2:05 Haydock
This Class 3 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes over an extended seven furlongs at Haydock on soft ground brings together four two-year-olds with limited experience between them. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 48 and 52, underlining the modest standard of the principals and the open nature of the contest. With no established course form and every runner unproven on soft ground, the race lacks clear pointers and the pace shape is rated unclear with low confidence.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear given the limited evidence across the small field, so it is difficult to forecast how the race will unfold with any confidence. Girl Scout is the only runner with a defined run-style, typically settling in midfield, which may see her positioned just off whatever tempo materialises. The key question is whether the step up in trip and the soft conditions will expose the current level of form shown by the placed horses or allow one of them to improve past the others.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Princess Lottie KTB Selection52/100
Princess Lottie has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fifth then fourth without suggesting she is well up to Class 3 level. The Philip McBride yard posts a 16% strike rate at Haydock from 19 runs and teams up here with Cieren Fallon, whose own record at the track reads 18%. Both trainer and jockey therefore bring respectable course figures to the assignment. The filly has no experience of soft ground and steps up in trip from just two previous runs, leaving both those factors unknown. She remains the KTB Selection in a race short on depth.
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2Highland Girl51/100
Highland Girl has shown modest form in two starts so far, finishing third on her latest outing. The trip looks suitable enough on the one run at it though she has yet to trouble the judge. Charlie Johnston brings a solid 12% strike rate at Haydock from 103 runs, while Hector Crouch is a capable rider at the venue. Like her main market rivals she arrives unproven on soft ground with no course form on record. In a modest event she is entitled to be considered on her placed effort but does not look anything out of the ordinary.
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3Girl Scout49/100
Girl Scout has shown just fair form in two starts so far, finishing fifth then third without looking anything out of the ordinary. She steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of her. The K. R. Burke yard is operating at a 12% strike rate at Haydock from a large sample and pairs her with Clifford Lee. She is the one horse in the field with a known run-style, typically settling in midfield. As with the others she has no experience of soft ground and no previous course form, so several unknowns remain.
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4My Girl Dee Mo48/100
My Girl Dee Mo is a newcomer from the Hugo Palmer yard that operates at a solid 17% strike rate at Haydock. The stable knows the track well enough to place her sensibly on debut, though with no racecourse form to go on the rest rests on pedigree and sales background that the data leaves untested here.
KTB verdict
Princess Lottie is named the KTB Selection. She has only modest form on her two starts to date yet the Philip McBride yard has a respectable record at Haydock and the booking of Cieren Fallon adds further interest in a race that looks modest on paper. The main dangers are Highland Girl, who has a placed effort to her name and a trip that should suit, and Girl Scout who steps up in distance for a yard that knows the venue. My Girl Dee Mo is an unknown quantity on debut but cannot be entirely dismissed from a yard that performs well at this track.
KTB Selection Princess Lottie
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:13 UTC, 4 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Princess Lottie | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Highland Girl | 11/4 | Bet Victor |
| Girl Scout | 3/1 | 7Bet |
| My Girl Dee Mo | 7/4 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 2:05 Haydock. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Haydock racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Haydock results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on both the trip and the soft ground?
Princess Lottie, whose two previous runs leave both the step up in distance and her ability on soft ground unknown.
What is the only defined run-style in the field?
Girl Scout typically settles in midfield.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Haydock among those represented?
Hugo Palmer with a 17% strike rate at the track.
How many of these runners have previous course form at Haydock?
None of the four runners have course form on record.
What does the pace shape assessment indicate for this race?
Pace unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style evidence across the field to read the pace with confidence.
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