4:35 Leicester
This Class 4 Mesothelioma UK Handicap over 1m2f at Leicester on good to firm ground features an 11-runner field where several useful performers are closely matched on figures. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Zatsgood and Noble Horizon both on 61, followed by Tipsy Tiger and Percy's Daydream on 58 and Nowshesdancing on 55. Official ratings cluster between 93 and 100, confirming a competitive race in which progressive types and course winners will be prominent.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated given the presence of multiple front-runners including Noble Horizon, Percy's Daydream and Ted Le Saux. This could set the race up for hold-up performers to come through late as the leaders potentially tire in the closing stages. The key question is whether the strong early gallop will collapse sufficiently to allow the patient runners, such as the selection, to capitalise or if one of the prominent types can dictate and hold on.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Zatsgood KTB Selection61/100RPR 100 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Noble Horizon61/100RPR 94 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Tipsy Tiger58/100RPR 97 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Percy's Daydream58/100RPR 96 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Nowshesdancing55/100RPR 95 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Crystal Mariner54/100RPR 93 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7The Green Mile54/100RPR 97 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Woodstock City53/100RPR 94 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Double Red50/100RPR 96 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Seagolazo50/100RPR 98 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 11Ted Le Saux45/100RPR 95 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Zatsgood KTB Fit 61/100
Zatsgood has shown steady improvement across his four starts and looks useful with an RPR of 100 after landing a Lingfield handicap last month. He steps up to 1m2f having already been placed at the trip once though all his racing has been on the AW so this turf debut brings a fresh question. George Boughey has a 24% strike rate at Leicester from 84 runs while the going remains unknown with such a light career. Billy Loughnane takes the ride for a trainer-jockey combination that has recorded a 19% strike rate together. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and the strong pace shape should suit. His recent form of 2/241 underlines his upward trajectory.
Noble Horizon KTB Fit 61/100
Noble Horizon is a useful performer who showed he can handle this track when winning here on his only previous visit. He has won on good to firm ground and at today's trip though his recent form has been patchy and he was well held on his latest start. Silvestre De Sousa takes the ride on a horse who still looks open to some improvement. The trainer has a 100% strike rate at Leicester from a small sample and the jockey posts a 20% strike rate at the track from 307 rides. A confirmed front-runner with high confidence in that assessment, he is likely to set the pace in a race where the gallop is expected to be strong.
Tipsy Tiger KTB Fit 58/100
Tipsy Tiger is a useful performer who has run to a solid level on his last three starts and showed he handles this track when finishing second here last year. He has won over today's trip but is unproven on good to firm ground and is drawn wide in stall 10. Trainer William Stone has a 13% strike rate from 88 runs at Leicester while jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin is 0-8 here. Typically settling in midfield, his run-style could see him well placed if the leaders go hard early. Recent form of 77234- suggests consistency at this level and his RPR of 97 keeps him firmly in the mix.
Percy's Daydream KTB Fit 58/100
Percy's Daydream is a useful performer who won over this trip earlier in the season and has already shown his liking for Leicester by scoring here on his only visit. He drops back from 1m4f to a distance that has brought two wins from three starts while his record on good to firm is a solid two from three. O'Meara posts a 14% strike-rate at the track from a big sample and the yard knows the place well. A front-runner with high confidence, he is set to be involved in the early battle alongside Noble Horizon and Ted Le Saux. His recent form of 125-14 demonstrates his effectiveness at this trip.
Nowshesdancing KTB Fit 55/100
Nowshesdancing is a useful performer who won on debut at Dundalk over this trip and then ran a solid third at Wetherby behind a short-priced favourite. She has more to come now switched to handicapping and the yard’s 20 percent strike rate at Leicester adds encouragement. Trip suits but the going remains an unknown with only two runs on the board. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she should benefit from the strong pace likely to unfold. Dropping in class is another positive and her RPR of 95 confirms she is up to this level.
The rest of the field
Crystal MarinerKTB Fit 54/100
Crystal Mariner is a useful performer who arrives in solid form after a respectable return and holds a career-high RPR of 93. He has won over today's trip and acts on good to firm, though his record on this ground reads just 1-7. Usually held up, he could be suited by the strong pace.
The Green MileKTB Fit 54/100
The Green Mile is a useful performer who added to his debut success when winning a Chepstow handicap over this trip last month. He has won once from four starts at the distance and the RPR of 97 confirms he is competitive at this level. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate from 35 runs at Leicester is a negative while the going remains unknown from just six career starts. Usually held up.
Woodstock CityKTB Fit 53/100
Woodstock City is a useful performer on his figures and arrives in decent nick after a second last time out. He has won over today's trip but his record on good to firm is only modest with one success from five starts. Usually races handily on or close to the lead and this represents his first run at the track.
Double RedKTB Fit 50/100
Double Red is a useful performer who has won at this trip. He has shown his best form on his last two starts but his record here reads 0-2 with no placed efforts from two runs. The yard has a modest 10% strike-rate at Leicester from a big sample. Usually held up.
SeagolazoKTB Fit 50/100
Seagolazo is a useful performer on his figures but has been largely frustrating this year with a string of placed efforts and no win from 16 starts. He has shown enough on good to firm to be competitive at this level yet remains winless in five attempts over today's trip. Usually held up and this is his first run here.
Ted Le SauxKTB Fit 45/100
Ted Le Saux is a useful performer who showed strong promise when winning a Newcastle novice in January before finishing third on his handicap debut at Haydock. He drops back to 1m2f today having been placed without winning at the trip from two runs and his RPR of 95 confirms he has the ability to land a race of this nature. A front-runner, he will be prominent early.
KTB verdict
Zatsgood is the KTB Selection. He has shown steady improvement in four starts, landing a Lingfield handicap last month to post an RPR of 100, and steps up to 1m2f where he has already been placed. The strong pace should play to his held-up style while George Boughey's 24% strike rate at Leicester is a further plus despite the unknowns of the turf and the going. Noble Horizon and Percy's Daydream, both course winners and confirmed front-runners, are the most obvious dangers if they can dictate terms, while Tipsy Tiger's course placings and Nowshesdancing's potential also make them threats in a race where the shape could favour those coming from off the pace.
KTB Selection Zatsgood
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:10 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Zatsgood | 6/4 | 10Bet |
| Noble Horizon | 6/1 | William Hill |
| Tipsy Tiger | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Percy's Daydream | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Nowshesdancing | 14/1 | William Hill |
| Crystal Mariner | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| The Green Mile | 11/2 | William Hill |
| Woodstock City | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Double Red | 14/1 | 10Bet |
| Seagolazo | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Ted Le Saux | 16/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 4:35 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won both at Leicester and over today's trip on good to firm?
Percy's Daydream has won here on his only visit and has two wins from three starts on good to firm over this trip.
How does the strong pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace, with two or more habitual front-runners, could collapse late and favour hold-up horses.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Leicester in this field?
Oli Rix has a 100% strike rate at Leicester from one run while Harry Eustace posts 20% from 25 runs.
What is the course record for Tipsy Tiger?
Tipsy Tiger has run once here and finished second.
Which runners are unproven on good to firm ground?
Zatsgood, Tipsy Tiger and The Green Mile are unproven on good to firm.
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