4:27 Bath
A competitive Class 6 handicap over a mile at Bath on good to soft ground brings together a field of fourteen, mixing experienced juveniles and three-year-olds dropping in class. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with five horses separated by just two points, underlining how open the contest looks on paper. Time For Action and Thisonesforyou share the highest Fit score of 56, while recent course form and trainer statistics at the venue will play a significant part in deciding the outcome.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a fairly even gallop with several prominent runners likely to contest the lead early. Time For Action from stall one and Musical Soldier drawn in two are both inclined to race up with the pace, while Thisonesforyou from draw four should be handy. The key question is whether the prominent group can dictate matters or if the race will be won from slightly further back given the good to soft conditions that may favour those with a bit of toe off the bend.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Time For Action56/100
- 2Thisonesforyou KTB Selection56/100
- 3Bird Of War55/100
- 4India Gold54/100
- 5Footstepinthewoods54/100
- 6Tough Date51/100
- 7Aneirin's Sword51/100
- 8Musical Soldier49/100
- 9Swiped49/100
- 10Barbuda Bay49/100
- 11Bosom Pals46/100
- 12Solar Phoenix46/100
- 13Denby's Dream42/100
- 14Leia Antilles34/100
The contenders
Time For Action KTB Fit 56/100
Time For Action arrives with a KTB Fit score of 56 and holds the highest rating in the field on official figures. A winner here from two runs at Bath, the David Flood-trained juvenile brings solid course knowledge into the equation. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.39, while Josephine Gordon holds a 13% strike rate at Bath with an A/E of 1.11. Unproven on good to soft ground having had no previous runs on it, the colt's ability to handle the surface remains the main query. Recent form of 92157- shows a win earlier in the campaign, and from draw one he is expected to be prominent throughout.
Thisonesforyou KTB Fit 56/100
Thisonesforyou is the KTB Selection and shares the top Fit score of 56. Trained by Clive Cox, who has an 18% strike rate at Bath with an A/E of 0.95, the colt is ridden by Georgia Dobie who herself has a 13% strike rate at the venue with an A/E of 0.97. The pair have combined for a 2/10 record with a positive A/E of 2.27 and LSP of +£6.00. Having run once on good to soft without placing and finished fifth on his only previous visit to Bath, there are minor questions about both surface and course. Recent form reads 86815- and from draw four he should be well placed to track the leaders in a race that may suit his run style.
Bird Of War KTB Fit 55/100
Bird Of War comes into the race with a KTB Fit score of 55 and is dropping in class, which could prove significant. The Charles Hills-trained three-year-old has an 18% strike rate with the yard at Bath and an A/E of 0.94. Jack Callan takes the ride with a modest 5% strike rate at the track and A/E of 0.38. Having had one run on good to soft without placing and with no previous course form, the colt will need to prove himself on both counts. Recent form of 9441-8 includes a win last season, and from a wide draw of 12 he will need to settle and come with a late run if the pace is strong up front.
India Gold KTB Fit 54/100
India Gold is rated 54 on the KTB Fit scale and is another dropping in class. Gay Kelleway trains the three-year-old with a 13% strike rate at Bath and an A/E of 0.92, while Tyler Heard has a 12% strike rate at the venue with an A/E of 1.02. The trainer and jockey have a 1/10 record together with an A/E of 0.61. One previous run on good to soft brought no win or place, and there is no course form on record. Recent form reads 4316-9, showing ability at a higher level last term. Drawn in six, the filly is likely to be positioned in mid-division and will be of interest if the drop in class sparks improvement.
Footstepinthewoods KTB Fit 54/100
Footstepinthewoods also holds a KTB Fit score of 54 and is dropping in class for Emma Lavelle. The trainer has an 11% strike rate at Bath with an A/E of 1.01, and Callum Hutchinson rides with an 8% strike rate at the track and A/E of 0.96. Unproven on good to soft having had no previous runs on the surface, and with no course form, there are unknowns to overcome. Recent form of 55-005 suggests the three-year-old is struggling to recapture best form. From the widest draw of 14 the run style will need to be patient, and the drop in class offers the clearest route to competitiveness.
