Race Preview

1:40 Ascot

Saturday 5 September 2026 ·8 runners KTB Selection: Two Tribes · 70/100

This Class 2 handicap over seven furlongs at Ascot on good ground brings together eight useful performers, several with course form and recent wins to their name. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Two Tribes just heading The Fingal Raven, while Addison Grey and Mubasimah complete the principals. Trainer and jockey records at the track add further layers, with some yards showing solid returns from large samples and others more modest.

How the race shapes up

A strong pace is anticipated given the presence of at least two habitual front-runners in Mubasimah and Ghost Mode. Several others, including the selection, prefer to be held up and produce their effort late. This shape raises the possibility of the leaders going too hard and the race collapsing in the final furlong, which would play into the hands of those coming from off the pace.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Two Tribes KTB Selection70/100

    Form 007205 · Richard Spencer · Saffie Osborne

    Two Tribes is a useful performer who has won once from eight runs at Ascot. He has been out of form for most of this year yet ran creditably when fifth at Newmarket last time and drops back to a trip he has won over. The five-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. Richard Spencer's modest 5% strike rate at Ascot from 99 runs is a negative, though Saffie Osborne brings a 16% strike rate at the track from 150 rides and the pair hold a combined trainer-jockey record of 20/102 (20%) with an A/E of 1.20 and +£7.63 LSP. He has three wins from nine starts on good ground.

  2. 2The Fingal Raven68/100

    Form 550939 · Jamie Osborne · William Carver

    The Fingal Raven is a useful performer on his day but has been largely out of form this season with a string of modest efforts. He has run twice at Ascot without placing and his record on good ground is only fair with one win from six starts. The trip suits this four-year-old who is usually held up and produces his effort late. Jamie Osborne's solid 13% strike rate at Ascot from 250 runs offers encouragement, as does William Carver's 13% strike rate at the track from 24 rides, and the pair combine for a 25/289 (9%) record with an A/E of 0.99 and +£3.76 LSP.

  3. 3Addison Grey59/100

    Form 225391 · Clive Cox · Callum Shepherd

    Addison Grey is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick after a win and two placed efforts in his last three starts. He has already shown he handles this trip and acts on good ground, having been placed twice from four starts, though he is yet to win in this class. The four-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. Clive Cox has a solid 10% strike rate at Ascot from 516 runs while Callum Shepherd is making his first ride here; the trainer-jockey combination shows 0/11 (0%) with an A/E of 0.00 and -£11.00 LSP. This will be his first run at the course.

  4. 4Mubasimah57/100

    Form -60507 · Andrew Balding · Jason Watson

    Mubasimah is a useful performer who has not really built on early promise and now arrives on the back of a string of ordinary efforts. The three-year-old has the benefit of a low draw and has won over today's trip but was well held when tried here previously. Andrew Balding's 9% strike rate at Ascot from 1052 runs is solid rather than flashy while Jason Watson's record at the track shows 9% from 144 rides. Mubasimah tends to make the running or race on the pace and has been placed once from three starts on good ground. The trainer-jockey partnership stands at 97/559 (17%) with an A/E of 0.95 and -£87.69 LSP.

  5. 5Ghost Mode55/100

    Form 790615 · Andrew Balding · David Probert

    Ghost Mode is a useful performer on his day with a win at this trip from six attempts and solid recent efforts that include a sixth in a stronger race last time. He has been below form in both runs at Ascot and is only placed once from three starts on good ground so neither track nor conditions look ideal. The Balding yard posts a 9 percent strike rate here from a huge sample while David Probert is similarly established at the course.

  6. 6Thunder Call55/100

    Form 2-1132 · William Haggas · Cieren Fallon

    Thunder Call is a useful performer who has shown strong form this year with two wins and placed efforts in competitive races. He ran a solid race when second over course and distance on his only visit to Ascot and handles good ground with one win from two starts. Stepping back up to 7f poses a fresh question though the yard's solid record here adds some confidence.

  7. 7Glenfinnan51/100

    Form 194201 · Michael Dods · Edward Greatrex

    Glenfinnan is a fair performer who has won twice from five runs at this track and holds solid figures on good ground with four wins from fifteen starts. He drops back to 7f today having won four times at the trip from twenty attempts yet his recent form has been patchy with just two victories from his last eleven outings. The yard posts an 11 percent strike rate here from 84 runs while Edward Greatrex takes the ride. He steps up in class.

  8. 8Silver Ghost49/100

    Form 6-3200 · Emma Lavelle · Charles Bishop

    Silver Ghost is a useful performer who has run well enough at this level on his day but has been out of form on his last two starts. Only one run at Ascot and it was poor, though the yard's 10% strike rate from 226 runs here shows they can place their horses at the track. Acts on good ground with two wins from seven starts and has won at this trip. He steps up in class.

KTB verdict

Two Tribes is the KTB Selection. A useful performer with a win at this track from eight runs, he ran creditably at Newmarket last time despite being out of form for much of the year and now drops back to a trip he has won over. His hold-up style looks ideal given the strong pace expected. The main dangers are The Fingal Raven, who has the benefit of a yard in good form at Ascot, and Addison Grey, who arrives in decent nick. Mubasimah could also figure if the front-running tactics pay off from the inside draw.

KTB Selection Two Tribes

Morning odds

Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.

RunnerMorning priceBookmaker
Two Tribes11/2William Hill
The Fingal Raven28/1Bet365
Addison Grey11/2BetMGM
Mubasimah18/1BetMGM
Ghost Mode7/17Bet
Thunder Call11/107Bet
Glenfinnan16/1William Hill
Silver Ghost16/1William Hill

Questions about this race

Which horse has won over course and distance?

Thunder Call ran a solid race when second over course and distance on his only visit to Ascot.

Who has the strongest trainer strike rate at Ascot in this field?

William Haggas has a 13% strike rate at Ascot from 868 runs.

How many front-runners are in the race?

There are two or more habitual front-runners, making a strong pace likely.

Which horse has the best recent course form at Ascot?

Glenfinnan has won here twice from five runs.

Which jockey has the highest strike rate at Ascot among those riding today?

Saffie Osborne has a 16% strike rate at Ascot from 150 rides.

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