2:40 Yarmouth
A compact Class 4 handicap over the minimum trip at Yarmouth on good to firm ground brings together six fair performers, several with previous experience at the track. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 64 and 50, indicating a race where current form, course knowledge and going preferences will be decisive. Twilight Calls heads the KTB rankings despite arriving in modest form, while recent winners Law Of Average and Cressida Wildes sit lower in the numbers.
How the race shapes up
With six runners and draws across the track, the pace shape suggests a contested lead is likely. Law Of Average from stall 1 and Michaela's Boy in stall 2 both tend to race prominently, while Twilight Calls and Rocking Ends are expected to track the pace from higher draws. The key question is whether the rail draw of Law Of Average can be turned into an outright lead or whether the more exposed runners will be forced to go harder than ideal early, potentially setting it up for a closer.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Twilight Calls KTB Selection64/100Fair performer who has won three times at this trip but arrives in modest form having managed just one success from his last 13 starts.
- 2Rocking Ends60/100Rocking Ends is a fair sort who has won over this trip and on this ground.
- 3Havana Blast57/100Havana Blast is a fair performer who has run well without winning in both starts at this track and drops back to 5f where he has a win to his name from seven at…
- 4Cressida Wildes53/100Cressida Wildes is a fair mare who has run well at this track before, winning once from four visits.
- 5Michaela's Boy50/100Michaela's Boy is a fair handicapper who has won six times at this trip but has been out of form on his last three starts.
- 6Law Of Average50/100Law Of Average is a fair performer who has won his last two starts and boasts a solid record on good to firm ground with three wins from five runs.
The contenders
Twilight Calls KTB Fit 64/100
Twilight Calls is a fair performer who has won three times at this trip. He arrives in modest form having managed just one success from his last 13 starts yet acts on good to firm ground with two wins and three places from 11 runs on it. Richard Spencer holds an 18% strike rate at Yarmouth from 113 runs while Silvestre De Sousa posts a 19% record from 461 rides at the track, though this represents the horse's first run here. His recent form reads 065861 and he is drawn in stall 5. Overall the KTB Fit Score of 64 marks him out as the selection in a race where his proven speed at the trip remains a significant asset.
Rocking Ends KTB Fit 60/100
Rocking Ends is a fair sort who has won over this trip and on this ground. He has also won here from three starts at Yarmouth and arrives in reasonable form having shown his best effort of the year when fourth last time out, with recent form figures of 7-0464. Tom Clover's 13% strike rate at the track is offset by Jack Mitchell's solid 17% record from 424 rides at Yarmouth. Dropping in class from a draw of 6, the six-year-old is expected to be on the premises given his course record and adaptability to good to firm going where he boasts five wins from 15 starts.
Havana Blast KTB Fit 57/100
Havana Blast is a fair performer who has run well without winning in both starts at this track, finishing third on each occasion. He drops back to 5f where he has a win to his name from seven attempts and brings solid recent form including a second and third last time out, as shown by his figures of 16/023. James Fanshawe's 15% strike rate at Yarmouth from a large sample is accompanied by Daniel Muscutt operating at 12%. The four-year-old showed little on his only previous run on good to firm ground, which remains the main question mark from draw 4.
Cressida Wildes KTB Fit 53/100
Cressida Wildes is a fair mare who has run well at this track before, winning once from four visits. She has won three times at this trip from 16 attempts and has placed three times from seven runs on good to firm ground, though she is yet to score on it. Phil McEntee's modest 9% strike rate from 454 runs at Yarmouth is offset by Connor Planas's stronger 20% record from 35 rides here. Her recent form of -51708 suggests she is capable of bouncing back, and from stall 3 she could be competitive if the race falls her way.
The rest of the field
Michaela's BoyKTB Fit 50/100
Michaela's Boy is a fair handicapper who has won six times at this trip but has been out of form on his last three starts. He has run well enough here in the past without winning and acts on good to firm, though he has never scored on it, with recent form of -12567. Robert Cowell's modest record at Yarmouth is offset by Marco Ghiani's solid 13% strike rate at the track while dropping in class from draw 2.
Law Of AverageKTB Fit 50/100
Law Of Average is a fair performer who has won his last two starts and boasts a solid record on good to firm ground with three wins from five runs. He has also won six times over today's trip from 19 attempts though he was only sixth on his sole visit to Yarmouth. Chelsea Banham and Joey Haynes both operate at a 6% strike rate here, with the horse's recent form reading 979-11 from the inside draw.
KTB verdict
Twilight Calls is the KTB Selection. He remains a fair performer with proven speed at the minimum trip and benefits from the combined Yarmouth records of trainer and jockey even on his first run at the track. His ability to act on good to firm ground adds to the case in a race where the KTB numbers are closely matched. The main dangers are Rocking Ends, who brings course-winning form and reasonable recent efforts, and Havana Blast, who has run well in both visits to Yarmouth and drops back to his winning distance. Cressida Wildes cannot be entirely dismissed given her previous success here and the positive jockey booking.
KTB Selection Twilight Calls
This is the narrative read of the 2:40 Yarmouth. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Yarmouth racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest Yarmouth trainer and jockey combination?
Twilight Calls, with Richard Spencer's 18% strike rate at the track and Silvestre De Sousa's 19% record from 461 rides.
How many wins has Rocking Ends recorded at Yarmouth?
One win from three starts at the track.
What is Havana Blast's record over 5f?
One win from seven attempts at the distance.
Which runner has won its last two starts?
Law Of Average.
How many wins has Cressida Wildes achieved at this trip?
Three wins from 16 attempts at 5f.
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