4:05 Tramore
The 4:05 at Tramore is a competitive 2m6f handicap steeplechase run on good ground with a field of ten. Several high-class performers on their day line up, many of them wearing first-time headgear, and the KTB Fit ratings identify Intense Approach as the clear top pick at 75 while a clutch of others sit between 69 and 60. With no obvious front-runner in a steadily-run, tactical affair, the ability to produce a late effort from a handy position looks set to be important.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical race in which being handy should pay dividends. Most of the field prefer to race held up and produce their effort late, though Tullyveery Lad is the one who usually races prominently on or close to the pace. The key question is whether the principals can quicken off a steady gallop or if the race will be decided by those who conserve energy early and strike at the right moment in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Intense Approach KTB Selection75/100High-class performer with a solid record on good ground that includes five wins from 13 starts.
- 2Watch The Weather69/100High-class performer on his day with a solid career record that includes a win at today's trip.
- 3Marv Michael63/100High-class on his day and already a winner over this trip.
- 4Tullyveery Lad60/100Smart performer who has won twice at Tramore from nine starts and also has a win at today's trip.
- 5Nastya60/100Smart performer who has already shown plenty in a short career and arrives here in decent form after a recent win.
- 6General Clermont56/100Smart performer with strong course connections here having been placed on all three completed runs at Tramore.
- 7Orkneys Jack56/100Smart performer who has shown strong form on several occasions but has been below that level on his last two starts.
- 8Pourquoi Poi52/100Useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with a third and two placed efforts from his last five starts.
- 9That's About Right46/100Useful performer who has won three times over today's trip from just seven attempts and looks well suited by the step back up in distance.
- 10A Snow White Park45/100Useful performer who has shown consistent placed form this season and has already been placed over today's trip.
The contenders
Intense Approach KTB Fit 75/100
Intense Approach is a high-class performer with a solid record on good ground that includes five wins from 13 starts. He steps up in trip today having already won twice at this distance from only four attempts, and first-time headgear is now fitted. The trainer records a 12 percent strike rate at Tramore from 129 runs and the jockey has a 19 percent strike rate at the track from 21 rides. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. The KTB Fit rating of 75 makes him the selection in a race where being handy should pay.
Watch The Weather KTB Fit 69/100
Watch The Weather is a high-class performer on his day with a solid career record that includes a win at today's trip. He steps up in distance from his latest 2m2f run while wearing first-time headgear and makes his debut at Tramore. The yard has a 16 percent strike rate here from 25 runs and he has one win plus seven places from 16 starts on good ground. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. The KTB Fit rating of 69 keeps him firmly in the mix.
Marv Michael KTB Fit 63/100
Marv Michael is high-class on his day and already a winner over this trip. He showed little in two runs this year yet has solid placed form on good ground and won on his only previous visit to Tramore. First-time headgear is now applied while the yard's 10 percent strike rate at the track from 196 runs suggests he will need to bounce back sharply. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. The KTB Fit rating of 63 reflects his potential if he returns to form.
Tullyveery Lad KTB Fit 60/100
Tullyveery Lad is a smart performer who has won twice at Tramore from nine starts and also has a win at today's trip. Recent form is patchy with a fall and a fifth on his last two starts but he has placed on good ground and first-time headgear is now tried. The trainer has a 16 percent strike rate here from 25 runs and the jockey has an 8 percent strike rate at the track from 164 rides. He usually races handily, on or close to the lead, which could be an advantage in a steadily-run affair. The KTB Fit rating of 60 leaves him with place claims.
Nastya KTB Fit 60/100
Nastya is a smart performer who has already shown plenty in a short career and arrives here in decent form after a recent win. She drops back in trip to an untried 2m6f which asks a fresh question while first-time headgear is also added. She has placed on good ground and the trainer holds a 15 percent strike rate at Tramore from 582 runs while the jockey has a 14 percent strike rate at the track from 288 rides. She is usually held up and produces her effort late. The KTB Fit rating of 60 confirms she is respected.
The rest of the field
General ClermontKTB Fit 56/100
General Clermont is a smart performer with strong course connections here having been placed on all three completed runs at Tramore. He steps up in trip today having last run over 2m2f and his placed efforts at this distance suggest the extra yardage will suit. The trainer has a 10 percent strike rate from 51 runs at the track while the jockey also knows the venue well. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Orkneys JackKTB Fit 56/100
Orkneys Jack is a smart performer who has shown strong form on several occasions but has been below that level on his last two starts. He has already tried this trip once without success and steps up in distance again today which asks a fresh question. Only one run at Tramore resulted in a pull-up and the small sample on this ground makes it impossible to be sure about conditions. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Pourquoi PoiKTB Fit 52/100
Pourquoi Poi is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with a third and two placed efforts from his last five starts. The trainer has a 13 percent strike rate at Tramore from 63 runs while the jockey is making his first ride at the track. He has only tried this trip once without success and remains winless on good ground from six attempts. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
That's About RightKTB Fit 46/100
That's About Right is a useful performer who has won three times over today's trip from just seven attempts and looks well suited by the step back up in distance. He goes well on good ground with five wins from twelve starts and first-time headgear is now applied after a string of modest efforts. The trainer's 7 percent strike rate at Tramore from 505 runs is the main negative. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
A Snow White ParkKTB Fit 45/100
A Snow White Park is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form this season and has already been placed over today's trip. He has decent course experience here with a second on his latest visit though he has failed to win in three runs at Tramore. The yard's 8 percent strike-rate at the track is a negative while stepping up in distance asks a fresh question. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
KTB verdict
Intense Approach is the KTB Selection. A high-class performer with a solid record on good ground that includes five wins from 13 starts, he steps up in trip today having already won twice at this distance from only four attempts, and the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer's 12 percent strike rate at Tramore from 129 runs adds further encouragement. His main dangers are Watch The Weather, who is high-class on his day with a win at today's trip, and Marv Michael, who won on his only previous visit to Tramore and could bounce back in first-time headgear. Tullyveery Lad and Nastya round out the principals in a race where the steadily-run nature could suit those with a late kick.
KTB Selection Intense Approach
This is the narrative read of the 4:05 Tramore. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Tramore racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won twice at today's trip from only four attempts?
Intense Approach
Which runner has won on his only previous visit to Tramore?
Marv Michael
Which horse usually races handily on or close to the lead?
Tullyveery Lad
Which trainer has a 15 percent strike rate at Tramore from 582 runs?
Henry De Bromhead
Which horse has been placed on all three completed runs at Tramore?
General Clermont
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