (AW)400%−4.00
Kempton (AW)200%−2.00
Southwell (AW)100%−1.00
Nottingham100%−1.00
Bath100%−1.00
Thirsk100%−1.00
Chelmsford City (AW)100%−1.00
Doncaster100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 62200%−22.00
Class 58225%+30.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%1.63+2.00
2nd–3rd fav700%0.00−7.00
4th–6th fav900%0.00−9.00
7th+ in betting1417.1%2.46+20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f17211.8%+21.00
1m – 1m1f900%−9.00
1m2f – 1m4f300%−3.00
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2013200%−2.00
2014200%−2.00
20151119.1%+23.00
2016400%−4.00
20181317.7%−9.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2913.4%−25.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners15213.3%+23.00
11-13 runners900%−9.00
5-7 runners600%−6.00
14-16 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 22 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00033000·50000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,723 runs since 2008 (100 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 368. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.4% from 145.
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,686 runs since 2008 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 553.
Bahamian Bounty (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,458 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 147. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 254.
Dansili (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,217 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 32 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Ryan Holmes's 32 archived rides, from 1 July 2013 to 8 June 2018, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Ryan Holmes's strike rate?
Ryan Holmes has won 2 of 32 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ryan Holmes's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 32 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Ryan Holmes·SR 6.3%·A/E 0.70
KTB
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