3:07 Killarney
The 3.07 at Killarney is a competitive Boyle Sports Daily Money Back Meeting Handicap Steeplechase over 2m1f. A field of nine features several high-class performers on the figures, though many arrive with questions to answer regarding the ground and the exact trip. The KTB Fit scores point to a tight contest at the top, headed by Jasko Des Dames on 68, with Special Cadeau, Dreal Deal and The Banger Doyle all closely grouped in the 56-60 range.
How the race shapes up
With the pace shape rated unclear and low confidence owing to limited run-style evidence, it is difficult to be certain how the race will unfold. Several runners have a history of racing prominently or being held up, but nothing stands out strongly enough to dictate matters. The key question is whether the field can find a genuine tempo on ground that remains unproven for the majority, potentially turning the contest into a test of class and adaptability rather than pure speed.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Jasko Des Dames KTB Selection68/100High-class performer with strong recent placed form and a win at today's trip from eight attempts.
- 2Special Cadeau60/100High-class performer who has finished second on his only previous visit to this track.
- 3Dreal Deal57/100High-class performer who has won at this track and at today's trip.
- 4The Banger Doyle56/100High-class on his day with strong ratings and race history to back it up but this 10-year-old has become hard to win with and was well held on his latest start.
- 5Drumgill54/100High-class performer who has won four times at today's trip from 12 attempts and brings strong ratings and race history to the table.
- 6Gaelic Arc49/100High-class performer who has won at this track and at today's trip.
- 7No Flies On Him47/100No Flies On Him is a high-class performer with strong ratings and race history behind him.
- 8Mic Drop45/100Smart performer who arrives in excellent order after two recent wins.
- 9Femme Magnifique43/100Femme Magnifique is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after two recent wins and has strong course connections at Killarney.
The contenders
Jasko Des Dames KTB Fit 68/100
Jasko Des Dames is a high-class performer with strong recent placed form and a win at today's trip from eight attempts. He steps up in distance for the first time in a while while wearing first-time headgear. Henry De Bromhead and Darragh O'Keeffe both hold a solid 16% strike rate at Killarney from large samples, with the trainer showing an A/E of 1 from 408 runs and the jockey an A/E of 1.09 from 177 rides. The combination looks well placed to capitalise on his ability in a race where many others have unknowns. Recent form of 22054- underlines his consistency at this level.
Special Cadeau KTB Fit 60/100
Special Cadeau is a high-class performer who has finished second on his only previous visit to this track. He steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance on two of his four attempts and remains unproven on the ground. Henry De Bromhead has a solid 16% strike rate at Killarney from a big sample, though the claiming jockey Dylan Whelan is still seeking his first course winner from six rides and their combined record reads 0-16. Recent form figures of 52360- show glimpses of his ability, and a return to form at this venue would not surprise.
Dreal Deal KTB Fit 57/100
Dreal Deal is a high-class performer who has won at this track and at today's trip. He drops back in distance after a solid second last time but is completely unproven on the ground, with first-time headgear now fitted for this 11-year-old. P J Rothwell's modest record at Killarney reads 6% from 240 runs with an A/E of 0.73, while Simon Torrens operates at 8% from 78 rides with an A/E of 0.87. The recent form of 0037-2 offers encouragement, and his course success from three runs adds to his claims if the new headgear helps him bounce back.
The Banger Doyle KTB Fit 56/100
The Banger Doyle is high-class on his day with strong ratings and race history to back it up but this 10-year-old has become hard to win with and was well held on his latest start. He has placed twice from eight runs at Killarney without winning and is unproven on the ground here. The trip is a fresh question after dropping to 2m last time though he has won over this distance in the past. John Queally and Alan O'Sullivan combine with a 20% strike rate from five runs together, though the trainer's 9% record at the track from 79 runs carries an A/E of 0.69 and the jockey is on 4% from 27 rides with an A/E of 0.42. His held-up run style may see him produce his effort late if the race develops a strong pace.
The rest of the field
DrumgillKTB Fit 54/100
Drumgill is a high-class performer who has won four times at today's trip from 12 attempts and brings strong ratings and race history to the table. Recent form of 5U-75P is patchy though and he was only fourth and fifth without placing in two runs here. John Patrick Ryan's 6% strike rate from 145 runs at Killarney is modest while Daniel King has a solid 13% from 56 rides at the track.
Gaelic ArcKTB Fit 49/100
Gaelic Arc is a high-class performer who has won at this track and at today's trip. He drops back from 2m4f having shown solid form when winning two of his last four starts. John Patrick Ryan's modest 6% strike-rate at Killarney is a negative while Harry Sexton remains winless from 13 rides here and the horse is unproven on this ground.
No Flies On HimKTB Fit 47/100
No Flies On Him is a high-class performer with strong ratings and race history behind him. He drops back in trip having been placed at this distance without winning and arrives off the back of a solid second last time out. E McNamara has a modest 6% strike rate from a big sample at Killarney while Harry Cobden has had too few rides here to judge and the horse remains unproven on this ground.
Mic DropKTB Fit 45/100
Mic Drop is a smart performer who arrives in excellent order after two recent wins. David M O'Brien has a modest 3 percent strike rate from 37 runs at Killarney while the 5 lb claimer Michael Kenneally has a solid 15 percent record from his 13 rides here. He steps up in trip today having won once from three starts at this distance though he remains unproven on the ground.
Femme MagnifiqueKTB Fit 43/100
Femme Magnifique is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after two recent wins and has strong course connections at Killarney. She showed little on her only previous run here when finishing fourth and steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge on her sole attempt at this distance. David Harry Kelly has an 8% strike rate from 90 runs at the track while Cian Quirke is operating at 5% from 38 rides.
KTB verdict
Jasko Des Dames is the KTB Selection. His high-class ability, strong recent placed form and a previous win at today's trip from eight attempts make him the one to beat, particularly with Henry De Bromhead and Darragh O'Keeffe both showing solid 16% strike rates at Killarney from large samples. First-time headgear adds a further positive as he steps back up in distance. The main dangers are Special Cadeau, who has course form in his favour, and Dreal Deal, who has won both here and at the trip, though both carry their own questions regarding the ground and, in Dreal Deal's case, first-time headgear at the age of 11. The Banger Doyle cannot be entirely dismissed on his best days but has become harder to win with.
KTB Selection Jasko Des Dames
This is the narrative read of the 3:07 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Both Jasko Des Dames and Dreal Deal are wearing first-time headgear.
How many wins has Dreal Deal recorded at Killarney?
Dreal Deal has one win from three runs at Killarney.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Killarney in this race?
Henry De Bromhead has a 16% strike rate at Killarney from 408 runs.
Has Gaelic Arc won at this track before?
Yes, Gaelic Arc has one win from six runs at Killarney.
What is the combined trainer-jockey record at Killarney for the selection's connections?
Henry De Bromhead and Darragh O'Keeffe both have a 16% strike rate at Killarney, the trainer from 408 runs with an A/E of 1 and the jockey from 177 rides with an A/E of 1.09.
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