2:45 Ascot
A small but competitive field of four goes to post in the 2:45 at Ascot, a Class 2 EBF confined maiden fillies’ stakes over six furlongs on good ground. With every runner either making a debut or having only a single previous start, the KTB numbers reflect modest confidence across the board and the pace shape is unclear given the limited evidence available. The top three in the KTB Fit ranking are separated by just three points, underlining how open the race looks on paper.
How the race shapes up
With only two of the four runners having any racecourse evidence and both tending to be held up, the pace shape remains unclear and confidence in how the race will unfold is low. Asheyra and Pensando A Te are both noted as usually producing their effort late, while La Pittura is an unknown and Dannahue’s sole start offers little additional guidance. The key question is whether any of these lightly raced or debutant fillies can show enough early dash to set a workable gallop or whether the race will be decided by a late burst from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Asheyra KTB Selection51/100
Asheyra showed fair promise when third on debut over seven furlongs and now drops back to six furlongs for the first time, which asks a fresh question of her. The first-time headgear is an unknown and the small sample means little else can be read into her ability yet. Trainer Roger Varian has a solid 12% strike rate at Ascot from 484 runs while jockey Cieren Fallon operates with a limited record here. The yard’s trainer and jockey combination shows 3/11 (27%) with an A/E of 0.94 and -£3.77 LSP. She steps up in class having shown that debut promise and remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record. Her run-style is to be held up and produce her effort late, though the evidence is limited.
-
2Pensando A Te50/100
Pensando A Te made a pleasing debut when second over this trip last month. That run came on good ground so the surface should be fine though the small sample means we cannot be certain. Marco Botti has a solid 12% strike rate at Ascot from 182 runs while Silvestre de Sousa is a big positive on a lightly-raced type. The trainer and jockey combination reads 17/70 (24%) with an A/E of 1.32 and +£26.41 LSP. She too is stepping up in class having shown that debut promise and remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record. Like the selection she is usually held up and produces her effort late, though again the evidence is limited.
-
3La Pittura48/100
La Pittura is a newcomer from the Andrew Balding yard. Balding has a 9% strike rate from 1052 runs at Ascot. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on sales and pedigree background which has not been supplied here. The trainer and jockey combination with David Probert shows 555/3712 (15%) with an A/E of 0.91 and -£249.03 LSP. She is by Showcasing, a sire with a 10% overall win rate from 12293 runners, and has no course win on record. As a complete newcomer her run-style is not yet established and she too steps up in class for this assignment.
-
4Dannahue43/100
Dannahue showed promise when second on debut over this trip. The filly has only one run on the board so the form must be treated with caution. Charlie Appleby has a solid 15% strike rate at Ascot from 394 runs while Connor Planas is still building his record here with a 0% strike rate from 12 rides. She steps up in class, remains unproven on good ground and has no course form on record.
KTB verdict
Asheyra is named the KTB Selection. She showed fair promise when third on debut over seven furlongs and now drops back to six furlongs wearing first-time headgear. The Varian yard’s solid record at Ascot adds to the appeal even if the small sample of form leaves much still to be discovered. Pensando A Te looks the obvious main danger after a pleasing debut second over the trip on good ground, with de Sousa a positive booking. La Pittura’s debut for Balding and Dannahue’s debut promise cannot be entirely dismissed in a race where so little is established.
KTB Selection Asheyra
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Asheyra | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Pensando A Te | 15/8 | William Hill |
| La Pittura | 14/1 | William Hill |
| Dannahue | 11/10 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 2:45 Ascot. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ascot racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ascot results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its racecourse debut?
La Pittura is the only newcomer in the field.
Which horses are wearing headgear for the first time?
Asheyra is wearing first-time headgear.
How many of these runners have previous racecourse experience?
Three of the four runners have a single previous start.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Ascot in this field?
Charlie Appleby has a 15% strike rate at Ascot from 394 runs.
What is the pace shape for this race?
Pace unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style evidence across the field.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies