3:50 Uttoxeter
This Class 4 handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter over 2m7f70y on good ground brings together a field of 16 where the KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top. The principals are headed by Kom Tu Voudras on a mark of 69, closely followed by Billy Boi Blue, Mistral Blue, Dr Seb and Orange Diamond all rated in the mid-60s. With the pace shape rated as unclear due to limited run-style evidence across the field, the race lacks a clear blueprint and places emphasis on proven ability at the trip, course form and the impact of first-time headgear on several runners.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence, as there is simply not enough run-style data to establish how the race will unfold. A couple of held-up types such as Belladinotte and Seeitoldya are noted, but the majority of the field carry no strong positional bias. This leaves the key question as whether the race will develop into a test of stamina late on or if a more even gallop allows those with tactical speed at the trip to show their best.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Kom Tu Voudras KTB Selection69/100Smart performer with a solid recent record including a win and two placed efforts from just seven runs.
- 2Billy Boi Blue67/100Smart performer who arrives in modest form having been pulled up twice and then finished no better than sixth on his last three starts.
- 3Mistral Blue65/100Mistral Blue is a useful performer who has won both starts at this trip and over this course.
- 4Dr Seb64/100Useful performer who has won two of his three starts at this track and is equally effective at today's trip.
- 5Orange Diamond64/100Smart performer who has won both starts over this trip and at this track.
- 6Colegram64/100Smart performer who arrives in good heart after two wins from his last three starts.
- 7Torrent63/100Smart performer who has already won over this course.
- 8Prince De Juilley59/100Smart performer who has run to a good level on several occasions and arrives here off the back of two respectable efforts.
- 9Victoria Milano58/100Useful performer who has placed on both starts at this track and looks suited by the step up to this trip having already placed over it.
- 10Lady Caro57/100Useful mare who has shown consistent form this season and looks well treated on her best efforts.
- 11Rock Hurley54/100Useful performer who has shown better form of late with a win and a third from his last two starts.
- 12Baltray54/100Useful performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning lately.
- 13Catuaba53/100Useful performer who arrives in solid form having finished second on three of his last four starts.
- 14Belladinotte49/100Belladinotte is a fair performer who has won both starts at this trip and looks suited by good ground having scored three times from 13 runs on it.
- 15Seeitoldya45/100Smart performer who has failed to build on early promise and arrives here on the back of a poor recent run.
- 16Bannister43/100Useful performer who has been largely consistent in recent seasons yet arrives here on the back of a poor run at this track last time.
The contenders
Kom Tu Voudras KTB Fit 69/100
Kom Tu Voudras is a smart performer with a solid recent record that features a win and two placed efforts from just seven runs. His course form is modest, having finished sixth on his only visit to Uttoxeter, and the first-time headgear remains an unknown. The trainer boasts a 20% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.54 from 10 runs while the jockey is operating below par with a 13% strike rate and A/E of 0.69 from 117 rides. He has one win from three starts on good ground with two placed efforts and the recent form figures of 01-216 underline his competitiveness at this level.
Billy Boi Blue KTB Fit 67/100
Billy Boi Blue is a smart performer who arrives in modest form after two pull-ups and then no better than sixth on his last three starts. He steps up in trip today, having failed to trouble the judge in three previous attempts at this distance, while the first-time headgear is another unknown. The yard hold a solid 19% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.32 from 21 runs and the trainer and jockey combination shows 24 wins from 115 rides at 21% with an A/E of 1.25. He has one win from 11 starts on good ground with four placed efforts and the recent form figures of PP-566 reflect his current modest level.
Mistral Blue KTB Fit 65/100
Mistral Blue is a useful performer who has won both starts at this trip and over this course. He has three wins from 11 runs on good ground with five placed efforts and looks well placed back at Uttoxeter where his trainer has a 17% strike rate with an A/E of 0.96 from 492 runs. Recent form has been mixed yet he arrives in decent order after a win last time out with the figures 2P-531. The jockey has a 20% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.37 from 10 rides while the yard and jockey record stands at 29 wins from 208 rides at 14% with an A/E of 0.87.
Dr Seb KTB Fit 64/100
Dr Seb is a useful performer who has won two of his three starts at this track and is equally effective at today's trip. He has two wins from five runs on good ground with three placed efforts and arrives off the back of a recent fifth that suggests he retains most of his ability with the form figures 1/68-5. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1 from 179 runs is the main negative. The trainer and jockey combination shows four wins from 26 rides at 15% with an A/E of 1.79 while the jockey has a 6% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.72 from 33 rides.
Orange Diamond KTB Fit 64/100
Orange Diamond is a smart performer who has won both starts over this trip and at this track. He has three wins from eight runs on good ground with five placed efforts and the yard has a solid 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.13 from 19 runs. First-time headgear is the only unknown and he arrives in good order with the recent form figures 132-41. The trainer and jockey record stands at 38 wins from 245 rides at 16% with an A/E of 0.92 while the jockey has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.79 from 38 rides.
