3:35 York
This Class 2 Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice over 5f at York brings together a field of ten juveniles, several with placed form already in the book and a handful of newcomers. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Call Me Tomorrow heading the list on 60, followed by May Bee In Profit on 57 and Big Negotiator on 53; the remainder sit between 50 and 41. Trainer and jockey York records are generally modest across the card, though a couple stand out, and the good ground looks suitable for most with placed form on it already shown.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a strongly-run 5f with several prominent runners likely to contest the lead from early on. Call Me Tomorrow, May Bee In Profit and Quiet Soul can all go forward from their middle to low draws, while Big Negotiator from stall 3 is also expected to be on the pace. The key question is whether the speed holds up in a race that could develop into a test of stamina late on, or whether one of the closers can pick up the pieces if the front-runners go too hard.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Call Me Tomorrow KTB Selection60/100Placed second on debut then again last time when chasing home a useful winner over this trip.
- 2May Bee In Profit57/100May Bee In Profit has shown steady improvement and got off the mark over this trip last time.
- 3Big Negotiator53/100Big Negotiator has shown fair form in two starts, finishing third then second, though the small sample means the level is hard to pin down.
- 4Quiet Soul50/100Quiet Soul has shown ability in both starts, finishing third then a close second at this trip.
- 5Sovereign Grace50/100Sovereign Grace is a newcomer from the Burke yard who has been given a fairly stiff introduction in a competitive Class 2 at York.
- 6Cailin Aine49/100Cailin Aine has shown steady improvement in four starts and got off the mark over this trip last time out.
- 7Givendale47/100Givendale has shown little in two starts to date and is hard to fancy from a wide draw in a much stronger race.
- 8Sable Island45/100Sable Island has shown fair form in two starts to date finishing third both times.
- 9Time Glory44/100Time Glory showed fair pace on debut when finishing fourth over 6f.
- 10Divine Whisper41/100Divine Whisper is a newcomer from a yard that has a modest 7% strike rate at York from 45 runs.
The contenders
Call Me Tomorrow KTB Fit 60/100
Call Me Tomorrow has built a solid profile with placed efforts on both starts so far, finishing second on debut and again last time when chasing home a useful winner over this trip. The form looks strong enough for a race of this class and the yard know the York track well with a 12 percent strike rate from 339 runs. Alec Voikhansky has been operating at a high level here with a 23 percent strike rate from only 13 rides, though the small overall sample means this remains a low-confidence call. The colt steps up in class today but his placed record on good ground suggests the surface will be no issue. Drawn in stall 7, he is likely to be prominent early in what is expected to be a strongly-run race.
May Bee In Profit KTB Fit 57/100
May Bee In Profit has shown steady improvement across four starts and got off the mark over this trip last time. Good ground clearly suits with one win and two places from two runs on it, and the colt still looks open to a bit more progress. The yard's modest 6 percent strike rate at York from over 2000 runs is a negative but Sean Kirrane's 9 percent record from 65 rides here offers some compensation. From draw 5 he should be able to take a handy position early. Overall the balance of his progressive profile and the recent win makes him a major player in a race where the pace is likely to be strong.
Big Negotiator KTB Fit 53/100
Big Negotiator has shown fair form in two starts, finishing third then second, though the small sample means the level is hard to pin down. He drops back to 5f today after his latest run over 6½f, a trip he has tried once without success. The yard posts a 13 percent strike rate at York from eight runs while P J McDonald has a 9 percent record from 463 rides here. With only two runs on the clock any assessment has to be cautious, but his placed form on good ground suggests conditions will be suitable. Drawn in stall 3 he is expected to be on the pace in a race that could develop into a test of stamina late on.
Quiet Soul KTB Fit 50/100
Quiet Soul has shown ability in both starts, finishing third then a close second at this trip. The yard and jockey each have a solid 10 percent strike rate at York from big samples, which adds some encouragement. With only two runs on the clock any assessment has to be cautious and the filly remains unproven on good ground. From the inside draw she is likely to be prominent early. Stepping up in class today, she will need to improve again if she is to feature at the business end of what looks a strongly-run race.
Sovereign Grace KTB Fit 50/100
Sovereign Grace is a newcomer from the Burke yard who has been given a fairly stiff introduction in a competitive Class 2 at York. The trainer’s 9 percent strike rate from 633 runs at the track is modest yet consistent with his overall record while Sam James has a similar 7 percent strike rate from 214 rides here. With only pedigree, sales background and these connections to go on the colt’s ability remains an unknown at this stage. By Invincible Spirit, he has a 12 percent overall win rate attached to the sire from a huge sample. Drawn in stall 9 he could be ridden more patiently in a race where the pace is expected to be strong.
The rest of the field
Cailin AineKTB Fit 49/100
Cailin Aine has shown steady improvement in four starts and got off the mark over this trip last time out. The filly acts on good ground but the yard's modest 6 percent strike rate at York from a huge sample is reflected in the below-par A/E of 0.77, and David Allan also operates at a 7 percent strike rate here from 884 rides.
GivendaleKTB Fit 47/100
Givendale has shown little in two starts to date and is hard to fancy from a wide draw in a much stronger race. The drop back to 5f is an unknown at this stage while the yard's modest 6 percent strike rate at York from a large sample offers no encouragement, and jockey Faye McManoman also records a 4 percent strike rate here from 91 rides.
Sable IslandKTB Fit 45/100
Sable Island has shown fair form in two starts to date finishing third both times. She drops back to 5f today having been placed at the trip without winning and the small sample makes it impossible to judge whether the good ground will suit. The yard has a modest 7 percent strike rate at York while De Sousa is a bit better on 10 percent from a big sample here.
Time GloryKTB Fit 44/100
Time Glory showed fair pace on debut when finishing fourth over 6f. Dropping to 5f poses a fresh question for this lightly-raced colt. Both trainer and jockey have modest 8 percent strike rates at York from large samples.
Divine WhisperKTB Fit 41/100
Divine Whisper is a newcomer from a yard that has a modest 7 percent strike rate at York from 45 runs. The jockey has no recorded rides at the track. With low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
KTB verdict
Call Me Tomorrow is the KTB Selection. He has posted two solid seconds already, the latest behind a useful winner, and the form stacks up well for this level while the yard and jockey both have strong recent records at York. The good ground should suit and his prominent run-style looks ideal in a race where the pace is likely to be on from early. The main dangers are May Bee In Profit, who is progressive and scored last time, and Big Negotiator, who has shown fair form and drops back to the trip; Quiet Soul and Sovereign Grace are next in the pecking order but both come with more unknowns.
KTB Selection Call Me Tomorrow
This is the narrative read of the 3:35 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest York trainer and jockey combination on the card?
Call Me Tomorrow, with the yard on 12 percent strike rate at York from 339 runs and Alec Voikhansky recording 23 percent from 13 rides.
How many runners in the field are stepping up in class?
Four runners are stepping up in class: Call Me Tomorrow, Quiet Soul, Givendale and Sable Island.
Which horses have already shown placed form on good ground?
Call Me Tomorrow has been placed twice on good, May Bee In Profit has one win and two places from two runs on good, Big Negotiator has been placed once on good, and Cailin Aine has one win from three on good.
Who are the two most experienced York jockeys in the race by number of rides?
P J McDonald with 463 rides and Silvestre De Sousa with 503 rides.
Which horses are expected to be prominent early given the pace shape?
Call Me Tomorrow, May Bee In Profit, Quiet Soul and Big Negotiator are all likely to be on the pace in what is expected to be a strongly-run 5f.
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