1:55 Bath
A small but competitive field of six two-year-old fillies lines up for the 1:55 at Bath in this Class 4 GBB Fillies' Novice Stakes over 5f10y on good to soft ground. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched between 53 and 45, suggesting little to choose between them on paper, though the top four hold the call according to the numbers. With several newcomers and lightly raced types involved, the race looks likely to revolve around which juvenile can translate pedigree promise or limited racecourse evidence most effectively on this stiff Bath track.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a contested early gallop with multiple runners likely to press forward from their stalls. Castlerock Girl from draw 1 and Naval Cop from draw 2 are both anticipated to show early speed, while Toolatetoeducate and Havana Sprite should also be prominent from wider gates. The key question is whether the leaders can maintain their effort up the hill or if one of the more patiently ridden fillies can pick them up in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Castlerock Girl KTB Selection53/100
- 2Toolatetoeducate52/100
- 3Naval Cop49/100
- 4Marralyn48/100
- 5Fillipas47/100
- 6Havana Sprite45/100
The contenders
Castlerock Girl KTB Fit 53/100
Castlerock Girl tops the KTB Fit ratings at 53 and is the clear selection. By Bayside Boy, who boasts a 32% overall win rate from just 19 runners, she represents a yard that has an 18% strike rate at Bath from 476 runs with an A/E of 0.95. The daughter of a useful sire holds strong claims on pedigree alone in a race where many rivals have limited or modest form. Her trainer Clive Cox knows this track well and the selection from stall 1 should be able to secure a prominent position early. With no course wins on record and the jockey's course record unavailable, she remains the one to beat on the KTB assessment.
Toolatetoeducate KTB Fit 52/100
Toolatetoeducate sits just a point behind on KTB Fit at 52. Trained by Daisy Hitchins, who teams up with Millie Wonnacott claiming 5lb, the combination has a strong 5-18 record with an A/E of 2.11 and a healthy level stakes profit of +£27.75. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Bath with an A/E of 1.02 from 15 runs, while the jockey has an 11% strike rate here from 38 rides with an A/E of 0.96. By Caturra, who has a modest 3% win rate from 39 runners, she will need to buck that trend but the yard's recent record demands respect. Expected to race prominently from draw 5, she is one of the more interesting runners on the figures despite a 50/1 market position in the smaller field of five.
Naval Cop KTB Fit 49/100
Naval Cop is rated 49 on KTB Fit and comes from the powerful Andrew Balding yard. The trainer has a 15% strike rate at Bath from 475 runs with an A/E of 0.83, while the partnership with Callum Hutchinson shows 56-394 winners at a 14% strike rate and an A/E of 0.97. By Naval Crown, who has a 15% win rate from 13 runners, the filly has the pedigree to make her mark as a juvenile. She is likely to be forward from her draw of 2 and should go well if the good to soft ground suits. No course wins on record but the yard's local knowledge makes her a solid contender in this novice event.
Marralyn KTB Fit 48/100
Marralyn brings the most racecourse experience among the principals with form figures of 58 and a KTB Fit of 48. Trained by Ollie Sangster, who has a 16% strike rate at Bath from 31 runs with an A/E of 0.93, she is ridden by Dougie Costello whose record with the yard is 0-5. She has one run on good to soft ground without placing, which raises a slight question on these conditions. No course form on record, yet her placed effort last time suggests she is capable of being involved at this level if she can improve again. The yard will be hoping she can build on her initial outings in this fillies' event.
The rest of the field
FillipasKTB Fit 47/100
Fillipas is rated 47 on KTB Fit. By Coulsty, who has a 10% win rate from 1249 runners, she represents Rod Millman who has an 11% strike rate at Bath from 714 runs with an A/E of 0.87. The trainer and jockey combination shows 2-9 winners at 22%. No course win on record but she could make the frame if the good to soft ground is suitable.
Havana SpriteKTB Fit 45/100
Havana Sprite has form figures of 42 and a KTB Fit of 45. Trained by James Tate, who has a 17% strike rate at Bath from 48 runs with an A/E of 0.72, the yard and jockey combination of Jack Callan shows 3-10 winners at 30% with an A/E of 1.95 and +£6.12 LSP. However she has had no runs on good to soft and remains unproven on the ground, which is a concern. No course form on record.
KTB verdict
Castlerock Girl is the KTB Selection at the head of a tight ratings cluster. Her pedigree by Bayside Boy, whose 32% win rate from limited runners stands out, allied to the trainer's solid record at Bath, gives her the call in what looks an open novice. Naval Cop from the Balding yard and Toolatetoeducate with the eye-catching Hitchins/Wonnacott figures are the most obvious dangers, while Marralyn's experience could see her involved if she handles the ground. The small field and good to soft conditions add an extra layer of uncertainty but the selection has the best blend of KTB numbers and profile.
KTB Selection Castlerock Girl
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Toolatetoeducate | 70/1 | 7Bet |
| Naval Cop | 2/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Marralyn | 20/1 | 7Bet |
| Fillipas | 9/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Havana Sprite | 8/11 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:55 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit rating and what is it?
Castlerock Girl has the highest KTB Fit rating at 53.
Which trainer and jockey combination has shown the strongest level stakes profit at Bath?
Daisy Hitchins and Millie Wonnacott show +£27.75 LSP from their 5-18 record with an A/E of 2.11.
Which runner is unproven on good to soft ground?
Havana Sprite has had no runs on good to soft.
What is the sire win rate associated with the selection Castlerock Girl?
By Bayside Boy who has a 32% overall win rate from 19 runners.
Which two principals are most likely to race prominently given their expected run styles and draws?
Castlerock Girl from draw 1 and Naval Cop from draw 2 are both anticipated to show early speed.
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