The rest of the field
Tough DateKTB Fit 51/100
Tough Date has a KTB Fit score of 51 and is dropping in class. The Jack Channon-trained colt has placed on good to soft and was second on his only previous run at Bath, showing clear course and ground affinity.
Aneirin's SwordKTB Fit 51/100
Aneirin's Sword holds a KTB Fit of 51. The Jamie Osborne-trained three-year-old is unproven on good to soft and has no course form, though recent form of 123548 shows consistency at this level.
Musical SoldierKTB Fit 49/100
Musical Soldier is rated 49 on KTB Fit. Ollie Sangster's colt is unproven on good to soft with no course form, though recent form of 567152 includes a win and a second, and the yard has a 16% strike rate at Bath.
SwipedKTB Fit 49/100
Swiped has a KTB Fit score of 49 and is dropping in class for Ralph Beckett. Unproven on good to soft with no course form, recent form of 55-52 suggests the yard may have him ready to go well.
Barbuda BayKTB Fit 49/100
Barbuda Bay is another with a KTB Fit of 49 and is dropping in class. The Roger Teal-trained colt has had one run on good to soft without placing and has no course form.
Bosom PalsKTB Fit 46/100
Bosom Pals holds a KTB Fit of 46 and is dropping in class. First-time headgear is applied for Tom Dascombe, and the three-year-old is unproven on good to soft with no course form.
Solar PhoenixKTB Fit 46/100
Solar Phoenix has a KTB Fit score of 46 and is dropping in class. The Roger Teal-trained juvenile has had one run on good to soft without placing and has two fifths from two runs at Bath.
Denby's DreamKTB Fit 42/100
Denby's Dream is rated 42 on KTB Fit. The Charlie Pike-trained three-year-old has been placed at Bath but the yard has a 0% strike rate there from one run, and is unproven on good to soft.
Leia AntillesKTB Fit 34/100
Leia Antilles has the lowest KTB Fit of 34. First-time headgear is tried by Henry Candy on the three-year-old who is unproven on good to soft and has no course form.
KTB verdict
Thisonesforyou is the KTB Selection and looks to have the right blend of trainer form at the track, a suitable draw, and enough ability to take this. Clive Cox's good record at Bath combined with the colt's run style should see him well positioned to strike off his current mark. The main dangers are Time For Action, who knows the track well and has the highest official rating, and Bird Of War who is dropping in class and could improve for the step back in trip. Footstepinthewoods and India Gold are also capable of featuring if the drop in class brings out further improvement.
KTB Selection Thisonesforyou
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:31 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Time For Action | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Thisonesforyou | 8/1 | 7Bet |
| Bird Of War | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| India Gold | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Footstepinthewoods | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Tough Date | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Aneirin's Sword | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Musical Soldier | 9/2 | 7Bet |
| Swiped | 3/1 | 7Bet |
| Barbuda Bay | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Bosom Pals | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Solar Phoenix | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Denby's Dream | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Leia Antilles | 40/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 4:27 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course winning form at Bath?
Time For Action has won here from two runs at the track.
Which horses are dropping in class?
Bird Of War, India Gold, Footstepinthewoods, Tough Date, Swiped, Barbuda Bay, Bosom Pals and Solar Phoenix are all dropping in class.
Which runners are unproven on good to soft ground?
Time For Action, Thisonesforyou, Aneirin's Sword, Musical Soldier, Swiped, Bosom Pals, Denby's Dream and Leia Antilles are all unproven on good to soft.
Who has the best trainer strike rate at Bath among the principals?
Clive Cox has an 18% strike rate at Bath, the highest among the principal trainers.
Which horses have previous placed form at Bath?
Tough Date has been second here, and Denby's Dream has finished second on its only run at the track.
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