3:35 Goodwood
The Coral Stewards' Cup is one of the season's most competitive Heritage Handicaps, a 28-runner Class 2 sprint over six furlongs at Goodwood on good to firm ground. The KTB Fit ratings highlight a tight top end with Ferrous heading the list on 64, followed by a clutch of runners in the high 50s, underlining the depth and balance across the big field. Course form, draw, and the ability to handle fast ground are expected to play major roles in deciding the outcome.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for those coming from off the pace to reel in. Several runners tend to race prominently or make the running, including Sondad, Toca Madera, Stratusnine and Dark Thirty, though the shape implies they may settle in behind the clear leader rather than contest the front early. This sets up a race where the key question is whether any prominent runner can get close enough to the uncontested leader or if the closers, such as the hold-up types like Dubai Bling, Two Tribes and Soldier's Tree, can bridge the gap in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Ferrous KTB Selection64/100Useful performer who has won over this trip and at this track from just one visit.
- 2West Acre59/100Smart performer who has run to a good level on his last two starts and is well suited by today's trip having placed three times from four attempts.
- 3Northern Champion59/100Useful sort who has won three times this year including a 6f success.
- 4Get It58/100Get It is a useful performer with a solid record at this trip, including six wins from 17 starts, though he steps back up from 5f today after finishing last of…
- 5Sondad58/100Useful performer who arrives in decent nick after a win and a third in recent starts.
- 6Dubai Bling57/100Useful performer who has won twice on good to firm and also has a previous win at this trip.
- 7Realign57/100Useful performer who has won three times over this trip from eight attempts and handles good to firm ground well with two wins and a further three places from s…
- 8Toca Madera56/100Toca Madera is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form at this track, finishing third twice from four runs here.
- 9Tuco Salamanca56/100Tuco Salamanca is a useful performer who has won four times at this trip and showed his best form when landing a race at Newmarket in May before a solid sixth i…
- 10Far Above Dream56/100Far Above Dream is a useful performer who has won all three starts at this track and brings strong recent form having landed three of his last four races.
- 11Two Tribes55/100Useful performer who has won both starts at this track including a success here over further last year.
- 12Run Boy Run54/100Useful performer who has run well at this track before, finishing fourth on his latest visit here.
- 13Garfield Shadow54/100Useful performer who arrives in solid form having finished second on his most recent start.
- 14Invictus Gold54/100Useful performer who has won over this trip but has failed to land a blow in two starts since a promising third at Newmarket.
- 15Soldier's Tree54/100Smart performer who arrives in solid nick with three consecutive placed efforts including a good third at this trip last time.
- 16Mitbaahy53/100Mitbaahy is a useful performer who has won twice at this trip and has placed on good to firm ground.
- 17Flash Harry52/100Useful performer who has already won over this trip and at this track from just one visit.
- 18Fandom51/100Fandom is a useful performer who has run well on several occasions this year without winning.
- 19Completely Random51/100Useful performer who has won four times over today's 6f trip but arrives in modest recent form and drops back in distance having last run over 7f.
- 20Stratusnine51/100Useful performer who arrives in decent nick after a recent win and has solid placed form this year.
- 21Annaf50/100Useful performer who has been out of form for a while with a string of modest efforts.
- 22Berkshire Whisper49/100Useful performer who has won at this trip but has been below form on his last two starts.
- 23Dark Thirty48/100Useful performer who has run creditably at this track on his last two visits without quite landing a blow.
- 24Evening Saigon48/100Evening Saigon is a useful performer who has shown strong recent form with a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts.
- 25Gold Star Hero48/100Useful performer who has won three of his seven starts at this trip and arrives in decent form after a recent fifth.
- 26King Of Light44/100King Of Light is a useful performer with a solid recent record that includes two placed efforts in stronger company.
- 27Hammer The Hammer44/100Useful performer who has won twice at this trip but arrives in poor form having finished well beaten on both starts this year.
