2:06 Chepstow
This Class 6 apprentice handicap at Chepstow over 6f16y on good to firm ground brings together a field of eight limited performers in a Racing Excellence Training Series race. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 51 and 40, reflecting a modest standard where small margins and the right run could prove decisive. With the selection Be An Angel heading the ratings, the race looks competitive on paper yet lacks any standout candidate on recent form.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay dividends. Most of the field are held-up types who produce their efforts late, so the key question is whether any horse can get into a rhythm early enough from off the pace or if the prominent runner Macarone will be allowed an uncontested lead. In a race likely to be decided by a late burst, those drawn to track the pace without using up too much energy hold an edge.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Be An Angel KTB Selection51/100Limited performer who has shown enough at this track to finish placed on one of two starts here.
- 2Marisitta47/100Marisitta is a limited performer who has run creditably at this track, winning once from eight starts.
- 3Outer Edge47/100Limited performer who has won once at this track and once at today's trip.
- 4Arnaz46/100Arnaz is a limited performer who has been well below form all year and looks no better on recent runs.
- 5Sundiata Keita46/100Sundiata Keita is a limited performer who has shown some spark at this track, finishing second here on his penultimate start.
- 6Macanudo45/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and sits on a long losing run.
- 7Macarone43/100Macarone is a limited horse who has been on the go a long time and is now 0-29 since last summer.
- 8Some Nightmare40/100Limited sort who has been around a long time and rarely wins.
The contenders
Be An Angel KTB Fit 51/100
Be An Angel is a limited performer who has shown enough at this track to finish placed on one of two starts here. He has won twice on good to firm and twice at today's trip, though recent form has been patchy and the first-time headgear is now needed. Rod Millman has a solid 12% strike rate at Chepstow from 422 runs while Jake Dickson is unproven at the track. Dropping in class from a draw of three, the four-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. The KTB Fit Score of 51 marks him out as the top-rated in the field.
Marisitta KTB Fit 47/100
Marisitta is a limited performer who has run creditably at this track, winning once from eight starts. She has shown enough at this trip and on good to firm ground to suggest she can be competitive in this grade, though her recent form has been mixed. First-time headgear is now applied. John O'Shea operates at a 9% strike rate at Chepstow from 728 runs while Alexandra Egan boasts a 33% strike rate at the track from only three rides. Usually held up, the six-year-old is drawn widest in stall eight.
Outer Edge KTB Fit 47/100
Outer Edge is a limited performer who has won once at this track and once at today's trip. Recent form is ordinary and the overall record shows he struggles to land the big one in this grade. Christopher Mason has a solid 15% strike-rate at Chepstow from 192 runs while Matthew Lloyd Slater is yet to strike at the venue from five rides. Dropping in class from draw one, the five-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Arnaz KTB Fit 46/100
Arnaz is a limited performer who has been well below form all year and looks no better on recent runs. He drops back to a trip at which he has placed but never won and has shown little on good to firm ground in two attempts. Mark Loughnane operates at a 7% strike rate from 118 runs at Chepstow and the trainer-jockey combination has an unprofitable 0-28 record. Usually held up from stall seven, the five-year-old carries the KTB Fit Score of 46.
The rest of the field
Sundiata KeitaKTB Fit 46/100
Sundiata Keita is a limited performer who has shown some spark at this track, finishing second here on his penultimate start. He steps up from 5f to 6f for the first time in a while having failed to win in five previous tries at the trip, while first-time headgear is now applied. The yard have a solid 16% strike rate at Chepstow from 68 runs and the trainer-jockey partnership shows a profitable 2-10 record.
MacanudoKTB Fit 45/100
Macanudo is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and sits on a long losing run. He has placed on good to firm and at today's trip without winning, so the conditions should be fine, yet the overall record in this grade remains modest. Ian Williams operates at a 9% strike rate here from 260 runs and the horse drops in class.
MacaroneKTB Fit 43/100
Macarone is a limited horse who has been on the go a long time and is now 0-29 since last summer. He has shown the odd bit of placed form at this trip but his three runs at Chepstow have produced no wins or places and he looks exposed on good to firm. Grace Harris records a 9% strike rate here from 439 runs and he is the only prominent runner in the field.
Some NightmareKTB Fit 40/100
Some Nightmare is a limited sort who has been around a long time and rarely wins. Three placed efforts from 18 starts here show he knows the track, though the trainer's modest 9% strike-rate at Chepstow suggests the yard is not in top form. First-time headgear is tried as he steps up to 6f having been placed but never successful at the trip before.
KTB verdict
Be An Angel is the KTB Selection. A limited performer who has shown enough at this track to finish placed on one of two starts here, he drops in class having won twice on good to firm and twice at today's trip. The first-time headgear may sharpen him up for Rod Millman, who has a solid record at Chepstow, and the steadily-run race should suit his held-up style. Main dangers are Marisitta, who has won here and looks to have the right conditions, and Outer Edge, who knows the track and also drops in class. Sundiata Keita and Some Nightmare add further depth in a race where the prominent Macarone could set a shape that plays into the hands of those coming from off the pace.
KTB Selection Be An Angel
This is the narrative read of the 2:06 Chepstow. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Chepstow racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the only one likely to race prominently?
Macarone is the only prominent runner, usually racing handily on or close to the lead.
How many of the runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Four runners are wearing first-time headgear: Be An Angel, Marisitta, Sundiata Keita and Some Nightmare.
Which horse has the strongest course record at Chepstow?
Some Nightmare has three wins from 18 starts at Chepstow.
Who holds the best jockey strike rate at the track among the riders with recorded rides?
Alexandra Egan has a 33% strike rate at Chepstow from three rides.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Chepstow in this field?
John & Rhys Flint have a 16% strike rate at Chepstow from 68 runs.
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