2:55 Ascot
This Listed contest over seven furlongs at Ascot features a field of ten two-year-olds on good to firm ground. The KTB Fit ratings identify Silver Dominion as the clear top pick on 72, with Alfred Wallace next on 61 and a cluster of principals from 53 down to 49 underlining a race where experience at the level and Ascot form will be key. Several runners are stepping up in class or in trip for the first time, while the overall data confidence remains low given the juvenile nature of the contest.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as tentative with low confidence, pointing to a possible front-runner on limited evidence. Alfred Wallace is the most likely to take the race by the scruff from his draw in six, tending to make the running or race prominently, while the majority of the field including the selection Silver Dominion prefer to be held up and deliver their effort late. This sets up a race where the key question will be whether the early pace is sufficient to give the prominent runners something to aim at or whether the closers can time their runs effectively on a track where late efforts often come under pressure.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Silver Dominion KTB Selection72/100Useful performer who has already won over today's trip on his debut.
- 2Alfred Wallace61/100Useful performer who has already won over this trip.
- 3Dandyman Dan53/100Useful performer who has already shown his ability at this level with a win and two placed efforts from four starts.
- 4Gymbaazy52/100Gymbaazy made a winning start over this trip on debut.
- 5Firehorse49/100Firehorse won on debut over 6f and now steps up to 7f for the first time, which poses a fresh question.
- 6Kach Above47/100Kach Above is a fair 2-year-old who has improved sharply with two wins at this trip from his last three starts.
- 7Time For The Moon46/100Time For The Moon is a fair colt who has already shown he can win at this trip.
- 8Treasurer46/100Treasurer is a fair 2-year-old with a win on good to firm from just two starts on the surface.
- 9Sonny Parvenue46/100Sonny Parvenue made a winning start over 6f last time but now steps up to 7f for the first time, which asks a fresh question of him.
- 10Love Is40/100Love Is is a fair 2-year-old with form of 120 that includes a win on good to firm.
The contenders
Silver Dominion KTB Fit 72/100
Silver Dominion is a useful performer who has already won over today's trip on his debut. His only run since came in a stronger race where he finished a creditable fourth, leaving him with something still to prove at this level. Oliver Cole has a solid 20% strike rate at Ascot from a small sample and pairs with Hector Crouch whose record reads 9% strike rate at the track from 117 rides. The colt is held up, usually producing his effort late on limited evidence, and he has one previous run on good to firm without winning or placing. With a KTB Fit of 72 he sits clearly top of the ratings in a race where his balance of experience and yard form at the venue make him the selection.
Alfred Wallace KTB Fit 61/100
Alfred Wallace is a useful performer who has already won over this trip. He has run twice at Ascot without placing and his latest effort was modest, so he has questions to answer back at the track. Ed Walker has a solid 13% strike rate at Ascot from 251 runs and teams up with Oisin Murphy who has an 11% strike rate here from 540 rides. The colt tends to make the running or race on the pace on limited evidence and has two previous runs on good to firm without winning or placing. Rated 61 on KTB Fit he is the clear second pick and looks sure to set the shape of the race from his draw.
Dandyman Dan KTB Fit 53/100
Dandyman Dan is a useful performer who has already shown his ability at this level with a win and two placed efforts from four starts. He steps up to 7f for the first time today having looked stretched at 6.5f last time, which asks a fresh question. David Evans has a modest 4% strike rate at Ascot from 188 runs which is a negative, while J F Egan has a 7% strike rate at the track from 296 rides. The colt has one previous run on good to firm without winning or placing and holds a KTB Fit of 53. His experience at the level gives him a place in the conversation but the trainer's record at the venue tempers expectations.
Gymbaazy KTB Fit 52/100
Gymbaazy made a winning start over this trip on debut. The form has to be treated with caution given the small sample and low data confidence. Owen Burrows has a solid 17% strike rate at Ascot from 105 runs while Daniel Muscutt, riding the horse for the first time, has a 2% strike rate at the track from 86 rides. The colt is stepping up in class, has no previous runs on good to firm so remains unproven on the ground, and holds a KTB Fit of 52. His debut success provides the foundation but the unknowns around the level and surface mean this assessment should be viewed cautiously.