- 28Candy42/100Candy is a useful performer on the balance of her ratings and race history yet she has been well beaten on both starts this season.
The contenders
Ferrous KTB Fit 64/100
Ferrous is a useful performer who has won over this trip and at this track from just one visit. His recent form has been patchy, featuring a string of placed efforts rather than wins, and the wide draw in stall 12 is far from ideal on good to firm ground. The trainer's solid 14% strike rate at Goodwood adds some encouragement, as does the jockey's strong 43% strike rate at the track from only seven rides. With a KTB Fit of 64 he tops the ratings in a race where course ability counts for plenty. As the selection he is taken to overcome the draw and make his mark in this big-field handicap.
West Acre KTB Fit 59/100
West Acre is a smart performer who has run to a good level on his last two starts and is well suited by today's trip having placed three times from four attempts. He handles good to firm ground and first-time headgear is an interesting addition. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate at Goodwood from 54 runs while the jockey's 7% strike rate from 41 rides at the track is respectable. With a KTB Fit of 59 he sits just behind the selection and brings strong claims if the headgear has the desired effect. His lack of course form is the one slight concern in a race run on good to firm.
Northern Champion KTB Fit 59/100
Northern Champion is a useful sort who has won three times this year including a 6f success. He drops back to that trip today having been well held over 7f last time, though his sole run on good to firm ground brought no joy. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Goodwood from 192 runs while this is the colt's first visit to the track. A drop in class adds to his appeal and he carries a KTB Fit of 59. The three-year-old's progressive profile makes him one of the more interesting contenders if he can handle the surface.
Get It KTB Fit 58/100
Get It is a useful performer with a solid record at this trip, including six wins from 17 starts, though he steps back up from 5f today after finishing last of 11 on his final outing last season. He has won once from three runs at Goodwood and handles good to firm ground well with five wins from 18 starts. The yard's modest 7% strike rate from 271 runs at the track is a negative. His KTB Fit of 58 keeps him in the mix and the course record provides a positive in a race where track experience can be valuable. The wide draw in stall 27 adds another layer of difficulty.
Sondad KTB Fit 58/100
Sondad is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick after a win and a third in recent starts. He drops back to a trip he has won at six times from 15 attempts while the good to firm ground should suit on the evidence of two wins and three places from five runs. First-time headgear is tried today and the yard has a 0% strike rate from ten runs at Goodwood. His front-running style could see him involved in the early pace battle though the shape suggests a lone leader may get away. With a KTB Fit of 58 he remains a live contender if the headgear sharpens him up.
The rest of the field
Dubai BlingKTB Fit 57/100
Dubai Bling is a useful performer who has won twice on good to firm and also has a previous win at this trip. He steps up from 5f today while wearing first-time headgear, which adds an unknown element. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate here from 150 runs and his hold-up style fits the race shape.
RealignKTB Fit 57/100
Realign is a useful performer who has won three times over this trip from eight attempts and handles good to firm ground well with two wins and a further three places from six starts. First-time headgear is now fitted after a mixed record of 17-918 this year that includes one win. The trainer has a solid 19% strike rate at Goodwood from 519 runs while the jockey also rides here regularly.
Toca MaderaKTB Fit 56/100
Toca Madera is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form at this track, finishing third twice from four runs here. He steps up from 5f to 6f today having already won twice at the longer trip, and he acts on good to firm ground with two wins and five places from 13 starts. The yard holds an 11% strike rate at Goodwood from 205 runs and his front-running style may see him involved early.
Tuco SalamancaKTB Fit 56/100
Tuco Salamanca is a useful performer who has won four times at this trip and showed his best form when landing a race at Newmarket in May before a solid sixth in a stronger event last time. He has already placed here at Goodwood and on good to firm ground, though he is drawn wide in stall 15. First-time headgear is now applied and the yard's modest 5% strike rate at the track is a negative.
