2:25 York
This Class 3 selling contest over six furlongs at York on good ground features a field of 15 two-year-olds, many of them lightly raced and stepping up or down in trip and class. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched in the low-to-mid 50s for the principals, reflecting limited data and several unknowns regarding stamina, ground and course form. Overall the numbers suggest a race that will be decided by which horse handles the step up to six furlongs best and which yard can capitalise on its modest but proven record at the track.
How the race shapes up
With several prominent runners and few confirmed hold-up types, the pace shape looks likely to be on the front end with a strong gallop. Everatease and Turnstile are expected to press forward from their middle and low draws while Tamam Star and Lady Dublin may track from wider stalls. The key question is whether the leaders can sustain the pace up the straight or if the race will fall apart, allowing a closer to capitalise on the step up in trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Everatease KTB Selection58/100Everatease showed clear improvement when winning a 6f maiden on good ground last time and has the speed for this trip.
- 2Tamam Star52/100Tamam Star has shown steady placed form in three runs over 5f and now steps up to 6f for the first time.
- 3Lady Dublin51/100Lady Dublin has shown ordinary form in two starts over 5f and now steps up to 6f for the first time which asks a fresh question.
- 4Explainingislosing51/100Explainingislosing has shown mixed form in three starts, finishing fifth then third before a lesser effort last time.
- 5State Of Gold49/100State Of Gold has shown little in two runs at 5f so far and now steps up to 6f for the first time which asks a fresh question.
- 6Turnstile48/100Turnstile has shown fair form in five starts at maiden and nursery level but failed to land a blow when seventh over course and distance on his most recent outi…
- 7Furturra47/100Furturra has shown some promise as a juvenile with placed efforts at this trip but is proving hard to win with and was well held when last seen.
- 8Mick's The Boy46/100Mick's The Boy is a newcomer from the Michael and David Easterby yard which has a modest 5% strike rate from 119 runs at York.
- 9Undercover Affair44/100Placed twice over this trip without winning and showed her best effort when second last time out over 5f.
- 10Court Legend43/100Court Legend is a newcomer from the Michael and David Easterby yard which has a modest 5% strike rate from 119 runs at York.
- 11Baila Morena42/100Baila Morena has shown ordinary form in two starts so far finishing seventh then fourth and remains lightly raced with only a small sample to go on.
- 12Martial Order42/100Lightly raced with just two runs this year and a modest 69 form line that offers little to go on.
- 13Hey Up Ronnie42/100Hey Up Ronnie is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on.
- 14Enemy Action41/100Enemy Action has only a single run to his name, finishing sixth over 5f on debut, so any assessment must be cautious given the low data confidence.
- 15Jimmy You Mushroom39/100Jimmy You Mushroom has shown very little in two starts over 5f and now steps up to 6f for the first time.
The contenders
Everatease KTB Fit 58/100
Everatease showed clear improvement when winning a 6f maiden on good ground last time and has the speed for this trip. The yard has a solid recent record at York and the colt handles the surface. Jockey strike-rate here is low though and he is still lightly raced with only four starts behind him. The KTB Fit score of 58 is the highest in the field and he steps up in class off the back of that recent success. From draw eight he should be able to secure a decent early position and make the running or sit prominently. With only one run on good ground but a win on it, conditions look suitable.
Tamam Star KTB Fit 52/100
Tamam Star has shown steady placed form in three runs over 5f and now steps up to 6f for the first time. The trip is an unknown that could suit or expose him. Trainer Burke operates at a 9% strike rate from 633 runs here while jockey Lee is on 12% from 204 rides. Dropping in class from previous efforts, the colt brings consistent placed form but has yet to win. From the wide draw in stall 15 he will need to settle and find a rhythm if the early pace is strong. With no course form on record and two runs on good without a win or place, there are several questions to answer.
Lady Dublin KTB Fit 51/100
Lady Dublin has shown ordinary form in two starts over 5f and now steps up to 6f for the first time which asks a fresh question. The yard posts a 7% strike rate at York from 60 runs while jockey Harry Russell has an 11% record from 38 rides here. With only two career runs data confidence remains low so this assessment should be read with caution. Stepping up in class, she remains unproven on good ground which adds further uncertainty. From draw 14 she may have to work early to secure a position. The KTB Fit score of 51 places her firmly in the mix but with limited experience.
Explainingislosing KTB Fit 51/100
Explainingislosing has shown mixed form in three starts, finishing fifth then third before a lesser effort last time. The Richard and Peter Fahey yard holds an 8% strike rate from 13 runs at York while Shane Gray is operating at 5% from 173 rides here. With only one run at this trip and limited overall data the colt remains hard to assess with confidence. Stepping up in class, his two runs on good have brought no win or place. Drawn in stall 13 he may end up wide on the track if the pace is strong early. The KTB Fit score of 51 reflects the modest level of form shown so far.
State Of Gold KTB Fit 49/100
State Of Gold has shown little in two runs at 5f so far and now steps up to 6f for the first time which asks a fresh question. The yard has a 7 percent strike rate from 54 runs at York while the jockey is operating at 4 percent from 49 rides here. With only two career starts and low data confidence this is very much one to treat with caution. Dropping in class, his one run on good brought no win or place. From draw 10 he should be able to find a mid-division position. The KTB Fit score of 49 underlines the limited appeal on what has been seen to date.
The rest of the field
TurnstileKTB Fit 48/100
Turnstile has shown fair form in five starts at maiden and nursery level but failed to land a blow when seventh over course and distance on his most recent outing. The Tim Easterby yard posts a modest 6% strike rate from over 2000 runs at York while Sean Kirrane has a solid 9% record from 65 rides here. Stepping back up to 6f asks a fresh question and with only medium data confidence the colt remains hard to pin down.
FurturraKTB Fit 47/100
Furturra has shown some promise as a juvenile with placed efforts at this trip but is proving hard to win with and was well held when last seen. The step back up to 6f asks a fresh question having last run over the minimum. Tim Easterby has a 6% strike rate from 2036 runs at York while David Allan is on 7% from 884 rides here.
Mick's The BoyKTB Fit 46/100
Mick's The Boy is a newcomer from the Michael and David Easterby yard which has a modest 5% strike rate from 119 runs at York. Billy Garritty takes the ride and brings a solid 8% strike rate from 112 rides here. With no racecourse form to go on and low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on his sales and pedigree background.
Undercover AffairKTB Fit 44/100
Placed twice over this trip without winning and showed her best effort when second last time out over 5f. The step back up to 6f poses a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 12 is far from ideal. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at York.
Court LegendKTB Fit 43/100
Court Legend is a newcomer from the Michael and David Easterby yard which has a modest 5% strike rate from 119 runs at York. Tom Eaves takes the ride and he himself has a 4% strike rate from 618 rides at the track. With no racecourse form to go on assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
Baila MorenaKTB Fit 42/100
Baila Morena has shown ordinary form in two starts so far finishing seventh then fourth and remains lightly raced with only a small sample to go on. The yard records a 7% strike rate from 60 runs at York while Silvestre de Sousa has a 10% strike rate from 503 rides here. She has run once over this trip without success and the going remains an unknown on just two starts.
Martial OrderKTB Fit 42/100
Lightly raced with just two runs this year and a modest 69 form line that offers little to go on. The yard’s 5% strike rate from 335 runs at York is modest while the claiming jockey is still seeking a first winner from seven rides here. Steps up to 6f having been well held over 5f last time.
Hey Up RonnieKTB Fit 42/100
Hey Up Ronnie is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. The pedigree and sales background offer the only clues but the low data confidence means any conclusions remain tentative. Ollie Pears has a modest 7% strike-rate at York from 60 runs while Paul Mulrennan sits on a 6% record from 603 rides here.
Enemy ActionKTB Fit 41/100
Enemy Action has only a single run to his name, finishing sixth over 5f on debut, so any assessment must be cautious given the low data confidence. The step up to 6f poses a fresh question while the trainer holds a modest 7% strike rate from 60 runs at York and the jockey is operating at a 3% strike rate from 265 rides here. With so little known about the colt, his ability remains largely untested.
Jimmy You MushroomKTB Fit 39/100
Jimmy You Mushroom has shown very little in two starts over 5f and now steps up to 6f for the first time. The yard has a poor record at York and the jockey's low strike rate here adds little confidence. First-time headgear is reached for on just the third run with the overall picture remaining very unclear on limited data.
KTB verdict
Everatease stands out as the KTB Selection. He showed clear improvement when winning a 6f maiden on good ground last time, has the speed for this trip, and represents a yard with a solid recent record at York while handling the surface. The colt is still lightly raced but his recent form gives him the edge over rivals with more unknowns. The main dangers are Tamam Star, who brings steady placed form and steps up in trip for a strong Burke-Lee combination, and Lady Dublin, who could improve for the extra furlong despite limited experience and an unproven record on good ground.
KTB Selection Everatease
This is the narrative read of the 2:25 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score and why does it matter here?
Everatease has the highest KTB Fit Score of 58. It reflects his recent improvement and win over the trip on good ground combined with the yard's solid record at York.
How many horses are stepping up to 6f for the first time?
Tamam Star, Lady Dublin, State Of Gold, Explainingislosing, Enemy Action and Jimmy You Mushroom are all stepping up to 6f for the first time.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at York among those represented?
Eve Johnson Houghton has a 13% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.41 from 70 runs.
What is the pace shape likely to be and which horses will be prominent?
The pace shape is likely to be front-loaded. Everatease and Turnstile are expected to be prominent while Tamam Star and Lady Dublin may track the pace.
Which runners are dropping in class for this race?
Tamam Star, State Of Gold, Turnstile, Furturra and Martial Order are dropping in class.
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