3:35 York
The 3:35 York is the Legends Global Yorkshire Oaks, a Group 1 over 1m3f188y on good ground featuring a compact but high-quality field of nine. The KTB Fit Scores identify Kalpana as the clear top pick on 83, with the next three clustered between 66 and 61, underlining a race where class and recent form are tightly matched among the principals. Overall the numbers point to a strong pace likely to test stamina late, with hold-up types potentially advantaged as the race develops.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by two or more habitual front-runners including Johanna Walsh and Sugar Island who tend to make the running or race on the pace. Minnie Hauk is likely to race prominently on or close to that speed, while the remainder of the field, headed by Kalpana, Inis Mor, Earth Shot, Tattycoram and Sparan Nua, are mostly held-up types who will look to produce their efforts late. Legacy Link is the sole mid-division runner. The key question is whether the pace collapses late, which would play into the hands of those coming from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Kalpana KTB Selection83/100High-class performer with a strong recent record of 71-121 and five wins from ten starts at today's trip.
- 2Minnie Hauk66/100High-class performer with a solid record at this trip, including four wins from seven starts.
- 3Johanna Walsh64/100Smart performer with a solid recent record of 3-3121 and a win at this trip from two attempts.
- 4Inis Mor61/100Smart performer who has shown his best form on his last three starts, finishing no worse than third in competitive races.
- 5Earth Shot61/100Smart performer who has shown his best around this track with two wins from three starts here.
- 6Legacy Link60/100Smart performer who won on his only previous visit to York and has two wins from three starts on good ground.
- 7Tattycoram58/100Smart performer who has won both starts this year and looks well placed from stall 1.
- 8Sparan Nua56/100Smart performer with a strong recent record of three wins from five starts.
- 9Sugar Island47/100Useful performer who has mixed form this season and was well held in a Group 3 last time.
The contenders
Kalpana KTB Fit 83/100
Kalpana arrives as a high-class performer boasting an excellent recent record of 71-121 and five wins from ten starts at today's trip. She has won four times from eight runs on good ground, matching the conditions here, while the yard's 14% strike rate at York from 502 runs is solid. First-time headgear is now fitted, which adds a minor unknown on her first run at the track. Her run-style is to be held up, usually producing her effort late, which aligns favourably with the expected strong pace. The trainer and jockey combination shows an impressive 18/49 (37%) record with an A/E of 1.67 and +£26.40 LSP. As the KTB Selection on a Fit Score of 83, she holds a clear edge on the numbers.
Minnie Hauk KTB Fit 66/100
Minnie Hauk is a high-class performer with a solid record at this trip that includes four wins from seven starts. She is 1 from 1 at York and has won three of her four races on good ground, making the surface ideal. Her recent form reads 6-1528, showing flashes of top-level ability. The filly usually races prominently, on or close to the lead, which could prove vulnerable if the strong pace collapses late. Aidan O'Brien posts a 14% strike rate at York from 352 runs, while Ryan Moore is in the saddle with a 16% strike rate at the track from 650 rides. She holds a KTB Fit Score of 66.
Johanna Walsh KTB Fit 64/100
Johanna Walsh is a smart performer with a solid recent record of 3-3121 and a win at this trip from two attempts. She has already shown she handles good ground and arrives in form. First-time headgear is now applied, introducing an unknown. Her run-style is to tend to make the running or race on the pace, which places her right in the expected strong pace. Joseph Patrick O'Brien has a 13% strike rate at York from 15 runs, while Dylan Browne McMonagle has a 25% strike rate at the track from four rides but is yet to record a winner here. Her KTB Fit Score is 64.
Inis Mor KTB Fit 61/100
Inis Mor is a smart performer who has shown his best form on his last three starts, finishing no worse than third in competitive races. He acts on good ground and has been placed at this trip, though he is yet to win over it. His recent form reads -40132. The colt is usually held up and produces his effort late, a style that should suit if the strong pace collapses. The yard has a solid 14% strike rate at York from 42 runs with an A/E of 1.24, and Oisin Murphy is aboard with a 15% strike rate at the track from 330 rides. He is rated with a KTB Fit Score of 61.
The rest of the field
Earth ShotKTB Fit 61/100
Earth Shot is a smart performer who has shown his best around this track with two wins from three starts here. He handles good ground, has already won over today's trip, though his latest run was below par. The yard maintains a solid 18% strike rate at York from 768 runs.
Legacy LinkKTB Fit 60/100
Legacy Link is a smart performer who won on his only previous visit to York and has two wins from three starts on good ground. He has placed at today's trip without winning it and his recent form of 14-127 shows clear ability mixed with the odd below-par run. The Gosden yard posts a solid 21% strike rate at this track.
TattycoramKTB Fit 58/100
Tattycoram is a smart performer who has won both starts this year and looks well placed from stall 1. She has already shown good form at this trip with two wins from three runs and acts on good ground having won twice from three starts. Only once raced here when finishing fourth though the trainer maintains a solid 14% strike rate at the track.
Sparan NuaKTB Fit 56/100
Sparan Nua is a smart performer with a strong recent record of three wins from five starts. She steps up in trip today having already won over this distance once, and the going looks to suit with two wins from three runs on it. Bolger has a modest 9% strike rate at York from 23 runs.
Sugar IslandKTB Fit 47/100
Sugar Island is a useful performer who has mixed form this season and was well held in a Group 3 last time. She has placed once at today's trip but is 0-3 on good ground and makes her first start at York. The trainer has a 14% strike rate here from 352 runs.
KTB verdict
Kalpana stands out as the KTB Selection. Her high-class level, strong recent record of 71-121, five wins from ten starts at the trip and four wins from eight on good ground make her the one to beat, especially with her hold-up style likely to benefit if the strong pace collapses late. The first-time headgear and first run at York add small unknowns but the overall profile is compelling on a KTB Fit Score of 83. The main dangers are Minnie Hauk, who boasts a perfect record at the track and a strong trip profile, Johanna Walsh who brings progressive form and the pace angle, and Inis Mor who is in good heart and also suited by a late run.
KTB Selection Kalpana
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:05 UTC, 20 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Tattycoram | 14/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 3:35 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most favoured by the expected strong pace shape?
Kalpana, Inis Mor, Earth Shot, Tattycoram and Sparan Nua are all usually held up and produce their effort late, which should be favoured if the pace collapses.
How many wins has Kalpana recorded at today's trip?
Five wins from ten starts at today's trip.
Which runners are confirmed front-runners or prominent?
Johanna Walsh tends to make the running or race on the pace, Sugar Island tends to make the running or race on the pace, and Minnie Hauk usually races handily on or close to the lead.
What is the trainer's strike rate at York for the yard of the selection?
Andrew Balding has a 14% strike rate at York from 502 runs.
Which horse has course form at York among the principals?
Minnie Hauk is 1 from 1 at York.
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