4:20 Punchestown
The second division of the Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle at Punchestown over 2m100y on good to yielding ground features a large field of 24, many of whom are still relatively unexposed or have shown only modest form to date. The KTB numbers paint a picture of a race with limited depth where several runners arrive with questions to answer, though a handful bring more encouraging recent efforts or higher ratings. With so many having low Fit Scores and patchy form lines, the contest looks open on paper but one contender stands out according to the KTB assessment.
How the race shapes up
Given the large field and mix of run-styles, the pace shape is expected to be on the steady side early, with a few prominent runners likely to set a fair gallop. Several horses prefer to race prominently or in mid-division, which could see the race develop into a test of positioning around the home bend. The key question will be whether any of the more experienced performers can assert from the front or whether the race will fall to something coming from off the pace in what looks a muddling heat.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Glengarriff0/100
- 2Tiffany Mae0/100
- 3Ancient Myth0/100
- 4Mount Mandela0/100
- 5Alaskan View0/100
- 6Jet To Glory0/100
- 7Dorie Miller0/100
- 8Navy Waters0/100
- 9Jodoro0/100
- 10Scotty Joe0/100
- 11Rosie Brown0/100
- 12Sestini0/100
- 13Anam Geal0/100
- 14Good Thoughts0/100
- 15Rattledelatch0/100
- 16Livio0/100
- 17Coolishael0/100
- 18Million Dollar Man0/100
- 19Lizzie Twigg0/100
- 20Little Ginger0/100
- 21Cometothinkofit0/100
- 22Cool As A Cat0/100
- 23Glendaars Secret0/100
- 24Undertheinfluence0/100
The contenders
Glengarriff KTB Fit 0/100
Glengarriff is the KTB Selection in a race where many bring limited or modest credentials. The 5-year-old has only a single run to his name, which was poor, but the KTB Intelligence rates him as the one to beat here on what is clearly felt to be untapped potential. Trainer Patrick Downey and claiming jockey Alix Balfe combine with a solid strike-rate and positive A-E, suggesting the yard is in good order. He has no strong preference noted for going or course, but the KTB read is that he can improve markedly now switched to hurdles. With a modest RPR of 29 from that debut, there is plenty of room for progress and the selection is expected to show his true level.
Tiffany Mae KTB Fit 0/100
Tiffany Mae brings figures of RPR 78 and TS 65 but has shown inconsistent form, with recent efforts reading 9P-. The 5-year-old is trained by Sean Aherne, whose combination with Danny Power has produced a modest strike-rate and negative A-E line. KTB reads her ability as modest and there is no particular enthusiasm for her on going or course. Run-style is not highlighted as a strength, and overall she is viewed as one of the lesser lights in what is already a modest event.
Ancient Myth KTB Fit 0/100
Ancient Myth holds an RPR of 81 and a low TS of 32, with form figures of 00 showing little encouragement. The 5-year-old is trained by N F Glynn and ridden by Shane Fitzgerald, a partnership that carries a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB views his ability as modest at best and there are no positive reads on going or course. His run-style is not expected to play a major part, leaving him with plenty to find in this company.
Mount Mandela KTB Fit 0/100
Mount Mandela is a 6-year-old with figures of RPR 88 and TS 57, and form figures of 55/93- that hint at some minor promise. Trainer C A McBratney and jockey Gavin Brouder have a modest strike-rate together with a negative A-E. The KTB read on his ability is modest and there is no particular liking noted for the going or course. He may race prominently but is not expected to have the class to feature at the business end.
Alaskan View KTB Fit 0/100
Alaskan View arrives with the highest RPR in the field at 108 though his TS is unavailable, and his form reads /216-0. The 6-year-old represents W J Martin and is ridden by Cian Cullinan, whose combination shows a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest despite that rating and there are no strong positives for going or course. His recent run was disappointing and the overall picture is one of a horse who has yet to translate any promise into consistent maiden-hurdle form.
The rest of the field
Jet To GloryKTB Fit 0/100
Jet To Glory has form figures of P2- but no RPR or TS figures listed. Trained by John C McConnell and ridden by Alyse Clarke, the combination has a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest with no standout reads on going or course.
Dorie MillerKTB Fit 0/100
Dorie Miller holds an RPR of 90 and TS of 26, with form of 470-0U and first-time headgear now applied. The Adrian Sexton and Harry Sexton partnership shows a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB views him as modest with no particular going or course preference.
Navy WatersKTB Fit 0/100
Navy Waters is a 5-year-old with no RPR or TS figures supplied. Trained by W McCreery and ridden by Ricky Doyle, the partnership is modest with a negative A-E. KTB reads his ability as modest.
JodoroKTB Fit 0/100
Jodoro has an RPR of 95 but form figures of 405P9- that show little encouragement. Dermot A McLoughlin teams up with Liam McKenna, a modest combination with negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest.
Scotty JoeKTB Fit 0/100
Scotty Joe brings an RPR of 97 and TS of 40, with form of 4P1-6. P J Rothwell and Brian Barry combine with a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB views his ability as modest with no strong course or going preference.
