4:00 Leicester
This Class 6 classified stakes over 7f at Leicester on good to firm ground features a field of 13 modest performers where the KTB Fit scores highlight a clear top pick on 59 while the remainder cluster between 51 and 29. The race looks an opportunity for a horse with previous course success to capitalise on an uncontested lead, though several runners bring recent consistency or first-time headgear as possible mitigating factors. Overall the KTB numbers suggest a race that will be decided by who handles the likely easy lead best and whether any of the lower-rated types can find improvement.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader pace shape of high confidence, Kode Grey is expected to bowl along in front with little to no pressure from the rest of the field, setting an uncontested gallop that could prove difficult for hold-up types to overcome. Most of the principals, including the selection, prefer to be held up or race in mid-division, meaning they will need to produce their efforts from off the pace in the straight. The key question is whether the clear leader can get away and dictate or if the closers, aided by the good to firm ground, can bridge the gap in the final furlong.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Shark Two One KTB Selection59/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Eulalia51/100RPR 54 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Shes Got The Blues50/100RPR 58 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Bungle Bay49/100RPR 61 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Squashy Berry45/100RPR 51 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Kode Grey44/100RPR 58 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Tilsworth Max40/100RPR 51 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Demetris Mouflon40/100RPR 53 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Miss Helena40/100RPR 38 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Tickhill Flyer40/100RPR 53 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 11Due Destiny38/100RPR 46 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 12Coverbridge36/100RPR 51 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 13Bridgefoot Rambler29/100RPR 36 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Shark Two One KTB Fit 59/100
Shark Two One is a modest performer with an RPR of 62 who has won twice at Leicester from 11 runs and also boasts a solid record at this trip with three wins from 18 starts. He has shown enough on good to firm ground with one win and two places from six attempts, though his recent form of 337-50 suggests he is now vulnerable off this mark. The yard has a 13 percent strike rate here from 24 runs while the jockey is yet to record a winner from his seven rides at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace set by the uncontested leader. With two course wins already to his name he knows the venue and the selection is taken to capitalise on that familiarity.
Eulalia KTB Fit 51/100
Eulalia possesses a limited level of ability with an RPR of 54 and has struggled in both starts for this yard after a placed effort on AW last season. She is now 0-7 with first-time headgear fitted and the yard's 14 percent strike rate from seven runs at Leicester offers some encouragement. The trip looks suitable on the back of her placed effort at this distance earlier. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will need to find more than she has shown on her two starts for the yard. With no course form on record and no win or place from two runs on good to firm she faces a stiff task but the headgear may spark improvement.
Shes Got The Blues KTB Fit 50/100
Shes Got The Blues is a limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts without looking like winning, recording recent form of 652354. She drops back to 7f having been placed at the trip earlier in the year though she has looked happier over further. The trainer's modest 9 percent strike rate at Leicester comes from a big sample of 684 runs while the yard's jockey has no recorded wins from 11 rides here. Typically settling in midfield, she will be positioned just off the likely easy lead. With an RPR of 58 she is competitive on her best efforts but has three runs on good to firm without a win or place.
Bungle Bay KTB Fit 49/100
Bungle Bay is a modest performer who has been consistent enough lately with two seconds from his last four starts and holds a career-high RPR of 61. He has placed without winning in both runs at Leicester and is unproven on good to firm ground having never raced on it. The yard's modest 6 percent strike rate here from 53 runs adds a further negative despite a strong overall trainer and jockey record. Typically settling in midfield, he will race just behind the uncontested leader. With recent form of 805822 he arrives in reasonable heart but the ground and yard course stats are concerns.
Squashy Berry KTB Fit 45/100
Squashy Berry has shown very little in three runs to date and was beaten 20 lengths in a Lingfield maiden last time, recording an RPR of 51. The drop into a Class 6 looks the right move on that limited figure yet the yard's modest 7 percent strike rate at Leicester from 155 runs offers no encouragement. First-time headgear is now fitted while the lightly-raced profile means both going and trip remain unproven questions. Usually held up with limited evidence, he will be among those coming from the rear. Silvestre De Sousa is a positive booking but overall this represents a step into the unknown for the three-year-old.
The rest of the field
Kode GreyKTB Fit 44/100
Kode Grey has shown limited ability with an RPR of 58 and Topspeed of 32 from five runs. She improved to finish third when making the running over 6f at Ripon last month but failed to build on that at Carlisle ten days ago. The step up to 7f today asks a fresh question while the yard has a 10 percent strike rate from 311 runs at Leicester. Tending to make the running, she is perfectly placed to take the uncontested lead in this pace shape.