Far Above DreamKTB Fit 56/100
Far Above Dream is a useful performer who has won all three starts at this track and brings strong recent form having landed three of his last four races. He has a solid record at today's trip with five wins from ten starts and the yard's 11% strike rate at Goodwood from 44 runs is respectable. He has only placed once in three runs on good to firm ground though and the wide draw in stall 23 adds a note of caution.
Two TribesKTB Fit 55/100
Two Tribes is a useful performer who has won both starts at this track including a success here over further last year. He drops back to his winning trip today having been out of form for much of the season and now tries first-time headgear. The trainer's modest 6% strike-rate at the course adds a note of caution and his hold-up style fits the shape.
Run Boy RunKTB Fit 54/100
Run Boy Run is a useful performer who has run well at this track before, finishing fourth on his latest visit here. He steps up from 5f to 6f today having already won at the trip, though his recent form has been patchy and the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Goodwood adds a note of caution and his hold-up style is noted.
Garfield ShadowKTB Fit 54/100
Garfield Shadow is a useful performer who arrives in solid form having finished second on his most recent start. He has won twice at this trip from seven attempts but has shown little on his only previous run on good to firm ground. The trainer holds a 10 percent strike rate at Goodwood from 29 runs while this is the horse's first appearance here and he is a hold-up type.
Invictus GoldKTB Fit 54/100
Invictus Gold is a useful performer who has won over this trip but has failed to land a blow in two starts since a promising third at Newmarket. First-time headgear is now tried after a modest effort last time. The trainer holds a 9% strike rate at Goodwood from 44 runs while the horse has no experience on this track or firm ground.
Soldier's TreeKTB Fit 54/100
Soldier's Tree is a smart performer who arrives in solid nick with three consecutive placed efforts including a good third at this trip last time. He is drawn widest in a big field which is far from ideal at this track and trip. The trainer has a respectable 11% strike-rate here from 44 runs and he is a hold-up type.
MitbaahyKTB Fit 53/100
Mitbaahy is a useful performer who has won twice at this trip and has placed on good to firm ground. He showed fair form when fifth on his most recent start but was well beaten on his only previous run at Goodwood. The first-time headgear is an unknown and the trainer's modest strike rate at the track adds no confidence while he is held up.
Flash HarryKTB Fit 52/100
Flash Harry is a useful performer who has already won over this trip and at this track from just one visit. He has a solid record on good to firm ground and the yard's respectable strike rate here adds some confidence. The wide draw in a big-field Class 2 is the clear negative.
FandomKTB Fit 51/100
Fandom is a useful performer who has run well on several occasions this year without winning. He has course experience here but could only finish sixth on his sole visit and has been placed once from three runs on good to firm ground. Stepping back up to a trip he has won over before asks a fresh question from stall 22 and he is held up.
Completely RandomKTB Fit 51/100
Completely Random is a useful performer who has won four times over today's 6f trip but arrives in modest recent form and drops back in distance having last run over 7f. Only one run at Goodwood resulted in an 8th of 12 while the trainer remains winless from 13 starts at the track. First-time headgear is now fitted.
StratusnineKTB Fit 51/100
Stratusnine is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick after a recent win and has solid placed form this year. He has won on good to firm and at today's trip, though his record at this level is mixed. The trainer's modest strike rate at Goodwood adds a note of caution and his front-running style is noted.
AnnafKTB Fit 50/100
Annaf is a useful performer who has been out of form for a while with a string of modest efforts. He has placed once from three runs at Goodwood and steps up from five furlongs to a trip he has won at seven times before. The trainer has a solid 12 percent strike rate here while the jockey also rides and he is a hold-up type.
Berkshire WhisperKTB Fit 49/100
Berkshire Whisper is a useful performer who has won at this trip but has been below form on his last two starts. He has no experience at Goodwood and has failed to place in three runs on good to firm ground. The trainer holds an 11% strike rate here from 923 runs.
