2:00 Ffos Las
A competitive Class 6 handicap over the minimum trip at Ffos Las on good ground features a field of eight where the KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched between 60 and 41. The race looks likely to revolve around an uncontested lead, which places extra emphasis on those drawn to track or close late given the pace shape. Overall the KTB numbers point to a race where recent form, course familiarity and the ability to handle the surface will separate a group of largely limited performers.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader expected to have its own way out in front, the pace shape is strongly in favour of the front-runner having an easy time of it. Little Jaybee is the most likely to take that role from stall five, while the majority of the field – including the two highest-rated principals – prefer to be held up and produce their effort late. The key question is whether any of the closers possess the necessary finishing kick to reel in an uncontested leader over this sharp five furlongs.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1The Fixer KTB Selection60/100Limited performer who has been out of form for most of this year but showed a bit more when winning a similar race on good ground at Yarmouth last time.
- 2Forever Glamorous55/100Limited horse who has shown enough at this level to win twice this year including over C&D.
- 3Little Jaybee54/100Limited performer who has shown a bit more spark on her last two starts, finishing third both times including over this trip and at this track.
- 4Son Of Astar51/100Son Of Astar is a limited performer who has been in and out of form this year with a recent best of second over this trip.
- 5Kodi K50/100Limited performer who has shown little since a promising second at Windsor in June.
- 6Bridget's Baby49/100Limited performer who has shown enough to win a couple of times, including at this trip and on this ground.
- 7Call Time45/100Limited horse who has been placed four times from four runs at this track yet remains winless.
- 8Red Walls41/100Limited performer who has been placed three times from as many runs at this track without winning.
The contenders
The Fixer KTB Fit 60/100
The Fixer is a limited performer who has been out of form for most of this year but showed a bit more when winning a similar race on good ground at Yarmouth last time. He has won three times at this trip overall and acts on the surface. The yard posts a 10% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 1.25 from 21 runs, while Kieran O'Neill also operates at 10% here with an A/E of 0.8 from 63 rides. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and should be suited by the anticipated pace shape that allows closers a chance to pounce. His record of one win from two starts on good ground is another positive in these conditions.
Forever Glamorous KTB Fit 55/100
Forever Glamorous is a limited horse who has shown enough at this level to win twice this year including over C&D. She drops back to 5f today after a respectable 6f effort last time and has the benefit of a good draw in stall 3. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 1.00 from 50 runs, while Gina Mangan posts a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.78 from 70 rides here. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she should be well placed to capitalise if the leader is vulnerable in the closing stages. Her record of one win from four starts on good ground, allied to the course success, makes her a clear danger.
Little Jaybee KTB Fit 54/100
Little Jaybee is a limited performer who has shown a bit more spark on her last two starts, finishing third both times including over this trip and at this track. She acts on good ground having been placed once from three starts on it, though she remains winless at the trip and course. The yard has an 11% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 0.82 from a large sample of 416 runs, but the jockey is operating at a stronger 21% strike rate with an A/E of 1.09 from 34 rides. Tending to make the running or race prominently, she is set to take up the expected lone leadership and could prove hard to peg back if the pace shape unfolds as anticipated. She looks a fair place prospect at this level but lacks the punch to win outright.
Son Of Astar KTB Fit 51/100
Son Of Astar is a limited performer who has been in and out of form this year with a recent best of second over this trip. He has won at the track from three starts and on good ground from seven attempts, both of which are pluses here. The trainer holds an 11% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 0.85 from 148 runs, while David Probert is operating at 19% with an A/E of 1.05 from 259 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is another who should be suited by the projected pace shape that gives closers every chance. His course win adds further interest in a race where familiarity with the venue counts for plenty.
The rest of the field
Kodi KKTB Fit 50/100
Kodi K is a limited performer who has shown little since a promising second at Windsor in June. Dropping back to 5f is an unknown and the one run here was poor, though the trainer has a 21% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 2.15 from 19 runs and the jockey posts 29% with an A/E of 1.42 from a small sample of seven rides.
Bridget's BabyKTB Fit 49/100
Bridget's Baby is a limited performer who has shown enough to win a couple of times, including at this trip and on this ground. Recent form has been mixed with a win and a sixth from her last two starts, while the trainer has a solid 11% strike rate at the track from 148 runs even if the jockey has only one ride here so far.
Call TimeKTB Fit 45/100
Call Time is a limited horse who has been placed four times from four runs at this track yet remains winless. He has shown bits of form on good ground and has won at this trip in the past, though his recent efforts have been poor, while the trainer and jockey both have established but unremarkable records here.
Red WallsKTB Fit 41/100
Red Walls is a limited performer who has been placed three times from as many runs at this track without winning. He drops back to 5f today having been placed at the trip earlier in his career though he has looked short of his best on his last two starts, and both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates at the venue.
KTB verdict
The Fixer is the KTB Selection. A limited performer who had been out of form for much of the year, he showed more when landing a similar race on good ground at Yarmouth last time and brings a record of three wins at this trip. Usually held up, he is well suited by the projected uncontested lead that should give closers every opportunity, while the yard and jockey both hold 10% strike rates at the track. His main dangers are Forever Glamorous, who has won over C&D this year and drops back to her optimum trip from a good draw, and Little Jaybee, who is likely to set the pace having shown spark in recent placed efforts at the trip and course. Son Of Astar, with his course win and recent second over the distance, cannot be ruled out either.
KTB Selection The Fixer
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:24 UTC, 28 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| The Fixer | 9/2 | 7Bet |
| Forever Glamorous | 5/2 | Bet365 |
| Little Jaybee | 4/1 | 7Bet |
| Son Of Astar | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| Kodi K | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Bridget's Baby | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Call Time | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Red Walls | 70/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 2:00 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is expected to take the uncontested lead?
Little Jaybee, whose run-style is to make the running or race on the pace.
How many wins has The Fixer recorded at this trip?
Three.
Which runner has won over course and distance this year?
Forever Glamorous.
How many placed efforts has Call Time recorded from four runs at Ffos Las?
Four.
What is Red Walls doing in trip today?
Dropping back to 5f.
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