The rest of the field
ColegramKTB Fit 64/100
Colegram is a smart performer who arrives in good heart after two wins from his last three starts. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question and the recent form figures read 311-31. Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton both operate at a solid level around here with the trainer showing a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.99 from 624 runs.
TorrentKTB Fit 63/100
Torrent is a smart performer who has already won over this course. Recent form has been patchy and he now steps up in trip for the first time while wearing first-time headgear with the figures 7P6-45. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.99 from 208 runs which adds some confidence but the overall profile remains mixed.
Prince De JuilleyKTB Fit 59/100
Prince De Juilley is a smart performer who has run to a good level on several occasions and arrives here off the back of two respectable efforts. He has been placed twice at this track without winning and steps up in trip today having only managed one placing from nine starts at this distance with the form 122-46. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.02 from 157 runs.
Victoria MilanoKTB Fit 58/100
Victoria Milano is a useful performer who has placed on both starts at this track and looks suited by the step up to this trip having already placed over it. Recent form is solid enough without winning and the first-time headgear is an interesting addition with the figures 8P-325. The trainer has a 15% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.21 from 153 runs while the jockey is operating below his usual level at the course.
Lady CaroKTB Fit 57/100
Lady Caro is a useful mare who has shown consistent form this season and looks well treated on her best efforts. She drops back in trip today having last run over three miles which asks a fresh question though she has won twice on good ground from 15 starts with the form 74213-. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.81 from 220 runs and this is the horse's first run at the track.
Rock HurleyKTB Fit 54/100
Rock Hurley is a useful performer who has shown better form of late with a win and a third from his last two starts. He has won at today's trip and handles good ground though his sole run here resulted in a modest fourth with the figures 004-31. First-time headgear is now applied and the trainer has a 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.85 from 720 runs.
BaltrayKTB Fit 54/100
Baltray is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning lately. Dropping back in trip to an untried 2m7f poses a fresh question after his last run over 3m2f with the form 2P5-36. The trainer records a 13% strike rate from 220 runs at Uttoxeter while the horse has one placed effort from a single start here on good ground.
CatuabaKTB Fit 53/100
Catuaba is a useful performer who arrives in solid form having finished second on three of his last four starts. He drops back from 3m1f to a trip where he has been placed twice from five attempts while showing a respectable record on good ground with the figures 21722/. First-time headgear is now applied on his first run at Uttoxeter where the yard holds a 17% strike rate.
BelladinotteKTB Fit 49/100
Belladinotte is a fair performer who has won both starts at this trip and looks suited by good ground having scored three times from 13 runs on it. She has already won once from two runs at Uttoxeter and arrives in form after a recent success with the figures 1-0461. The yard's modest 7% strike rate at the track is a slight negative.
SeeitoldyaKTB Fit 45/100
Seeitoldya is a smart performer who has failed to build on early promise and arrives here on the back of a poor recent run. Only one previous try at this trip brought no joy and he has never won or placed on good ground from five attempts with the form 45U0-6. First-time headgear is reached for while the yard's modest 0% record at Uttoxeter adds little encouragement.
BannisterKTB Fit 43/100
Bannister is a useful performer who has been largely consistent in recent seasons yet arrives here on the back of a poor run at this track last time. He has shown his best form at shorter trips and steps up to 2m7f for the first time today with the figures 6285-6. The trainer's modest 2% strike rate at Uttoxeter adds a negative.
KTB verdict
Kom Tu Voudras is the KTB Selection. He brings a smart level of ability backed by a solid recent record of a win and two placed efforts from just seven runs, and the trainer's strong 20% strike rate at Uttoxeter offers further encouragement. While his course form is modest and the first-time headgear is an unknown, he looks to have the best blend of class and upside in a race where the pace is difficult to read with confidence. The main dangers are Mistral Blue, who has won both starts at the trip and course, Orange Diamond who has also scored over this trip and track, and Dr Seb who has won two of three starts here.
KTB Selection Kom Tu Voudras
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Kom Tu Voudras | 7/1 | 7Bet |
| Billy Boi Blue | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| Mistral Blue | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| Dr Seb | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Orange Diamond | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Colegram | 9/2 | CopyBet |
| Torrent | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Prince De Juilley | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Victoria Milano | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Lady Caro | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Rock Hurley | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Baltray | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Catuaba | 16/1 | William Hill |
| Belladinotte | 9/1 | 7Bet |
| Seeitoldya | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| Bannister | 20/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 3:50 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won both starts at this trip and over this course?
Mistral Blue has won both starts at this trip and over this course.
How many wins has Dr Seb recorded from three starts at Uttoxeter?
Dr Seb has won two of his three starts at this track.
Which runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Kom Tu Voudras, Billy Boi Blue, Orange Diamond, Torrent, Victoria Milano, Rock Hurley, Catuaba and Seeitoldya are all wearing first-time headgear.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Uttoxeter with Colegram?
Dan Skelton has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.99 from 624 runs.
Which horse is stepping up markedly in trip and what is its recent form?
Colegram is stepping up markedly in trip and arrives with recent form figures of 311-31.
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