Dark ThirtyKTB Fit 48/100
Dark Thirty is a useful performer who has run creditably at this track on his last two visits without quite landing a blow. He drops back to his optimum 6f trip today where his record reads a solid six wins from 20 starts. The trainer's modest 8% strike-rate at Goodwood and the horse's own ordinary record on good to firm ground are both minor negatives and he tends to race prominently.
Evening SaigonKTB Fit 48/100
Evening Saigon is a useful performer who has shown strong recent form with a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts. He has already placed here over this trip and has won twice at six furlongs, though he has only run once on good to firm ground. First-time headgear is now applied while the yard holds a modest 10% strike rate at Goodwood.
Gold Star HeroKTB Fit 48/100
Gold Star Hero is a useful performer who has won three of his seven starts at this trip and arrives in decent form after a recent fifth. He has never run at Goodwood before and has shown nothing on good to firm ground in two attempts. First-time headgear is now fitted while the trainer holds a 10 percent strike rate here from 360 runs.
King Of LightKTB Fit 44/100
King Of Light is a useful performer with a solid recent record that includes two placed efforts in stronger company. He has already shown he handles Goodwood by finishing second here and has a win on good to firm ground, though his strike rate on that surface remains modest. Stepping back up to 6f looks a fair question given he has won at the trip before.
Hammer The HammerKTB Fit 44/100
Hammer The Hammer is a useful performer who has won twice at this trip but arrives in poor form having finished well beaten on both starts this year. Only one run at Goodwood and that was a heavy defeat, while the yard's modest 4% strike-rate here from 199 attempts adds to the negatives. He has placed once from two runs on good to firm so the ground should be fine.
CandyKTB Fit 42/100
Candy is a useful performer on the balance of her ratings and race history yet she has been well beaten on both starts this season. She has no win or place from four runs on good to firm and finished a remote 23rd on her only previous visit to Goodwood. The step back up to 6f is a positive as she has four wins from eleven starts at the trip but the yard's modest 6% strike rate at the track offers little encouragement.
KTB verdict
Ferrous is the KTB Selection. He is a useful performer with previous success over this trip and at Goodwood from a single visit, and the trainer's solid record at the track provides encouragement despite the patchy recent form and wide draw. The selection sits top of the KTB Fit ratings and is expected to be suited by the race shape if he can overcome stall 12. His main dangers include West Acre, who brings smart form, trip suitability and the unknown of first-time headgear, and Northern Champion, whose three wins this year and drop back to 6f make him a progressive threat. Get It and Sondad round out the principals with their own course and trip credentials.
KTB Selection Ferrous
This is the narrative read of the 3:35 Goodwood. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Goodwood racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won over course and distance?
Ferrous has won at this track from one visit and has won over this trip.
How many runners have course form at Goodwood?
Several runners have course form including Ferrous (1 from 1), Get It (1 from 3), Toca Madera (placed twice from four), Tuco Salamanca (placed once), Far Above Dream (3 from 3), Two Tribes (1 from 1), Run Boy Run (placed once from two), Flash Harry (1 from 1), Fandom (sixth once), Completely Random (eighth once), Annaf (placed once from three), Dark Thirty (placed twice from four), Evening Saigon (placed once), King Of Light (second once), Hammer The Hammer (15th once) and Candy (23rd once).
Which horses are trying first-time headgear?
West Acre, Sondad, Dubai Bling, Realign, Tuco Salamanca, Two Tribes, Run Boy Run, Invictus Gold, Mitbaahy, Completely Random, Stratusnine, Evening Saigon, Gold Star Hero and Berkshire Whisper are not but the supplied data shows first-time headgear for West Acre, Sondad, Dubai Bling, Realign, Tuco Salamanca, Two Tribes, Run Boy Run, Invictus Gold, Mitbaahy, Completely Random, Gold Star Hero and Evening Saigon.
Who has the strongest trainer strike rate at Goodwood?
William Haggas has a 19% strike rate at Goodwood from 519 runs.
Which horse has the best recent course record at Goodwood?
Far Above Dream has won all three starts at this track.
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