Rosie BrownKTB Fit 0/100
Rosie Brown has form figures of 039- with no RPR or TS listed. Trained by Ms Helen P Markham and ridden by Shane Markey, the partnership is modest with negative A-E. KTB reads her ability as modest.
SestiniKTB Fit 0/100
Sestini is a 4-year-old with solid-looking figures of RPR 115 and TS 90, and a recent effort of 3. Brian M McMahon teams up with Calum Hogan, a modest combination with negative A-E. KTB still rates his overall ability as modest.
Anam GealKTB Fit 0/100
Anam Geal has a single run reading 0- and no RPR or TS figures. Norman Lee and Benjamin P Kennedy combine with a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB views his ability as modest.
Good ThoughtsKTB Fit 0/100
Good Thoughts holds an RPR of 89 and TS of 55, with form of F6- and first-time headgear applied. J P Dempsey and Aidan Kelly have a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest.
RattledelatchKTB Fit 0/100
Rattledelatch has poor figures of RPR 31 and TS 22, with form of P0-9 and first-time headgear now fitted. John Queally and John Shinnick combine with a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB sees him as modest.
LivioKTB Fit 0/100
Livio has the highest official figures in the field at RPR 122 and TS 106, with form of 1/3. Trained by W P Mullins and ridden by Anna McGuinness, the partnership shows a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. Despite the ratings KTB rates his ability as modest with no standout course or going read.
CoolishaelKTB Fit 0/100
Coolishael has form figures of 43-3 but no RPR or TS supplied. Ross O'Sullivan and Alan O'Sullivan combine with a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB views his ability as modest.
Million Dollar ManKTB Fit 0/100
Million Dollar Man holds an RPR of 102 and TS of 25, with form of P-6. Thomas Corish and Ben Harvey have a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest.
Lizzie TwiggKTB Fit 0/100
Lizzie Twigg has form of 15- with no RPR or TS listed. Gordon Elliott teams up with Kevin Sexton, a modest combination with negative A-E. KTB reads her ability as modest.
Little GingerKTB Fit 0/100
Little Ginger has form figures of 44-1 with no RPR or TS supplied. Trained by James Andrew Fahey and ridden by Conor Smithers, the partnership is modest with negative A-E. KTB views his ability as modest.
CometothinkofitKTB Fit 0/100
Cometothinkofit is a 4-year-old with an RPR of 37 and form of 00-6. Padraig Roche and Peter Smithers combine with a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest.
Cool As A CatKTB Fit 0/100
Cool As A Cat has figures of RPR 53 and TS 21, with form of U-9. Tom Dreaper and Kieren Buckley have a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB sees him as modest.
Glendaars SecretKTB Fit 0/100
Glendaars Secret holds an RPR of 90 and TS of 61, with form of 06. Dermot A McLoughlin and P J O'Hanlon combine with a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB rates his ability as modest.
UndertheinfluenceKTB Fit 0/100
Undertheinfluence has an RPR of 89 and TS of 33, with a single run reading 8. Noel C Kelly and Carl Millar have a modest strike-rate and negative A-E. KTB views his ability as modest.
KTB verdict
This looks a modest maiden overall, with many runners short of strong form or high ratings according to the KTB numbers. Glengarriff is the clear KTB Selection and is expected to improve past his modest debut effort, with the yard and jockey combination also reading positively. The main dangers are likely to come from those with slightly higher official ratings such as Livio, Sestini and Alaskan View, though each carries question marks of their own. Mount Mandela and Scotty Joe may also feature if the race falls their way, but the selection is felt to have the most scope.
KTB Selection Glengarriff
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 06:13 UTC, 6 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Glengarriff | 150/1 | BetTom |
| Tiffany Mae | 150/1 | BetTom |
| Ancient Myth | 100/1 | Bet365 |
| Mount Mandela | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Alaskan View | 25/1 | BetTom |
| Jet To Glory | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Dorie Miller | 150/1 | BetTom |
| Navy Waters | 9/2 | BetTom |
| Jodoro | 40/1 | BetTom |
| Scotty Joe | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Rosie Brown | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Sestini | 5/1 | BetTom |
| Anam Geal | 100/1 | BetTom |
| Good Thoughts | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Rattledelatch | 100/1 | BetTom |
| Livio | 4/5 | CopyBet |
| Coolishael | 11/1 | BetTom |
| Million Dollar Man | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Lizzie Twigg | 13/2 | BetTom |
| Little Ginger | 9/1 | BetTom |
| Cometothinkofit | 100/1 | BetTom |
| Cool As A Cat | 100/1 | BetTom |
| Glendaars Secret | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Undertheinfluence | 40/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 4:20 Punchestown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Punchestown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse does KTB select to win this Punchestown maiden hurdle?
Glengarriff
What is the highest RPR in the field and which horse holds it?
Livio with an RPR of 122
How many runners are declared for this division of the maiden hurdle?
24
Which horse is the only one to have first-time headgear and a recent unseated rider on its formline?
Dorie Miller
Which trainer has the most notable runner in the race according to the KTB selection?
Patrick Downey with Glengarriff
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