Tilsworth MaxKTB Fit 40/100
Tilsworth Max is a limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent Class 6 races without threatening to win, with recent form of 353356. He has run twice at Leicester without placing and the trainer's modest 4 percent strike rate from nearly 300 runs here adds little confidence. One win from 15 starts at this trip is a small plus but overall his RPR and Topspeed figures underline modest ability on good to firm ground. Typically settling in midfield, he has one run on good to firm without a win or place.
Demetris MouflonKTB Fit 40/100
Demetris Mouflon is a limited filly who has struggled to make an impact in six starts to date and was beaten 12 lengths when fifth at Lingfield last month on her return from a long break. She has failed to trouble the judge in both runs at this trip and the drop into a classified race is needed. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she has one run on good to firm without a win or place. The trainer has an 8 percent strike rate at Leicester from 394 runs.
Miss HelenaKTB Fit 40/100
Miss Helena has shown very little in seven starts, recording a recent form of 0-8840 and an RPR of just 38 that marks her out as limited. She drops back to 7f today having failed twice at the trip earlier, while the yard's modest 4 percent strike rate from 167 runs at Leicester adds no encouragement. Usually held up, she has no runs on good to firm and the 3lb claimer helps a little on the weights but she has plenty to find.
Tickhill FlyerKTB Fit 40/100
Tickhill Flyer is a limited performer who has finished well beaten in all three starts this spring. First-time cheekpieces are now fitted in a drop to Class 6 but the bare form leaves him with plenty to find. Usually held up, he has one run on good to firm without a win or place and the small-sample trainer record at Leicester adds further uncertainty.
Due DestinyKTB Fit 38/100
Due Destiny has shown limited ability so far with an RPR of 46 and Topspeed of 36 from five runs. She steps up to 7f for the first time today having looked modest over 6f on her recent stable debut. Typically settling in midfield, she has two runs on good to firm without a win or place and the yard has a 0 percent strike rate from 10 runs at Leicester.
CoverbridgeKTB Fit 36/100
Coverbridge is a limited performer who has shown little spark in 2025 and whose recent efforts leave him short of the standard required even in this grade. Has some placed form over this trip but was well held when last seen over much further and looks unfavourably drawn in stall 9. Usually held up, he has three runs on good to firm without a win or place and the trainer remains without a Leicester winner from 14 attempts.
Bridgefoot RamblerKTB Fit 29/100
Bridgefoot Rambler has shown very little in three runs to date with an RPR of just 36 and no Topspeed rating. She now drops back from 1m to an untried 7f in first-time cheekpieces while drawn wide in stall 12. This is a limited performer stepping into a Class 6 classified and the small sample means everything has to be taken on trust.
KTB verdict
Shark Two One stands out as the KTB Selection with a clear Fit score advantage and proven course record at Leicester where he has won twice from 11 runs. His ability to handle good to firm ground and solid strike rate at the trip make him well suited to the likely uncontested lead scenario, even if he is held up off it. The main dangers are Bungle Bay, who has been consistent of late with two recent seconds, and Shes Got The Blues, who brings a string of placed efforts even if she may prefer further than 7f. Eulalia with first-time headgear and Squashy Berry also warrant a second look in a race where the modest level means small margins could prove decisive.
KTB Selection Shark Two One
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:13 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Shark Two One | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Eulalia | 14/1 | BoyleSports |
| Shes Got The Blues | 5/2 | Coral |
| Bungle Bay | 7/2 | Betfred |
| Squashy Berry | 18/1 | 10Bet |
| Kode Grey | 9/1 | William Hill |
| Tilsworth Max | 11/1 | William Hill |
| Demetris Mouflon | 28/1 | William Hill |
| Miss Helena | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Tickhill Flyer | 33/1 | 10Bet |
| Due Destiny | 28/1 | 10Bet |
| Coverbridge | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Bridgefoot Rambler | 100/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:00 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won at Leicester before?
Shark Two One has won here twice from 11 runs.
Who is likely to take the uncontested lead?
Kode Grey tends to make the running or race on the pace and fits the lone leader pace shape.
Which runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Eulalia, Squashy Berry, Tickhill Flyer and Bridgefoot Rambler are all in first-time headgear.
Which horse is dropping in class?
Squashy Berry, Tickhill Flyer and Bridgefoot Rambler are all dropping in class.
Who has the strongest trainer and jockey combination at Leicester by A/E?
The trainer and jockey combination for Bungle Bay shows 27/135 (20 percent) with an A/E of 1.36.
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