2:17 Beverley
This Class 4 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes over the minimum 5f at Beverley features a small but competitive field of four two-year-olds. The KTB numbers point to Fast Track as the clear top pick on the back of three consistent runs, while the other three runners bring far less experience to the table. With the principals holding Fit Scores of 57, 45 and 45 respectively, the race looks set to revolve around whether the placed form of the selection can hold firm against two debutants and a filly yet to show much.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a contested lead is likely with Loveulongtime from stall one and Fast Track drawn next door both inclined to race prominently. Kokumi could also go forward on debut, while Hair Raising is expected to settle in mid-division. The key question is whether the drop to the minimum trip will suit Loveulongtime and whether the first-time headgear can sharpen Fast Track at the business end of what should be a truly-run sprint.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Fast Track KTB Selection57/100Fair performer who has shown consistent form in three starts, finishing placed twice at this trip.
- 2Loveulongtime45/100Loveulongtime has shown little in two starts to date, finishing seventh then last over 6f.
- 3Hair Raising45/100Hair Raising is a debutant with limited information available beyond pedigree and sales background.
- 4Kokumi44/100Kokumi is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
The contenders
Fast Track KTB Fit 57/100
Fast Track arrives with the strongest KTB Fit Score of 57 and is taken to land this. A fair performer who has shown consistent form across three starts, she has finished placed twice at this trip already. Stall two looks suitable and the first-time headgear is an interesting addition given she has never won. Andrew Balding boasts a 29% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 1.24 from 62 runs, while P J McDonald partners her with a 12% strike rate at the track from 539 rides. She is dropping in class and her recent form figures of 320 underline a solid level of ability that sets the standard here.
Loveulongtime KTB Fit 45/100
Loveulongtime holds a KTB Fit Score of 45 but has shown little in two starts to date, finishing seventh then last over 6f. The drop to 5f today asks a fresh question of this lightly raced sort. Trainer Geoffrey Harker has an 8% strike rate at Beverley from 155 runs with an A/E of 0.78, while jockey William Pyle has a 10% strike rate at the track from 51 rides. Stepping up in class, she remains unproven on the ground and has no course form on record. Her 70 form figures leave her with plenty to find on what looks a stiff task.
Hair Raising KTB Fit 45/100
Hair Raising is a debutant with a KTB Fit Score of 45 and limited information available beyond pedigree and sales background. By Harry Angel, who has a 13% overall win rate from 2682 runners, she represents the Tim Easterby yard which has a 10% strike rate at Beverley from over 2300 runs with an A/E of 0.82. David Allan takes the ride and the trainer-jockey combination shows an 11% strike rate overall from 8942 runners with an A/E of 0.84. She has no course win on record and remains unproven on the ground, making this a speculative start against more experienced opposition.
The rest of the field
KokumiKTB Fit 44/100
Kokumi is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and a KTB Fit Score of 44, with the assessment resting entirely on pedigree and sales background. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 12 runners at Beverley, though Daniel Tudhope brings an 18% strike rate at the track from 554 rides with an A/E of 0.99.
KTB verdict
Fast Track stands out as the KTB Selection on the back of three consistent runs that include two placed efforts at this trip. Her proven ability, favourable draw and the addition of first-time headgear from a yard that does well at Beverley give her every chance of breaking her duck. Loveulongtime and the two debutants bring far less to the party, though Kokumi cannot be entirely dismissed on pedigree and the booking of Tudhope. Hair Raising adds further uncertainty as an unknown quantity on her first run.
KTB Selection Fast Track
This is the narrative read of the 2:17 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Fast Track the KTB Selection?
She holds the highest KTB Fit Score of 57, has shown consistent form in three starts with two placed efforts at this trip, and benefits from a suitable draw in stall two plus first-time headgear.
What does the first-time headgear mean for Fast Track?
The first-time headgear is an interesting addition given she has never won.
How does the drop to 5f affect Loveulongtime?
The drop to 5f today asks a fresh question of this lightly raced sort after two runs over 6f.
What is the trainer's record at Beverley for the selection's yard?
Andrew Balding has a 29% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 1.24 from 62 runs.
Which newcomer has the strongest jockey booking?
Kokumi has Daniel Tudhope aboard, who has an 18% strike rate at Beverley from 554 rides with an A/E of 0.99.
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