2:20 Tramore
The Frank Gillane Memorial Handicap Hurdle at Tramore brings together a field of 16 for this 2m0f140y contest on good ground. With no obvious front-runner, the KTB numbers point to a competitive but muddling affair where those capable of producing their effort from a handy position could hold the key. Ina Mina tops the KTB Fit ratings and is the clear selection, though several others arrive with enough ability and track experience to make a serious case.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as muddling and tactical with medium confidence, as there is no obvious front-runner in the line-up. Most of the field, including the top principals, tend to be held up and produce their efforts late, which should play into the hands of those who can race close to the pace without overdoing it early. Doctor Confusion and Owl's Delight are among the few who race prominently or in mid-division, potentially allowing them to dictate or sit handy in a race where the key question is who can find the clearest run when the tempo lifts.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Ina Mina KTB Selection59/100Ina Mina showed improved form when winning over this trip here last time and arrives in decent nick as a useful performer on these ratings.
- 2Annie's Angel55/100Useful performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing fourth of 14 last time.
- 3Vairue54/100Vairue is a fair 10-year-old who has shown little spark in recent efforts and failed to win or place in 12 runs on good ground.
- 4Liberated Light53/100Useful performer who won over 1m4f here in May and has placed form at today's longer trip.
- 5Doctor Confusion53/100Useful performer who has not shown much spark in three starts this year.
- 6Surviving Murmansk52/100Modest performer who has won once from seven starts at Tramore.
- 7Glendower52/100Useful performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little on his two previous runs at Tramore.
- 8Pahlavi51/100Pahlavi is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form this season, finishing pulled up on his most recent start.
- 9Truckers Cruising50/100Useful performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 10Lanzhou50/100Lanzhou is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings yet has failed to place in any of his six starts and finished no closer than seventh on his last two o…
- 11Colesberg50/100Colesberg is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and race history.
- 12Cinnabar Moth48/100Cinnabar Moth is a fair performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts without threatening to win.
- 13Owl's Delight43/100Owl's Delight is a fair performer who has failed to win in three runs at this trip and showed only modest form when sixth on return last time.
- 14Maxios Lady40/100Modest performer who has struggled in four starts so far and was pulled up on her latest outing.
- 15Doyen Og39/100Modest performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and arrives with the first-time headgear on.
- 16Depeche Mo36/100Modest performer who has never won in 24 starts and arrives here on the back of two poor runs after a long break.
The contenders
Ina Mina KTB Fit 59/100
Ina Mina showed improved form when winning over this trip here last time and arrives in decent nick as a useful performer on these ratings. She has a solid record on good ground, with two wins from ten starts, and has already won once from two runs at Tramore. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she now tries first-time headgear which remains an unknown. The yard's modest 7% strike rate at the track from 57 runs is a slight negative, though the jockey's 10% strike rate here from 42 rides offers some balance.
Annie's Angel KTB Fit 55/100
Annie's Angel is a useful performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing fourth of 14 last time. He now steps up in trip to 2m for the first time, which asks a fresh question, and first-time headgear is also tried. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has no course form on record. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate at Tramore from 35 runs, while the jockey has no recorded rides here despite a solid 17% strike rate at the track from 24 rides.
Vairue KTB Fit 54/100
Vairue is a fair 10-year-old who has shown little spark in recent efforts and failed to win or place in 12 runs on good ground. He has been tried four times at today's trip without success and could only manage sixth on his one previous visit to Tramore. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he carries no headgear. The trainer holds an 8% strike rate at Tramore from 36 runs, while the jockey has a 15% strike rate here from 13 rides.
Liberated Light KTB Fit 53/100
Liberated Light is a useful performer who won over 1m4f here in May and has placed form at today's longer trip. He steps back up in distance having been off since that Tramore success and is now tried in first-time headgear. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has won once from three starts at the track. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Tramore from 17 runs, though the jockey's 6% strike rate from 17 rides here is more modest.
Doctor Confusion KTB Fit 53/100
Doctor Confusion is a useful performer who has not shown much spark in three starts this year. He drops back in trip with first-time headgear on, which adds some uncertainty. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he has no course form on record. The trainer has a solid 15% strike rate at Tramore from a large sample of 582 runs, while the jockey has a 14% strike rate here from 288 rides.