Firehorse KTB Fit 49/100
Firehorse won on debut over 6f and now steps up to 7f for the first time, which poses a fresh question. The yard of S Woods has a solid 9% strike rate from 89 runs at Ascot and pairs with Tom Marquand who has a 9% strike rate at the track from 445 rides. The colt is stepping up in class, has no previous runs on good to firm so remains unproven on the ground, and is rated 49 on KTB Fit. With only one run on the clock and limited data overall this assessment should be read with caution, yet the yard's record at the venue keeps him in the mix among the principals.
The rest of the field
Kach AboveKTB Fit 47/100
Kach Above is a fair 2-year-old who has improved sharply with two wins at this trip from his last three starts. The yard has a solid 10% strike rate from 51 runs at Ascot with positive A/E, the trip suits him well, and he is held up, usually producing his effort late on limited evidence. He is stepping up in class, has no previous runs on good to firm so remains unproven on the ground, and holds a KTB Fit of 47.
Time For The MoonKTB Fit 46/100
Time For The Moon is a fair colt who has already shown he can win at this trip. He ran no sort of race when tenth over course and distance on his latest start and that effort leaves him with something to prove back at Ascot. The yard's modest 4% strike-rate here from 85 runners adds to the negatives and he is rated 46 on KTB Fit.
TreasurerKTB Fit 46/100
Treasurer is a fair 2-year-old with a win on good to firm from just two starts on the surface. He showed little when finishing 12th on his only previous visit to Ascot and steps up from 6f to 7f today, which asks a fresh question. Trainer Charlie Fellowes has a solid 10% strike rate from 140 runs at the track while David Egan is in the saddle and the colt holds a KTB Fit of 46.
Sonny ParvenueKTB Fit 46/100
Sonny Parvenue made a winning start over 6f last time but now steps up to 7f for the first time, which asks a fresh question of him. The Richard Hannon yard has a 7% strike rate from 762 runs at Ascot and data confidence is low given the small sample. He is stepping up in class, has no previous runs on good to firm so remains unproven on the ground, and is rated 46 on KTB Fit.
Love IsKTB Fit 40/100
Love Is is a fair 2-year-old with form of 120 that includes a win on good to firm. He showed little at this track on his only previous visit and the yard's modest 3% strike rate from 128 runs at Ascot is a negative. The step up to 7f is an unknown and he remains lightly raced overall, holding a KTB Fit of 40.
KTB verdict
Silver Dominion stands out at the top of the KTB Fit ratings and brings a winning performance over today's trip on debut plus a creditable effort in stronger company. The Oliver Cole yard's record at Ascot adds further appeal and his held-up style should allow him to come through late if the tentative pace materialises as expected. Alfred Wallace is the obvious danger given his prominent run-style and ability to win over the trip, while Dandyman Dan's experience at this level cannot be dismissed even with the trainer's modest Ascot record. The remainder of the field carry plenty of unknowns around both the trip and the step up in class, making this a race where the selection holds the strongest hand on the supplied figures.
KTB Selection Silver Dominion
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Dominion | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Alfred Wallace | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Dandyman Dan | 22/1 | BetTom |
| Gymbaazy | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Firehorse | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Kach Above | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Time For The Moon | 11/1 | William Hill |
| Treasurer | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Sonny Parvenue | 10/3 | William Hill |
| Love Is | 14/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 2:55 Ascot. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ascot racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over today's trip on debut?
Silver Dominion
Which runner is most likely to make the running?
Alfred Wallace tends to make the running or race on the pace.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Ascot for the yard of the KTB Selection?
20% strike rate at Ascot from a small sample with A/E 2.34 (5 runs)
Which principals are stepping up in class for this race?
Gymbaazy, Firehorse, Kach Above, Treasurer and Sonny Parvenue are all stepping up in class.
Which horse has the highest strike rate at Ascot among the trainers represented?
Owen Burrows has a 17% strike rate at Ascot from 105 runs.
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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
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