The rest of the field
Surviving MurmanskKTB Fit 52/100
Surviving Murmansk is a modest performer who has won once from seven starts at Tramore. Recent form has been ordinary with a string of mid-field finishes and he is 1-25 on good ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he steps back up to a trip he has won over before though the yard's 9% strike rate at the track comes with a positive A/E.
GlendowerKTB Fit 52/100
Glendower is a useful performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little on his two previous runs at Tramore. The first-time headgear is now tried in hope of a revival but he remains 0-17 overall with no win on good ground either. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the trainer holds a solid 12% strike rate here from a big sample.
PahlaviKTB Fit 51/100
Pahlavi is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form this season, finishing pulled up on his most recent start. He has only one run at Tramore and showed little, while the trainer's modest 5% strike rate from 333 runs at the track adds little confidence. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he drops back in trip and tries first-time headgear.
Truckers CruisingKTB Fit 50/100
Truckers Cruising is a useful performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. Has run three times at Tramore without placing and is 0-6 on good ground, so neither track nor conditions look ideal. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he drops back to a trip he has won at before and tries headgear for the first time.
LanzhouKTB Fit 50/100
Lanzhou is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings yet has failed to place in any of his six starts and finished no closer than seventh on his last two outings. He has been well beaten in three runs at Tramore and now drops back in trip having looked stretched by 2m4½f last time. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the trainer holds a 9% strike rate from 56 runs at this track.
ColesbergKTB Fit 50/100
Colesberg is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He showed little in three runs last year and was well held on return at this track last month, though the drop back to an untried 2m now asks a fresh question. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the trainer holds a 9% strike rate from 56 runs at Tramore.
Cinnabar MothKTB Fit 48/100
Cinnabar Moth is a fair performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts without threatening to win. He has shown little at this track in three runs and has failed to place in six attempts on good ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the trip looks about right on balance though he has yet to make the frame at it.
Owl's DelightKTB Fit 43/100
Owl's Delight is a fair performer who has failed to win in three runs at this trip and showed only modest form when sixth on return last time. The yard has a solid 10% strike rate from 159 runs at Tramore. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, with just five career starts the going remains an unknown.
Maxios LadyKTB Fit 40/100
Maxios Lady is a modest performer who has struggled in four starts so far and was pulled up on her latest outing. She drops back in trip to 2m having failed to make an impact at that distance on her first two runs. Usually held up and producing her effort late, the trainer has a 7% strike rate from 505 runs at Tramore.
Doyen OgKTB Fit 39/100
Doyen Og is a modest performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and arrives with the first-time headgear on. He has placed once on good ground and at today's trip but remains winless after 15 starts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the yard's modest record at Tramore adds little confidence.
Depeche MoKTB Fit 36/100
Depeche Mo is a modest performer who has never won in 24 starts and arrives here on the back of two poor runs after a long break. He has shown the odd bit of placed form at this trip but has failed to trouble the judge in four runs at Tramore and is 0-9 on good ground. Typically settling in midfield, the trainer's modest 6% strike-rate at the track adds little confidence.
KTB verdict
Ina Mina shaped with real promise when winning over this trip at Tramore last time and arrives in decent nick as a useful performer on these ratings. Her solid record on good ground and at the track itself, allied to the way she produces her effort late, makes her well suited to the muddling tactical shape of the race. She is the KTB Selection and looks to hold most aces, though Liberated Light, who has already won here and placed at the trip, and Doctor Confusion, with the powerful yard behind him and a prominent run style, are the most obvious dangers.
KTB Selection Ina Mina
This is the narrative read of the 2:20 Tramore. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Tramore racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
How many of the field have previously won at Tramore?
Ina Mina, Liberated Light and Surviving Murmansk have all won at the track.
Which horses are wearing headgear for the first time?
Ina Mina, Annie's Angel, Liberated Light, Doctor Confusion, Glendower, Pahlavi, Truckers Cruising, Doyen Og and Colesberg are all in first-time headgear.
Which principals race prominently?
Doctor Confusion usually races handily on or close to the lead, while Owl's Delight also races prominently.
Who has the strongest trainer strike rate at Tramore in the field?
Henry De Bromhead has a 15% strike rate at Tramore from 582 runs, matching Gordon Elliott's 15% from 510 runs.
How many horses in the race have no wins on good ground?
Vairue, Annie's Angel, Doctor Confusion, Truckers Cruising, Lanzhou, Colesberg, Cinnabar Moth, Owl's Delight, Maxios Lady and Depeche Mo have no wins on good ground.
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